MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
34.9%
65.1%
-123
+112
-120
+111
-1½+140
+1½-160

2
1
-0.61798-0.62534-1.05131
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
44.3%
55.7%
+195
-215
+195
-210
+1½-105
-1½-113
+1½+100
-1½-105
9
5
-1.10310-1.09808-0.81450
New York Yankees
Seattle Mariners
52.5%
47.5%
-150
+136
-142
+135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
11
5
-0.53428-0.54535-0.64363
Kansas City Royals
Houston Astros
35.6%
64.4%
+106
-115
+111
-118
+1½-200
-1½+183
+1½-190
-1½+190
7
5
-0.74282-0.76179-1.03375
Colorado Rockies
Texas Rangers
51.1%
48.9%
+223
-250
+227
-250
+1½+115
-1½-133
+1½+125
-1½-135
1
2
-0.36008-0.35636-0.71488
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs
46.7%
53.3%
+231
-260
+230
-260
+1½+110
-1½-129
+1½+110
-1½-125
2
5
-0.34946-0.35037-0.62833
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
40.8%
59.2%
+166
-184
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
4
-0.45759-0.45497-0.52411
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
36.8%
63.2%
+143
-158
+147
-155
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
4
-0.51401-0.51046-0.45864
St. Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia Phillies
44.1%
55.9%
+147
-163
+152
-160
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
2
-0.92854-0.93639-0.81842
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.9%
42.1%
-118
+107
-113
+106
-1½+145
+1½-160

2
14
-0.75162-0.73854-0.86472
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Indians
59.1%
40.9%
-113
+103
-114
+110
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+160
+1½-155
0
5
-0.73091-0.75080-0.89458
Philadelphia Phillies
Cleveland Indians
63.3%
36.7%
-163
+147
-160
+152
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-115
3
0
-0.50274-0.49765-0.45798
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
54.2%
45.8%
+158
-175
+165
-165
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+130
9
1
-0.97146-0.97456-0.61195
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
64.3%
35.7%
-118
+107
-110
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
+1½-210
-1½+200
8
1
-0.63790-0.64663-0.44197
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
37.7%
62.3%
-138
+125
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-133
7
3
-0.56900-0.55953-0.97554
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
48.9%
51.1%
-149
+135
-135
+133
-1½+100
+1½-117
-1½+115
+1½-115
12
2
-0.53715-0.55795-0.71562
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.