MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedAtlanta Braves (65-56)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Austin Cox
Chase Burns
52.3%
47.7%
-109
-101
-107
-102
-1½+141
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.52
4.29
8.81
o8+105
u8-117
o8-105
u8-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Zac Gallen
J.T. Ginn
40.0%
60.0%
+111
-121
+116
-122
+1½-175
-1½+159
+1½-180
-1½+160
3.59
4.65
8.24
o10+101
u9½+100
o10+100
u10-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Aaron Civale
Kyle Hendricks
53.7%
46.3%
+124
-132
+121
-125
+1½-178
-1½+156
+1½-165
-1½+158
5.05
4.66
9.71
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Michael McGreevy
Randy Vasquez
40.2%
59.8%
+140
-154
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
3.67
4.70
8.37
o9+100
u8½+102
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+223
-250
+221
-250
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
0
6
-0.36008-0.36196-0.60285
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+193
-215
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
6
-0.40549-0.41146-0.87074
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+106
-117
+108
-111
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
9
0
-0.74701-0.73919-0.71849
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
3
-0.50878-0.50078-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
+102
-112
+103
-112
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
4
-0.72619-0.72873-0.74589
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.2%
53.8%
+201
-225
+200
-220
+1½-104
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-115
3
4
-0.39196-0.39531-0.62047
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+158
-175
+165
-178
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+125
1
4
-0.47567-0.46334-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-136
+123
-140
+130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
1
6
-0.82640-0.85085-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.0%
50.0%
-128
+116
-127
+120
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
8
-0.79418-0.80236-0.69249
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+139
-153
+143
-154
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
6
-0.52584-0.51805-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+109
-120
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
4
-0.62978-0.61323-0.81405
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.0%
65.0%
+166
-184
+183
-195
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
5
-0.45759-0.42825-0.43051
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.9%
43.1%
+123
-136
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
6
3
-0.82640-0.84211-0.56335
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
57.3%
42.7%
+112
-123
+112
-120
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+190
6
0
-0.77442-0.76841-0.55697
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.8%
51.2%
-172
+155
-170
+157
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
6
2
-0.48253-0.48119-0.71672
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+132
-146
+131
-142
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
12
4
-0.86581-0.85675-0.79242
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.67971 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.67376 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.68446
-0.00475
-0.01070

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.