MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Feb 3, 2026
Games for Feb 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+140
-155
+150
-160
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
7
5
-0.89968-0.93156-0.76486
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
37.5%
62.5%
+138
-152
+140
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-154
-1½+135
11
9
-0.89016-0.89199-0.98158
Oakland Athletics
Miami Marlins
54.1%
45.9%
-105
-105
-102
+102
-1½+145
+1½-163
-1½+155
+1½-165
3
2
-0.69315-0.68330-0.61459
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
30.8%
69.2%
-113
+103
-112
+103


5
4
-0.65676-0.65878-1.17811
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
40.7%
59.3%
+175
-195
+175
-190
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
5
4
-1.03595-1.03022-0.89958
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
54.5%
45.5%
+130
-143
+135
-140
+1½-166
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+143
11
6
-0.85590-0.86325-0.60624
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.4%
38.6%
-106
-104
-105
-102


4
0
-0.68852-0.68605-0.48770
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
49.1%
50.9%
-115
+104
-109
+104
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+144
+1½-155
5
6
-0.73771-0.72460-0.67580
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
53.9%
46.1%
+120
-132
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
10
3
-0.81171-0.80044-0.61752
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
40.8%
59.2%
-190
+171
-195
+180
-1½-120
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+110
2
5
-1.02085-1.04762-0.52459
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
51.2%
48.8%
-104
-106
+100
-110
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
4
0
-0.69780-0.71668-0.66865
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
38.8%
61.2%
-113
+103
-110
+107
-1½+145
+1½-162

6
2
-0.65676-0.65350-0.94734
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
51.6%
48.4%
-120
+109
-127
+124
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
2
1
-0.62978-0.58665-0.66248
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+164
-182
+167
-184
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
11
6
-0.99466-1.00425-0.84416
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
32.5%
67.5%
+101
-111
+107
-114
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
7
-0.66563-0.64546-0.39278
San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.4%
38.6%
+104
-115
+115
-114
+1½-192
-1½+170

2
1
-0.73771-0.76329-0.48770
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.