MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 17, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (69-52)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Will Warren
Taj Bradley
47.1%
52.9%
+103
-113
-102
-107
+1½-199
-1½+180

4.35
4.66
9.01
o9-110
u9-104
o9-105
u9-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Mets (60-60)
Andre Pallante
Griffin Canning
44.5%
55.5%
+126
-139
+126
-129
+1½-180
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.05
4.62
8.67
o7½-120
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Jack Kochanowicz
Kumar Rocker
54.5%
45.5%
+139
-153
+142
-145
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+135
5.53
5.06
10.59
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 16, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
53.7%
46.3%
+128
-140
+127
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160

12.48
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8½-120
2nd
TOP
0
1
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
48.0%
52.0%
+134
-148
+135
-144
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+145
8.62
o7½-104
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½+100
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+127
-140
+132
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
8
-0.56258-0.55979-0.56874
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
51.1%
48.9%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+170
1
2
-0.56258-0.55953-0.71533
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+146
-161
+155
-158
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
3
4
-0.50620-0.49492-0.86230
St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox
41.7%
58.3%
+102
-112
+101
-109
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
5
-0.66116-0.66984-0.53969
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.8%
38.2%
-166
+150
-161
+150
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-102
+1½-105
4
5
-0.94007-0.93300-0.96317
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
56.9%
43.1%
-122
+111
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-150
7
8
-0.76990-0.79098-0.84121
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
44.7%
55.3%
-172
+155
-174
+160
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½-106
+1½-105
4
5
-0.96029-0.97498-0.59247
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
-135
+126
-143
+135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
4
10
-0.83218-0.86833-0.58576
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
39.2%
60.8%
+105
-116
+111
-114
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+195
1
4
-0.64623-0.63639-0.49737
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
50.7%
49.3%
-105
-105
-105
-102

-1½+155
+1½-160
7
4
-0.69315-0.68605-0.67995
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+210
-230
+220
-237
+1½+106
-1½-125
+1½+118
-1½-125
4
0
-1.15078-1.17879-0.92183
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
51.1%
48.9%
+121
-133
+119
-122
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
3
-0.58372-0.60481-0.71482
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+111
-122
+113
-117
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
11
7
-0.76990-0.76475-0.83526
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
59.9%
40.1%
+161
-179
+160
-165
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
6
-0.46825-0.48102-0.91320
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
+104
-114
+104
-109
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+195
8
1
-0.73560-0.72460-0.85701
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.8%
38.2%
-160
+145
-150
+145
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
10
4
-0.50878-0.51896-0.48075
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.58865 
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.58926 
DRatings102-8 (0.200)0-0.72296
-0.13431
-0.13371

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.