MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Clay Holmes
Jack Kochanowicz
47.7%
52.3%
-129
+117
-123
+117
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.71
4.94
9.65
o9-105
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Kris Bubic
Luis Castillo
42.6%
57.4%
+100
-110
+105
-110

+1½-205
-1½+185
4.32
5.10
9.42
o7½-115
u8-120
o7½-110
u8-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Anthony Kay
Griffin Canning
46.4%
53.6%
+140
-155
+158
-157
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
4.27
4.65
8.92
o8-117
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Leiter
Tyler Holton
45.3%
54.7%
+106
-116
+113
-120
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.69
5.19
9.88
o8-117
u8-103
o8-115
u8-105
Games for May 2, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
50.0%
50.0%
+156
-173
+160
-160
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
9.36
o8½-123
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
8th
BOT
1
1
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
32.4%
67.6%
+238
-268
+260
-225
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-110
10.23
o9+103
u9-115
o9-105
u8½-105
7th
BOT
3
4
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
52.6%
47.4%
-136
+123
-132
+125
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
9.07
o8-117
u8-103
o8-110
u8-105
9th
BOT
7
2
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.9%
53.1%
+105
-116
+108
-112
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
8.00
o8-108
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
10th
TOP
1
1
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
58.8%
41.2%
-135
+122
-130
+130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
9.35
o10-103
u9½+100
o9-120
u9½-105
8th
TOP
3
0
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
43.5%
56.5%
+131
-145
+135
-145
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
10.44
o12-105
u12-110
o12+100
u11½+100
7th
TOP
2
6
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
53.8%
46.2%
-136
+123
-134
+140
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-110
9.74
o9½-119
u10-115
o10½+100
u10½-105
3rd
BOT
3
2
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
38.9%
61.1%
-115
+111
-120
+115
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
8.90
o9-115
u9+100
o9-120
u9½-120
1st
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
+117
-129
+118
-128
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
8
6
-0.79860-0.79924-0.85701
Cincinnati Reds
Tampa Bay Rays
42.7%
57.3%
+130
-135
+124
-134
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
6
-0.56352-0.57638-0.55692
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
56.3%
43.7%
+147
-163
+145
-140
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+158
2
0
-0.92854-0.88756-0.57533
St. Louis Cardinals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+131
-145
+133
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+158
1
4
-0.54896-0.55795-0.67303
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-167
+151
-165
+162
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
1
3
-0.94387-0.96748-0.73395
Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.5%
41.5%
+124
-137
+133
-138
+1½-164
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+148
11
5
-0.83066-0.85484-0.53695
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
51.2%
48.8%
+134
-148
+143
-150
+1½-159
-1½+139
+1½-145
-1½+140
5
2
-0.87397-0.89936-0.66986
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
54.3%
45.7%
-102
-108
+100
-109
+1½-200
-1½+180

4
2
-0.70719-0.71445-0.61114
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-143
+130
-140
+133
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
1
0
-0.55321-0.55144-0.58792
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
-101
-109
+103
-110
+1½-210
-1½+181

1
5
-0.67472-0.66291-0.59882
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
+113
-125
+117
-119
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-178
-1½+165
5
6
-0.61251-0.61415-0.55239
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
51.5%
48.5%
+114
-126
+117
-120
+1½-183
-1½+165

4
7
-0.60877-0.61240-0.72453
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
44.3%
55.7%
+140
-155
+150
-152
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-140
-1½+140
5
3
-0.89968-0.91945-0.81310
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
+113
-125
+115
-105
+1½-192
-1½+170

4
0
-0.78086-0.74253-0.71707
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
52.9%
47.1%
-150
+136
-135
+143
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+122
+1½-125
4
11
-0.88211-0.87378-0.75366
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
57.7%
42.3%
-103
-107
+100
-107
+1½-212
-1½+181
+1½-205
-1½+180
12
4
-0.70249-0.70991-0.55016
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks103-7 (0.300)0-0.72545 
Sportsbooks104-6 (0.400)0-0.72519 
DRatings104-6 (0.400)0-0.73216
-0.00671
-0.00697

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.