Upcoming Games for October 1, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tarik Skubal Framber Valdez | 34.7% 65.3% | +131 -142 +132 -140 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 3.34 4.92 | 8.26 | o6-125 u6½-110 o6½+105 u6+100 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Cole Ragans Corbin Burnes | 47.6% 52.4% | +140 -153 +138 -146 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 4.42 4.67 | 9.09 | o7+103 u7-120 o7+105 u6½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Luis Severino Freddy Peralta | 47.2% 52.8% | +128 -139 +127 -135 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.50 4.80 | 9.30 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Undecided Undecided Mike King | 47.9% 52.1% | +143 -156 +144 -154 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-164 -1½+150 | 4.26 4.48 | 8.74 | o7-105 u7-115 o7+105 u7-115 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels Cleveland Indians | 50.0% 50.0% | +136 -148 +140 -150 | +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-154 -1½+140 | 1 4 | -0.53652-0.52736 | -0.69231 | |
| Detroit Tigers New York Yankees | 34.0% 66.0% | +114 -124 +118 -124 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-190 -1½+180 | 2 5 | -0.61201-0.60358 | -0.41485 | |
| Colorado Rockies Pittsburgh Pirates | 52.8% 47.2% | +146 -159 +152 -156 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-148 -1½+135 | 3 5 | -0.50811-0.50150 | -0.75177 | |
| Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Dodgers | 39.2% 60.8% | +173 -189 +179 -187 | +1½-125 -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+107 | 2 11 | -0.44476-0.43830 | -0.49686 | |
| San Diego Padres Arizona Diamondbacks | 57.6% 42.4% | +105 -115 +105 -112 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+173 | 13 1 | -0.74028-0.73382 | -0.55203 | |
| Miami Marlins Oakland Athletics | 36.3% 63.7% | +121 -132 +125 -130 | +1½-192 -1½+170 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 4 20 | -0.58515-0.58016 | -0.45058 | |
| New York Mets Tampa Bay Rays | 42.3% 57.7% | -105 -105 -101 -103 | +1½-210 -1½+190 | 1 3 | -0.69315-0.68830 | -0.54951 | |
| Seattle Mariners Houston Astros | 38.0% 62.0% | +127 -138 +134 -139 | +1½-176 -1½+156 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 5 0 | -0.83993-0.85906 | -0.96685 | |
| San Francisco Giants Philadelphia Phillies | 51.0% 49.0% | +153 -167 +155 -160 | +1½-148 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+132 | 3 14 | -0.48977-0.49303 | -0.71396 | |
| Texas Rangers Kansas City Royals | 44.1% 55.9% | -107 -103 -107 -101 | -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 15 4 | -0.68389-0.67911 | -0.81844 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Cincinnati Reds | 39.6% 60.4% | +112 -122 +112 -114 | +1½-183 -1½+163 -1½+163 +1½-180 | 2 1 | -0.77245-0.75581 | -0.92558 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Cleveland Indians | 49.3% 50.7% | +116 -126 +117 -123 | +1½-179 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+163 | 1 7 | -0.60453-0.60732 | -0.67960 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Washington Nationals | 66.2% 33.8% | -168 +154 -165 +155 | -1½+100 +1½-117 -1½+100 +1½-115 | 6 3 | -0.48737-0.48848 | -0.41263 | |
| Colorado Rockies Pittsburgh Pirates | 52.8% 47.2% | +202 -225 +198 -220 | +1½-118 -1½+100 +1½-110 -1½-105 | 0 1 | -0.39090-0.39750 | -0.75177 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs | 55.0% 45.0% | +123 -134 +123 -127 | +1½-174 -1½+154 +1½-174 -1½+165 | 5 6 | -0.57834-0.58864 | -0.79906 | |
| Chicago White Sox St. Louis Cardinals | 53.0% 47.0% | +157 -172 +160 -165 | +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-138 -1½+120 | 6 5 | -0.96511-0.96273 | -0.63450 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.57686 | |
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.58755 | |
| DRatings | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.70005 | -0.12320 -0.11250 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.