Upcoming Games for September 29, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Michael McGreevy Hayden Birdsong | 40.0% 60.0% | +112 -122 +110 -115 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 3.64 4.68 | 8.32 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-115 u8-115 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Aaron Nola Jake Irvin | 56.1% 43.9% | -136 +125 -131 +125 | -1½+120 +1½-140 -1½+126 +1½-140 | 4.63 3.99 | 8.62 | o7½-112 u7½-108 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Ryan Pepiot Quinn Priester | 48.5% 51.5% | -106 -104 -102 -103 | -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+160 +1½-170 | 4.65 4.81 | 9.46 | o8+100 u8-120 o8-105 u8-110 | |||
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Bailey Falter Clarke Schmidt | 35.9% 64.1% | +155 -169 +155 -168 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+127 | 3.98 5.46 | 9.44 | o8-102 u8-118 o8+100 u8-115 | |||
Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Nathan Eovaldi Jack Kochanowicz | 39.3% 60.7% | -149 +137 -140 +140 | -1½+106 +1½-126 -1½+115 +1½-122 | 4.88 6.01 | 10.89 | o8-115 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Ryan Weathers Ryan Burr | 38.3% 61.7% | +112 -122 +107 -115 | +1½-182 -1½+162 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-105 u7½-105 | |||
San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Martin Perez Brandon Pfaadt | 60.3% 39.7% | +179 -197 +190 -200 | +1½-116 -1½-104 +1½-110 -1½-103 | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | o8½-120 u8½+100 o8½-120 u8½+100 | |||
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | David Peterson Colin Rea | 42.9% 57.1% | -133 +122 -130 +125 | -1½+123 +1½-143 -1½+125 +1½-143 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o8-108 u8-112 o8-105 u8-110 | |||
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Anthony Banda Ryan Feltner | 60.8% 39.2% | -152 +139 -151 +141 | -1½-109 +1½-111 -1½-109 +1½-109 | 5.65 4.51 | 10.16 | o11-114 u11-106 o11-110 u11+100 | |||
Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Ryan Gusto Nick Sandlin | 55.9% 44.1% | +123 -134 +130 -135 | +1½-172 -1½+152 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 4.38 3.77 | 8.15 | o7½-114 u7½-106 o7½-110 u7½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Mitch Spence Logan Gilbert | 52.8% 47.2% | +162 -177 +163 -175 | +1½-138 -1½+118 +1½-144 -1½+126 | 5.06 4.76 | 9.82 | o7-105 u7-115 o7-105 u7-115 | |||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Jonathan Cannon Kenta Maeda | 57.8% 42.2% | +202 -225 +210 -220 | +1½-106 -1½-114 +1½+100 -1½-113 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Albert Suarez Bailey Ober | 39.2% 60.8% | +113 -123 +115 -119 | +1½-182 -1½+162 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 4.68 5.81 | 10.49 | o8-107 u8-113 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Hunter Greene Caleb Kilian | 51.6% 48.4% | -111 +101 -110 +106 | -1½+151 +1½-171 -1½+155 +1½-167 | 4.23 4.06 | 8.29 | o7-108 u7-112 o7-110 u7+100 | |||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Alec Marsh Charlie Morton | 38.5% 61.5% | +186 -205 +181 -200 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-120 -1½+102 | 3.96 5.17 | 9.13 | o8-117 u8-103 o8½+100 u8+100 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia Phillies Colorado Rockies | 55.7% 44.3% | -230 +206 -225 +225 | -1½-160 +1½+145 -1½-160 +1½+145 | 8 4 | -0.38450-0.36772 | -0.58591 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Cincinnati Reds | 56.0% 44.0% | -140 +129 -140 +137 | -1½+105 +1½-124 -1½+105 +1½-115 | 1 3 | -0.84838-0.86814 | -0.81996 | |
Chicago Cubs St. Louis Cardinals | 44.8% 55.2% | -102 -108 +101 -106 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 6 7 | -0.67930-0.67645 | -0.59468 | |
Atlanta Braves Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.2% 42.8% | -147 +135 -146 +140 | -1½+107 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-124 | 1 4 | -0.87488-0.88557 | -0.84875 | |
Milwaukee Brewers Boston Red Sox | 54.2% 45.8% | +136 -148 +139 -145 | +1½-154 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 6 3 | -0.87895-0.88150 | -0.61251 | |
Kansas City Royals Tampa Bay Rays | 37.2% 62.8% | -106 -104 -106 -102 | +1½-218 -1½+188 +1½-210 -1½+192 | 7 4 | -0.68852-0.68377 | -0.98970 | |
Houston Astros Oakland Athletics | 50.1% 49.9% | -150 +141 -140 +143 | -1½+106 +1½-120 -1½+110 +1½-123 | 1 3 | -0.89446-0.88274 | -0.69425 | |
Seattle Mariners Washington Nationals | 47.1% 52.9% | -154 +141 -152 +142 | -1½+105 +1½-122 -1½+102 +1½-115 | 1 3 | -0.90064-0.90002 | -0.63637 | |
Baltimore Orioles Chicago White Sox | 32.9% 67.1% | -162 +148 -162 +153 | -1½-103 +1½-115 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 5 3 | -0.50206-0.49423 | -1.11158 | |
Texas Rangers Minnesota Twins | 41.7% 58.3% | +129 -140 +131 -140 | +1½-168 -1½+148 +1½-164 -1½+155 | 3 5 | -0.55881-0.55511 | -0.53909 | |
San Francisco Giants New York Mets | 51.4% 48.6% | +132 -144 +133 -140 | +1½-171 -1½+151 +1½-170 -1½+165 | 7 2 | -0.86254-0.85830 | -0.66468 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Detroit Tigers | 57.6% 42.4% | +104 -114 +105 -110 | -1½+170 +1½-180 | 1 2 | -0.65243-0.65817 | -0.85920 | |
New York Yankees San Diego Padres | 43.4% 56.6% | -117 +107 -116 +110 | -1½+150 +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-165 | 8 0 | -0.63974-0.63482 | -0.83407 | |
Houston Astros Oakland Athletics | 58.3% 41.7% | -173 +158 -170 +158 | -1½-105 +1½-109 -1½-103 +1½-105 | 6 3 | -0.47726-0.47970 | -0.53995 | |
Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks | 46.5% 53.5% | +165 -180 +175 -178 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-120 -1½+115 | 3 0 | -0.99458-1.01550 | -0.76666 | |
Cleveland Indians Los Angeles Angels | 47.5% 52.5% | -106 -104 -101 -103 | -1½+157 +1½-177 -1½+155 +1½-175 | 10 4 | -0.68852-0.69802 | -0.74450 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 14 | 7-7 (0.500) | 0 | -0.73740 | |
Sportsbooks | 14 | 7-7 (0.500) | 0 | -0.73525 | |
DRatings | 14 | 8-6 (0.571) | 0 | -0.66378 | 0.07362 0.07147 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.