Upcoming Games for October 1, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tarik Skubal Framber Valdez | 34.7% 65.3% | +130 -142 +132 -140 | +1½-180 -1½+164 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 3.34 4.92 | 8.26 | o6½-105 u6+103 o6½+105 u6+100 | |||
Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Cole Ragans Corbin Burnes | 47.6% 52.4% | +142 -153 +138 -146 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 4.49 4.74 | 9.23 | o7+103 u7-120 o7+105 u6½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Luis Severino Freddy Peralta | 47.2% 52.8% | +128 -139 +127 -135 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.50 4.80 | 9.30 | o7½+100 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Undecided Undecided Mike King | 47.9% 52.1% | +143 -156 +144 -154 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-164 -1½+150 | 4.26 4.48 | 8.74 | o7-105 u7-115 o7+105 u7-115 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs | 55.0% 45.0% | +102 -112 +100 -108 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 3 1 | -0.72619-0.71219 | -0.59738 | |
Cleveland Indians Houston Astros | 37.6% 62.4% | +120 -132 +128 -135 | +1½-172 -1½+152 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 2 8 | -0.58717-0.56729 | -0.47167 | |
Washington Nationals Texas Rangers | 42.7% 57.3% | +173 -189 +181 -187 | +1½-125 -1½+108 +1½-115 -1½+110 | 0 6 | -0.44476-0.43578 | -0.55614 | |
San Francisco Giants Boston Red Sox | 48.6% 51.4% | +108 -118 +108 -115 | +1½-190 -1½+165 | 3 1 | -0.75417-0.74790 | -0.72208 | |
Chicago Cubs New York Mets | 44.2% 55.8% | +101 -111 +103 -109 | +1½-198 -1½+173 +1½-200 -1½+177 | 6 7 | -0.66563-0.66503 | -0.58257 | |
New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles | 61.8% 38.2% | +102 -112 +100 -107 | -1½+155 +1½-175 | 2 7 | -0.66116-0.67666 | -0.96131 | |
Colorado Rockies Miami Marlins | 47.0% 53.0% | +152 -166 +156 -170 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 4 5 | -0.49218-0.48268 | -0.63422 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers Arizona Diamondbacks | 66.9% 33.1% | -136 +125 -134 +130 | -1½+115 +1½-133 -1½+117 +1½-130 | 8 0 | -0.57167-0.56488 | -0.40258 | |
Cleveland Indians Houston Astros | 27.5% 72.5% | +163 -178 +161 -170 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-135 -1½+118 | 3 2 | -0.98730-0.97204 | -1.29091 | |
Washington Nationals Texas Rangers | 40.9% 59.1% | +177 -194 +177 -183 | +1½-120 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 1 0 | -1.03950-1.02647 | -0.89482 | |
San Francisco Giants Boston Red Sox | 48.6% 51.4% | +137 -149 +140 -150 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-153 -1½+135 | 2 6 | -0.53363-0.52736 | -0.66503 | |
Chicago Cubs New York Mets | 42.6% 57.4% | -122 +112 -116 +112 | -1½+145 +1½-163 -1½+146 +1½-165 | 1 0 | -0.61967-0.63038 | -0.85449 | |
Colorado Rockies Miami Marlins | 48.3% 51.7% | +125 -136 +132 -132 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 1 4 | -0.57167-0.56393 | -0.66033 | |
New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles | 58.3% 41.7% | +136 -148 +140 -147 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-160 -1½+141 | 2 0 | -0.87895-0.88719 | -0.54012 | |
Cincinnati Reds San Diego Padres | 42.9% 57.1% | +131 -143 +131 -140 | +1½-168 -1½+148 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 2 6 | -0.55137-0.55511 | -0.55991 | |
Philadelphia Phillies Los Angeles Angels | 51.3% 48.7% | -197 +179 -205 +193 | -1½-128 +1½+110 -1½-130 +1½+115 | 2 1 | -0.43201-0.41065 | -0.66670 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.57686 | |
Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.58755 | |
DRatings | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.70005 | -0.12320 -0.11250 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.