Upcoming Games for October 1, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tarik Skubal Framber Valdez | 34.7% 65.3% | +135 -147 +138 -142 | +1½-183 -1½+163 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 3.34 4.92 | 8.26 | o6-120 u6½-115 o6½+100 u6+100 | Overall Bet Value Active All Bet Values Active | ||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Cole Ragans Corbin Burnes | 47.6% 52.4% | +131 -143 +140 -147 | +1½-173 -1½+155 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 4.49 4.74 | 9.23 | o7+106 u7-123 o7+105 u6½+105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Luis Severino Freddy Peralta | 47.2% 52.8% | +129 -140 +131 -140 | +1½-175 -1½+156 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 4.50 4.80 | 9.30 | o7½+105 u7½-117 o7½+105 u7½-115 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Undecided Undecided Mike King | 47.9% 52.1% | +153 -167 +155 -163 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-153 -1½+140 | 4.26 4.48 | 8.74 | o7+100 u7-115 o7-105 u7-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves Seattle Mariners | 52.7% 47.3% | -185 +169 -180 +170 | -1½-112 +1½+100 -1½-110 +1½-105 | 5 2 | -0.45279-0.45497 | -0.64107 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Oakland Athletics | 34.2% 65.8% | -106 -104 -103 -105 | -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-175 | 0 4 | -0.69780-0.68844 | -0.41857 | |
| Kansas City Royals Toronto Blue Jays | 37.0% 63.0% | +126 -137 +127 -136 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 6 1 | -0.83570-0.83644 | -0.99452 | |
| Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox | 40.4% 59.6% | -214 +193 -210 +190 | -1½-139 +1½+120 -1½-134 +1½+120 | 10 5 | -0.40599-0.41146 | -0.90547 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Detroit Tigers | 51.5% 48.5% | -114 +104 -109 +106 | 1 4 | -0.73560-0.72965 | -0.72408 | ||
| Tampa Bay Rays Milwaukee Brewers | 47.5% 52.5% | -105 -105 -102 -103 | -1½+155 +1½-175 | 1 7 | -0.69315-0.69073 | -0.64438 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Oakland Athletics | 33.0% 67.0% | -130 +120 -125 +121 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+131 +1½-150 | 2 5 | -0.80802-0.80100 | -0.40042 | |
| Atlanta Braves Seattle Mariners | 47.1% 52.9% | -122 +112 -120 +114 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-155 | 2 3 | -0.77245-0.77347 | -0.63684 | |
| Cincinnati Reds San Diego Padres | 39.1% 60.9% | +148 -162 +153 -165 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+136 | 4 6 | -0.50206-0.49153 | -0.49638 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Arizona Diamondbacks | 66.9% 33.1% | -111 +101 -109 +100 | -1½+140 +1½-156 -1½+145 +1½-152 | 3 4 | -0.72144-0.71445 | -1.10440 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Los Angeles Angels | 50.9% 49.1% | -169 +155 -170 +157 | -1½-106 +1½-110 -1½-103 +1½-105 | 7 5 | -0.48503-0.48119 | -0.67619 | |
| Cleveland Indians Houston Astros | 37.6% 62.4% | +151 -165 +154 -163 | +1½-138 -1½+125 +1½-130 -1½+125 | 9 10 | -0.49462-0.49179 | -0.47167 | |
| Washington Nationals Texas Rangers | 42.7% 57.3% | +144 -157 +148 -156 | +1½-151 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+136 | 1 7 | -0.51336-0.50785 | -0.55614 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Milwaukee Brewers | 51.8% 48.2% | +166 -182 +165 -172 | +1½-141 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+130 | 2 8 | -0.45901-0.46797 | -0.72987 | |
| Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox | 40.4% 59.6% | -177 +162 -166 +163 | -1½-115 +1½-105 -1½-105 +1½-103 | 6 5 | -0.46833-0.47580 | -0.90547 | |
| San Francisco Giants Boston Red Sox | 46.9% 53.1% | -135 +124 -130 +125 | -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 0 4 | -0.82716-0.82055 | -0.63299 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.57686 | |
| Sportsbooks | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.58755 | |
| DRatings | 2 | 1-1 (0.500) | 0 | -0.70005 | -0.12320 -0.11250 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.