MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 28, 2024

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Games for Dec 27, 2024
Games for Dec 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
38.2%
61.8%
+113
-123
+116
-122
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
1
-0.77696-0.78255-0.96343
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
46.7%
53.3%
+105
-115
+110
-110
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-192
-1½+175
4
1
-0.74028-0.74194-0.76205
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
36.0%
64.0%
+178
-195
+185
-195
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+102
2
6
-0.43448-0.42580-0.44635
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
-133
+123
-133
+127
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
2
-0.82107-0.83105-0.63923
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
41.5%
58.5%
-117
+107
-113
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-164
3
9
-0.74957-0.73601-0.53676
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+183
-199
+185
-190
+1½-121
-1½+101
+1½-123
-1½+110
0
5
-0.42587-0.42889-0.64821
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
42.6%
57.4%
+280
-323
+290
-325
+1½+130
-1½-135
+1½+131
-1½-150
2
4
-0.29612-0.28916-0.55474
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.4%
65.6%
+326
-375
+331
-380
+1½+165
-1½-165
+1½+160
-1½-175
5
6
-0.26031-0.25702-0.42106
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
48.9%
51.1%
-164
+150
-170
+155
-1½-105
+1½-112
-1½-107
+1½-105
7
4
-0.49707-0.48418-0.71562
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
50.4%
49.6%
-119
+123
-124
+124
-1½+145
+1½-142
-1½+132
+1½-145
5
6
-0.79379-0.80647-0.70124
Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+115
-113
+120
-130
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
2
-0.62953-0.59012-0.61074
San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals
57.3%
42.7%
-103
-107
-103
-106
-1½+163
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-185
2
0
-0.70249-0.70019-0.55753
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.6%
59.4%
+231
-262
+235
-265
+1½+111
-1½-130
+1½+112
-1½-125
9
8
-1.22251-1.23320-0.90145
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
32.1%
67.9%
+123
-122
+122
-128
+1½-171
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+160
9
10
-0.59664-0.58909-0.38768
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
46.5%
53.5%
+117
-127
+115
-119
+1½-181
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+178
3
4
-0.60086-0.61841-0.62511
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-188
+172
-190
+175
-1½-120
+1½+102
-1½-120
+1½+105
5
4
-0.44674-0.44150-0.61648
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.