MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
41.5%
58.5%
+107
-118
+106
-115
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
7
-0.63790-0.64582-0.53676
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
30.8%
69.2%
+155
-172
+155
-164
+1½-139
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
5
-0.48253-0.48937-0.36797
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+203
-227
+215
-230
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-115
0
3
-0.38895-0.37533-0.62624
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
51.7%
48.3%
+126
-139
+130
-140
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
3
-0.56577-0.55696-0.72710
Arizona Diamondbacks
Philadelphia Phillies
38.9%
61.1%
+141
-156
+140
-152
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
3
-0.51935-0.52520-0.49223
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
37.7%
62.3%
+236
-265
+235
-255
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
4
3
-1.23533-1.22564-0.97450
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-143
+130
-146
+135
-1½+120
+1½-132
-1½+110
+1½-125
10
4
-0.55321-0.54056-0.93303
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
47.1%
52.9%
-107
-103
-109
+102

-1½+155
+1½-170
2
4
-0.70249-0.71953-0.63590
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
43.0%
57.0%
+151
-167
+160
-170
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-125
-1½+120
4
2
-0.94387-0.96964-0.84364
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+113
-125
+125
-127
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+158
3
0
-0.78086-0.81484-0.54239
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago White Sox
46.7%
53.3%
-155
+140
-155
+147
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
0
8
-0.89968-0.91684-0.62961
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
47.8%
52.2%
-124
+113
-117
+117
-1½+135
+1½-152

3
4
-0.77892-0.77473-0.64926
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
36.7%
63.3%
+145
-160
+148
-160
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
8
2
-0.91937-0.92669-1.00307
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Mets
42.7%
57.3%
+142
-157
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
2
-0.90760-0.93156-0.84996
St. Louis Cardinals
Cincinnati Reds
44.1%
55.9%
-120
+109
-118
+111
-1½+140
+1½-160

1
9
-0.76081-0.76179-0.58146
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.9%
47.1%
+110
-121
+114
-120
+1½-185
-1½+169
+1½-190
-1½+175
8
3
-0.76535-0.77347-0.63745
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.