MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Corbin Burnes
Trevor Williams
44.7%
55.3%
-166
+150
-170
+157
-1½-105
+1½-112
-1½-105
+1½-110
3.85
4.41
8.26
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Sandy Alcantara
Grant Holmes
42.3%
57.7%
+138
-152
+135
-145
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.73
4.53
8.26
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+105
u7½-115
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Tyler Glasnow
Cristopher Sanchez
56.9%
43.1%
-140
+127
-126
+121
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+140
+1½-145
4.68
3.95
8.63
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Will Warren
Andrew Heaney
61.8%
38.2%
-171
+154
-168
+155
-1½-115
+1½-102
-1½-110
+1½-108
5.37
4.14
9.51
o9+101
u9-120
o9+100
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Andre Pallante
Sean Newcomb
41.7%
58.3%
+104
-115
+107
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+172
4.40
5.26
9.66
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Martin Perez
Jackson Jobe
57.8%
42.2%
+184
-205
+200
-210
+1½-113
-1½+105
+1½-113
-1½+100
5.05
4.23
9.28
o7½-115
u8-116
o8+105
u7½+100
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bowden Francis
David Peterson
51.1%
48.9%
+120
-132
+118
-128
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.67
4.55
9.22
o7½+100
u7½-112
o7½-105
u7½-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Carson Spiers
Chad Patrick
43.4%
56.6%
+130
-143
+134
-145
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
4.05
4.74
8.79
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8½+100
u8½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Cade Povich
Kris Bubic
42.4%
57.6%
-106
-104
-105
-103
-1½+150
+1½-165

4.45
5.24
9.69
o7½-120
u8½-130
o8-110
u8+100
Houston Astros (70-50)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Ronel Blanco
Chris Paddack
56.2%
43.8%
+106
-113
+109
-117
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
5.45
4.81
10.26
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½+100
u8½-120
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Kyle Hart
Ben Brown
55.5%
44.5%
+118
-130
+125
-130

+1½-170
-1½+158
4.48
3.91
8.39

o7½+105
u7½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Drew Rasmussen
Kumar Rocker
59.9%
40.1%
-105
-105
-103
-105


5.68
4.64
10.32
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Joey Estes
Chase Dollander
53.9%
46.1%
-107
-103
-110
+102
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
5.46
5.05
10.51
o10½+100
u10½-110
o10½+100
u10-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Bryan Woo
Jordan Hicks
39.2%
60.8%
+117
-126
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3.90
5.03
8.93
o7½-108
u8-120
o7½-105
u7½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Luis Ortiz
Tyler Anderson
44.3%
55.7%
-122
+111
-115
+110
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+140
+1½-150
4.43
5.03
9.46
o9+100
u9-112
o9-105
u9-115
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Miles Mikolas
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
41.7%
58.3%
+104
-124
+100
-120
+1½-195
-1½+165
-1½+150
+1½-178
4.40
5.26
9.66
o8½-120
u8½+100
o9-115
u9-105
Games for Apr 7, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
-135
+126
-143
+135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
4
10
-0.83218-0.86833-0.58576
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
39.2%
60.8%
+105
-116
+111
-114
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+195
1
4
-0.64623-0.63639-0.49737
Oakland Athletics
Colorado Rockies
50.7%
49.3%
-105
-105
-105
-102

-1½+155
+1½-160
7
4
-0.69315-0.68605-0.67995
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
39.8%
60.2%
+210
-230
+220
-237
+1½+106
-1½-125
+1½+118
-1½-125
4
0
-1.15078-1.17879-0.92183
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Mets
51.1%
48.9%
+121
-133
+119
-122
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
3
-0.58372-0.60481-0.71482
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+111
-122
+113
-117
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
11
7
-0.76990-0.76475-0.83526
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
59.9%
40.1%
+161
-179
+160
-165
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
4
6
-0.46825-0.48102-0.91320
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
+104
-114
+104
-109
+1½-208
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+195
8
1
-0.73560-0.72460-0.85701
New York Yankees
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.8%
38.2%
-160
+145
-150
+145
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
10
4
-0.50878-0.51896-0.48075
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
50.7%
49.3%
-103
-107
+100
-104
+1½-210
-1½+180

3
1
-0.70249-0.70289-0.67875
Arizona Diamondbacks
Washington Nationals
41.1%
58.9%
-131
+119
-126
+120
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-142
3
4
-0.80735-0.80044-0.52999
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
55.5%
44.5%
+103
-113
+107
-110
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+200
1
7
-0.65676-0.65350-0.81038
Houston Astros
Minnesota Twins
55.3%
44.7%
+113
-125
+120
-125
+1½-196
-1½+171
+1½-190
-1½+170
1
6
-0.61251-0.59784-0.80569
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+207
-232
+210
-220
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
2
7
-0.38262-0.38472-0.86230
Cleveland Indians
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
-109
-101
-110
+102
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+148
+1½-160
8
6
-0.67472-0.66532-0.81346
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+112
-123
+115
-124
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
3
-0.61798-0.60989-0.56874
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-6 (0.536)1-0.68217 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.68594 
DRatings146-8 (0.429)0-0.72665
-0.04448
-0.04071

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.