MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
40.9%
59.1%
+115
-127
+108
-116
+1½-176
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
3
-0.78975-0.75001-0.89289
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.9%
49.1%
+100
-109
+103
-109
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+180
1
5
-0.67229-0.66503-0.71147
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Angels
52.0%
48.0%
-113
+103
-110
+102
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-162
3
8
-0.73091-0.72177-0.73391
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
38.9%
61.1%
-112
+102
-112
+105
-1½+150
+1½-164
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
2
-0.72619-0.73382-0.49328
Houston Astros
Milwaukee Brewers
48.7%
51.3%
+111
-121
+111
-117
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
4
-0.62358-0.63074-0.66746
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.9%
60.1%
+145
-160
+158
-170
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
9
-0.50878-0.47970-0.50971
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
56.7%
43.3%
+214
-240
+225
-240
+1½+101
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-115
3
4
-0.37237-0.36179-0.83589
San Francisco Giants
Chicago Cubs
55.7%
44.3%
+129
-142
+134
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
14
5
-0.85174-0.86079-0.58453
Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox
32.8%
67.2%
-116
+105
-113
+105
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
6
1
-0.64623-0.65204-1.11621
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+193
-215
+195
-210
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-102
1
2
-0.40549-0.40573-0.59012
Cleveland Indians
Washington Nationals
37.7%
62.3%
-107
+102
-107
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-150
9
1
-0.67178-0.66458-0.97564
San Diego Padres
New York Yankees
45.9%
54.1%
+119
-131
+115
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
12
-0.59066-0.61153-0.61410
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
46.2%
53.8%
-130
+118
-128
+123
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-150
8
4
-0.59419-0.58709-0.77254
Los Angeles Dodgers
Miami Marlins
64.6%
35.4%
-220
+200
-225
+210
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+140
4
5
-1.11923-1.14618-1.03874
Cleveland Indians
Washington Nationals
37.7%
62.3%
-117
+106
-115
+108
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
9
10
-0.74701-0.74790-0.47313
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
40.9%
59.1%
-114
+105
-117
+108
-1½+145
+1½-158

6
7
-0.73814-0.75211-0.52673
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.