Pirates at Marlins

Updated
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
39.7%60.3%
Pirates WinMarlins Win
4.04Projected Runs 5.13
4Final Score 3
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Connor Gillispie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-5 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Paul Skenes • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-140
L 4-6 at New York YankeesPIT: Bailey Falter • NYY: Clarke Schmidt+160
W 9-4 at New York YankeesPIT: Paul Skenes • NYY: Luis Gil+122
W 4-2 at New York YankeesPIT: Jared Jones • NYY: Carlos Rodon+142
L 5-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Civale • PIT: Mitch Keller+106
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+134
W 3-1 at Toronto Blue JaysMIA: Ryan Weathers • TOR: Ryan Burr+106
W 8-1 at Toronto Blue JaysMIA: Xzavion Curry • TOR: Yariel Rodriguez+158
W 15-5 at Toronto Blue JaysMIA: Adam Oller • TOR: Jose Berrios+199
W 8-6 at Minnesota TwinsMIA: Valente Bellozo • MIN: David Festa+223

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL
  • PJared Jones15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • RFJesus Sanchez10-day IL
  • PDeclan Cronin15-day IL
  • 2BConnor Norby10-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera15-day IL
  • PRyan Weathers15-day IL
E 15 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°75°74°73°
Humidity61%63%64%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyWindyWindy
WindE 15 mphE 15 mphE 16 mphE 15 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-125--134-126--126-126-
Marlins+115-+112+116-+116+116-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-130-135-126-130-140-126-126-
Marlins+110+120+113+110+125+116+125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 50.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from -134 to -140
Marlins ML moved from +120 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 50.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from -136 to -147
Marlins ML moved from +130 to +122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+130--1½+130-1½+129--1½+129-1½+130-
Marlins+1½-150-+1½-150+1½-149-+1½-149+1½-149-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates-1½+135-1½+120-1½+130+0½+140+1½+131-1½+120-
Marlins+1½-155+1½-140+1½-150+0½-170-1½-145+1½-140-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115-o8½-105o8-118-o8-118o8-118-
Underu7½-105-u8½-115u8-102-u8-102u8½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o8-115o8-115o7½-115o8-115o8-115o7½-115-
Underu7½-110u8-105u8-105u7½-105u8-115u8-105u8-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-103 to o8-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115