MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Feb 2, 2026
Games for Feb 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
52.3%
47.7%
-300
+265
-304
+280
-1½-210
+1½+180
-1½-190
+1½+190
3
9
-1.31841-1.35050-0.73995
Milwaukee Brewers
Tampa Bay Rays
46.1%
53.9%
+115
-127
+126
-128
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.78975-0.81923-0.77362
Cincinnati Reds
Houston Astros
41.5%
58.5%
+126
-139
+132
-141
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
6
-0.56577-0.55199-0.53671
Miami Marlins
Chicago White Sox
41.0%
59.0%
-131
+119
-132
+123
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-142
2
4
-0.80735-0.81925-0.52743
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
53.9%
46.1%
+138
-152
+145
-145
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+143
6
7
-0.52863-0.52452-0.77490
Boston Red Sox
Kansas City Royals
58.8%
41.2%
+117
-129
+122
-130
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
1
-0.79860-0.81306-0.53120
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
45.3%
54.7%
+101
-111
+110
-115
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+192
6
1
-0.72144-0.75294-0.79290
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.8%
40.2%
-215
+193
-220
+208
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+130
3
4
-1.09856-1.13703-0.91016
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
47.9%
52.1%
+121
-133
+126
-135
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+155
6
1
-0.81604-0.83218-0.73539
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
42.6%
57.4%
+113
-125
+117
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
6
-0.61251-0.61240-0.55426
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
54.2%
45.8%
+116
-128
+125
-131
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
6
3
-0.79418-0.82241-0.61195
Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels
34.6%
65.4%
-142
+129
-137
+130
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
5
-0.85174-0.84567-0.42528
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-234
+209
-240
+220
-1½-152
+1½+140
-1½-160
+1½+155
21
0
-0.37975-0.36652-0.58792
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.0%
38.0%
+108
-119
+109
-108
+1½-190
-1½+165

0
3
-0.63380-0.65310-0.96869
San Francisco Giants
Minnesota Twins
52.3%
47.7%
-113
+103
-105
+107


1
2
-0.73091-0.72282-0.73927
Chicago Cubs
New York Mets
42.6%
57.4%
+149
-165
+155
-145
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+135
6
5
-0.93624-0.91995-0.85449
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.