Padres at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
53.7%46.3%
Padres WinTwins Win
4.95Projected Runs 4.57
3Final Score 4
Rank20
R/G4.6
RA/G5.2
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
Rank20
R/G4.6
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-45.151.364

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 6-1 at Minnesota TwinsSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland
L 5-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • SDP: Joe Musgrove+105
L 2-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Dustin May • SDP: Blake Snell-124
W 2-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • SDP: Yu Darvish+100
W 1-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Cessa • SDP: Seth Lugo-250
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 6-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • MIN: Louie Varland
L 0-2 at Cleveland IndiansMIN: Joe Ryan • CLE: Cal Quantrill-152
L 3-4 at Cleveland IndiansMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Logan Allen+102
W 2-0 at Cleveland IndiansMIN: Bailey Ober • CLE: Peyton Battenfield-115
W 7-3 at Chicago White SoxMIN: Pablo Lopez • CHW: Lucas Giolito-140

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • RFJose Azocar10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • 2BKyle FarmerUnknown
  • PRich HillOut
  • 3BJose MirandaRest
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
SSE 8 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°76°73°70°
Humidity42%46%52%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 8 mphSE 6 mphSE 5 mphSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+109+119+111+117-+117+119-
Twins-119-129-133-127--127-127-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+112+115+119+112+116+112+119-
Twins-125-125-130-125-126-132-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Twins ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +121 to +115
Twins ML moved from -124 to -132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-178-+1½-178+1½-178-
Twins-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+158--1½+158-1½+160-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-185+1½-180+1½-178+1½-180+1½-180+1½-185+1½-178-
Twins-1½+165-1½+160-1½+158-1½+152-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o9+100o8½-130o8½-130-o8½-130o9+100-
Underu8+100u9-120u8½+110u8½+110-u8½+110u8½+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-100o8½-120o9-110o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9-110-
Underu8½-120u8½+100u9-110u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-106 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u9-110