Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(54-69)
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
42.1%57.9%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.12Projected Runs 4.95
7Final Score 4
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank24
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Drew Smyly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • CHC: Wade Miley-125
L 7-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • CHC: Justin Steele-130
L 10-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Humberto Castellanos • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-136
L 3-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CHC: Marcus Stroman-118
L 3-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Wil Crowe • CHC: Drew Smyly-155
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Graham Ashcraft • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+225
L 1-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Hunter Greene • TOR: Alek Manoah+230
L 1-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Luis Castillo • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu+167
W 4-2 at Cleveland IndiansCIN: Tyler Mahle • CLE: Cal Quantrill+122
W 5-4 at Cleveland IndiansCIN: Connor Overton • CLE: Zach Plesac+145

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • SSNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • CFMichael Hermosillo10-day IL
  • -Michael RuckerUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PSean NewcombUnknown
  • CWillson ContrerasUnknown
  • PEthan Roberts10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • CFNick SenzelProbable
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
ENE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)64°65°64°62°
Humidity64%64%67%71%
Precipitation0%4%4%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindENE 6 mphNE 6 mphNE 5 mphNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115-124-132-124-124-124-124-118.7
Reds+105+114+110+114+114+114+114+118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115-126-124-124-125-126-124-118.7
Reds+105+116+114+114+115+116+116+118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -115 to -122
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -116 to -125
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+140-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+138
Reds+1½-160+1½-145+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135-1½+130-1½+124-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+138
Reds+1½-154+1½-150+1½-142+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-142+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-105o9+100
Underu9-115u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-120o9-110o9-110o9+100
Underu9-110u9-105u9-105u9-110u9+100u9-110u9+100u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½+100
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110