Upcoming Games for September 30, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Undecided Undecided Undecided Undecided | 44.1% 55.9% | 4.12 4.74 | 8.86 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves New York Mets | 57.6% 42.4% | -154 +141 -150 +144 | -1½+115 +1½-131 -1½+116 +1½-125 | 4 1 | -0.52140-0.52062 | -0.55243 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Baltimore Orioles | 44.5% 55.5% | +136 -148 +146 -142 | +1½-150 -1½+132 +1½-145 -1½+140 | 4 5 | -0.53652-0.52636 | -0.58942 | |
| Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates | 52.9% 47.1% | -115 +105 -112 +105 | -1½+153 +1½-173 -1½+155 +1½-167 | 9 10 | -0.74028-0.73382 | -0.75213 | |
| Minnesota Twins Toronto Blue Jays | 37.4% 62.6% | +130 -142 +131 -140 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+148 | 8 10 | -0.55443-0.55511 | -0.46877 | |
| Cincinnati Reds San Francisco Giants | 44.3% 55.7% | +130 -139 +133 -135 | +1½-170 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 4 2 | -0.84915-0.84952 | -0.81376 | |
| Oakland Athletics Seattle Mariners | 50.3% 49.7% | +142 -155 +140 -149 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+146 | 1 8 | -0.51869-0.52846 | -0.69892 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres | 55.7% 44.3% | -178 +163 -171 +158 | -1½-110 +1½-105 -1½-105 +1½+100 | 1 2 | -0.98730-0.96622 | -0.81394 | |
| Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Angels | 41.3% 58.7% | -117 +107 -114 +109 | -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-150 | 2 1 | -0.63974-0.64090 | -0.88387 | |
| Texas Rangers Colorado Rockies | 42.6% 57.4% | -183 +167 -174 +172 | -1½-120 +1½+102 -1½-118 +1½+110 | 2 4 | -1.00302-1.00332 | -0.55521 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Milwaukee Brewers | 40.7% 59.3% | +113 -123 +111 -117 | +1½-183 -1½+163 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 2 11 | -0.61582-0.63074 | -0.52253 | |
| Atlanta Braves New York Mets | 49.5% 50.5% | -142 +130 -140 +133 | -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+120 +1½-130 | 4 2 | -0.55443-0.55144 | -0.70302 | |
| Cleveland Indians Chicago White Sox | 39.5% 60.5% | +103 -113 +106 -112 | +1½-205 -1½+185 -1½+180 +1½-190 | 3 6 | -0.65676-0.65174 | -0.50302 | |
| Washington Nationals Boston Red Sox | 32.9% 67.1% | +186 -205 +190 -206 | +1½-110 -1½-109 +1½-110 -1½-105 | 5 1 | -1.07236-1.08258 | -1.11179 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Miami Marlins | 57.8% 42.2% | -188 +172 -185 +176 | -1½-124 +1½+110 -1½-125 +1½+117 | 8 2 | -0.44674-0.44351 | -0.54896 | |
| Minnesota Twins Toronto Blue Jays | 41.5% 58.5% | +103 -113 +103 -110 | +1½-210 -1½+185 +1½-200 -1½+190 | 3 2 | -0.73091-0.72433 | -0.87866 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Baltimore Orioles | 47.9% 52.1% | +119 -129 +125 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 2 4 | -0.59365-0.58016 | -0.65224 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.46185 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.47678 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.44432 | 0.01753 0.03246 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.