Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
44.3%55.7%
Reds WinBrewers Win
3.75Projected Runs 4.35
3Final Score 1
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-63.211.229

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-53.050.991

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta+189
W 2-0 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Wade Miley • MIL: Eric Lauer+112
L 3-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Adrian Houser+106
W 5-2 at Kansas City RoyalsCIN: Sonny Gray • KCR: Brady Singer-126
L 6-7 at Kansas City RoyalsCIN: Luis Castillo • KCR: Kris Bubic-152
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • MIL: Freddy Peralta-205
L 2-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • MIL: Eric Lauer-117
W 3-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • MIL: Adrian Houser-111
W 5-0 at New York MetsMIL: Brett Anderson • NYM: Robert Stock+107
L 3-4 at New York MetsMIL: Corbin Burnes • NYM: Jacob deGrom+157

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • CTucker BarnhartRest
  • PLucas Sims10-day IL
  • 3BKyle FarmerRest
  • 2BMike Moustakas60-day IL
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 3BTravis Shaw60-day IL
  • 2BKolten Wong10-day IL
  • 1BDaniel Vogelbach10-day IL
NE 12 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°71°73°74°
Humidity65%64%58%56%
Precipitation5%5%6%7%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindNE 12 mphNE 12 mphNE 13 mphNE 13 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+131+158+155+156+154+156+158-
Brewers-142-176-180-169-169-169-169-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+130+152+152+155+154+159+159-
Brewers-142-165-167-170-168-169-165-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -170 to -176

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -161 to -168

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145-
Brewers-1½+155-1½+130-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-176+1½-155+1½-152+1½-155+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150-
Brewers-1½+156-1½+135-1½+133-1½+135-1½+140-1½+130-1½+140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-130o7½-101o7-125o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100-
Underu7+110u7½-119u7+105u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o7½+100o7-120o7-120o7-125o7½-105o7-120-
Underu7-105u7½-120u7+100u7+100u7+105u7½-115u7½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-108
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7+100 to u7-110