MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Spencer Strider
Chase Burns
52.3%
47.7%
-109
-101
-107
-102
-1½+141
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.52
4.29
8.81
o8+105
u8-117
o8-105
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Zac Gallen
J.T. Ginn
40.0%
60.0%
+121
-130
+114
-120
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
3.59
4.65
8.24
o10-115
u10-103
o10-115
u10+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Aaron Civale
Kyle Hendricks
53.7%
46.3%
+120
-128
+120
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+160
5.05
4.66
9.71
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Michael McGreevy
Randy Vasquez
40.2%
59.8%
+131
-144
+131
-140
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+148
3.67
4.70
8.37
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Games for Aug 1, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
New York Mets (60-60)
51.4%
48.6%
+162
-180
+180
-184
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
8.16
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
9th
TOP
4
12
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
41.4%
58.6%
+114
-126
+115
-125
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
10.32
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
10th
BOT
4
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+190
-205
+191
-210
+1½+110
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-115
3
4
-0.41412-0.41030-0.40862
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.8%
38.2%
+122
-135
+125
-132
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+170
4
3
-0.82212-0.82426-0.48088
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
52.3%
47.7%
+102
-112
-101
-108
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+190
10
2
-0.72619-0.70966-0.64838
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.8%
51.2%
-179
+161
-174
+165
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
0
6
-0.98377-0.98687-0.67011
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+147
-163
+156
-170
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
8
4
-0.92854-0.96006-0.79242
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+149
-165
+155
-165
+1½-130
-1½+119
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
6
-0.49774-0.48848-0.61426
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.2%
49.8%
-127
+115
-128
+119
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
1
6
-0.78975-0.80176-0.69637
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+137
-151
+141
-147
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+140
9
3
-0.88615-0.88965-0.71849
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
53.1%
46.9%
-137
+124
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.83066-0.84742-0.75816
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-120
+112
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
0
-0.62187-0.62315-0.67966
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.0%
65.0%
+164
-182
+171
-190
+1½-125
-1½+109
+1½-120
-1½+110
10
7
-0.99466-1.02085-1.05034
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
53.9%
46.1%
+120
-132
+124
-126
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
1
-0.58717-0.58819-0.77399
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.6%
38.4%
-110
+100
-110
+104
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
1
-0.67015-0.66054-0.48375
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.7%
51.3%
-159
+144
-160
+150
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
4
8
-0.91544-0.93156-0.66797
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+223
-250
+221
-250
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
0
6
-0.36008-0.36196-0.60285
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+193
-215
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
6
-0.40549-0.41146-0.87074
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-6 (0.567)1-0.69844 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.69119 
DRatings1510-5 (0.667)0-0.64981
0.04863
0.04138

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.