MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Spencer Strider
Kyle Freeland
53.8%
46.2%
-135
+122
-134
+140
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-110
5.10
4.69
9.79
o9½-118
u10-115
o10½+100
u10½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Parker Messick
Aaron Civale
38.9%
61.1%
-128
+116
-120
+115
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-140
3.87
5.03
8.90
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Clay Holmes
Jack Kochanowicz
47.7%
52.3%
-130
+118
-123
+117
-1½+125
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.71
4.94
9.65
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Kris Bubic
Luis Castillo
42.6%
57.4%
+100
-110
+105
-110
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+185
4.32
5.10
9.42
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Anthony Kay
Griffin Canning
46.4%
53.6%
+151
-165
+158
-165
+1½-141
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+125
4.27
4.65
8.92
o8-115
u8-101
o8½+100
u8½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Leiter
Tyler Holton
45.3%
54.7%
+112
-123
+111
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.69
5.19
9.88
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-115
u8-105
Games for May 2, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
53.6%
46.4%
-107
-103
-104
-105
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
10.31
o8-115
u8-103
o8-105
u8-105
7th
TOP
1
4
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
57.6%
42.4%
+106
-117
+112
-116
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
9.48
o7½-105
u7½-114
o7½-105
u7½-105
7th
TOP
0
0
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
54.1%
45.9%
-145
+131
-135
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
9.20
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-105
6th
TOP
1
2
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
50.0%
50.0%
+156
-173
+160
-160
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
9.36
o8½-123
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
5th
TOP
0
0
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
32.4%
67.6%
+238
-268
+260
-225
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-110
10.23
o9+103
u9-115
o9-105
u8½-105
4th
TOP
2
3
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
52.6%
47.4%
-136
+123
-132
+125
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
9.07
o8-117
u8-103
o8-110
u8-105
4th
BOT
7
0
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.9%
53.1%
+105
-116
+108
-112
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
8.00
o8-108
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
6th
TOP
1
0
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
58.8%
41.2%
-135
+122
-130
+130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
9.35
o10-103
u9½+100
o9-120
u9½-105
3rd
BOT
2
0
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
43.5%
56.5%
+131
-145
+135
-145
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
10.44
o12-105
u12-110
o12+100
u11½+100
3rd
TOP
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
59.2%
40.8%
+197
-220
+205
-215
+1½-114
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
4
5
-0.39860-0.39229-0.89617
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.9%
47.1%
-130
+118
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-137
-1½+115
+1½-135
7
2
-0.59419-0.59012-0.63609
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-195
+175
-190
+185
-1½-120
+1½+107
-1½-124
+1½+115
0
3
-1.03595-1.05334-0.73395
Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
59.9%
40.1%
+130
-143
+137
-144
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+142
7
11
-0.55321-0.53940-0.91349
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-150
+136
-148
+138
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
3
8
-0.88211-0.88390-0.81076
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
-115
+104
-108
+104
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
8
4
-0.65049-0.66479-0.79731
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
51.5%
48.5%
+167
-185
+167
-180
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
2
7
-0.45552-0.45907-0.72453
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
44.3%
55.7%
+144
-159
+140
-147
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+143
2
3
-0.51139-0.53071-0.58605
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-125
+113
-124
+118
-1½+138
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
1
-0.61251-0.60358-0.71707
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.9%
47.1%
-165
+149
-145
+150
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½+115
+1½-115
8
6
-0.49774-0.51632-0.63609
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
59.2%
40.8%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+160
2
5
-0.59419-0.59314-0.89617
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
54.7%
45.3%
+159
-176
+160
-175
+1½-135
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
5
-0.47342-0.47276-0.79158
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
52.0%
48.0%
+131
-145
+135
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+142
3
7
-0.54896-0.54782-0.73391
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
+117
-129
+118
-128
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
8
6
-0.79860-0.79924-0.85701
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+130
-135
+124
-134
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
6
-0.56352-0.57638-0.55692
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
56.3%
43.7%
+147
-163
+145
-140
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+158
2
0
-0.92854-0.88756-0.57533
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks125-7 (0.417)0-0.70228 
Sportsbooks125-7 (0.417)0-0.70836 
DRatings125-7 (0.417)0-0.72576
-0.02348
-0.01740

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.