MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 9, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Erick Fedde
Mitch Keller
56.2%
43.8%
-110
+100
-112
+104
-1½+147
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.93
4.28
9.21
o7½-120
u8-115
o7½-115
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Max Meyer
Tylor Megill
42.4%
57.6%
+191
-213
+195
-218
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
3.99
4.79
8.78
o7-105
u7-110
o7-115
u7+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Max Fried
Jack Flaherty
58.6%
41.4%
-148
+134
-145
+134
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.85
3.94
8.79
o7-107
u7-110
o7-105
u7-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tyler Mahle
Shota Imanaga
42.6%
57.4%
+136
-150
+138
-145
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-155
-1½+135
5.41
6.19
11.60
o7½-105
u7½-105
o7½+100
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Randy Vasquez
Osvaldo Bido
48.4%
51.6%
+105
-116
+108
-110
+1½-190
-1½+175

4.35
4.51
8.86
o10-110
u10-107
o9½-105
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Dean Kremer
Brandon Pfaadt
45.3%
54.7%
+109
-120
+113
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.49
4.98
9.47
o9-110
u9-101
o9-105
u9-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Nick Martinez
Justin Verlander
42.7%
57.3%
+129
-142
+131
-142
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
3.83
4.59
8.42
o7½-105
u7½-108
o7½-110
u8-120
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Landon Knack
Jake Irvin
59.9%
40.1%
-175
+158
-170
+159
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
5.31
4.26
9.57
o9-107
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Hunter Brown
Luis F. Castillo
56.0%
44.0%
-126
+114
-120
+115
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.87
4.25
9.12
o7½-103
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Sean Burke
Logan Allen
54.2%
45.8%
+164
-182
+168
-184
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
4.79
4.34
9.13
o7½+105
u7½-112
o7½+100
u7½-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kevin Gausman
Tanner Houck
47.0%
53.0%
+113
-125
+115
-122
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.94
5.25
10.19
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-120
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Yusei Kikuchi
Ryan Pepiot
41.4%
58.6%
+125
-138
+128
-138
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.09
5.00
9.09
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Taijuan Walker
Grant Holmes
44.6%
55.4%
+121
-133
+125
-120
+1½-172
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+165
4.11
4.68
8.79
o8½-120
u8½+100
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joe Ryan
Seth Lugo
50.2%
49.8%
-105
-105
-102
-106

+1½-210
-1½+195
5.14
5.13
10.27
o7½-120
u8-115
o7½-110
u7½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Alexander
Antonio Senzatela
53.9%
46.1%
-135
+122
-132
+125
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
4.91
4.50
9.41
o10½-107
u10½-110
o10½-105
u10½-105
Games for Apr 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
56.1%
43.9%
-135
+124
-135
+126
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+115
+1½-130
1
5
-0.82716-0.83218-0.82369
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+155
-169
+155
-170
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
4
2
-0.95628-0.95763-0.63911
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.0%
69.0%
+168
-184
+185
-195
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½+105
3
7
-0.45484-0.42580-0.37072
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.7%
48.3%
+104
-114
+107
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4
3
-0.73560-0.74748-0.65987
New York Mets
Houston Astros
40.9%
59.1%
+104
-114
+110
-115
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
1
2
-0.65243-0.63673-0.52550
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
-149
+137
-145
+136
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+112
+1½-125
0
1
-0.88303-0.87412-0.59968
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
58.2%
41.8%
+101
-111
+102
-112
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.66563-0.66116-0.87242
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
+161
-176
+165
-177
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
1
-0.97995-0.99077-0.93606
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
3
4
-0.67015-0.67015-0.67828
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
41.0%
59.0%
-117
+107
-120
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-155
4
5
-0.74957-0.76336-0.52801
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
+101
-111
+105
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+178
2
3
-0.66563-0.65406-0.71351
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-144
+132
-150
+135
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
11
6
-0.54834-0.53604-0.68009
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.6%
67.4%
+104
-114
+110
-119
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
5
-0.73560-0.76132-1.12129
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.6%
53.4%
-113
+103
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
1
5
-0.73091-0.71668-0.62815
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-160
+147
-160
+148
-1½+100
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
1
0
-0.50556-0.50395-0.86872
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
45.9%
54.1%
+147
-160
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
9
20
-0.50556-0.50078-0.61356
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.70398 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.70640 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.71339
-0.00940
-0.00699

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.