Upcoming Games for October 1, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tarik Skubal Framber Valdez | 33.1% 66.9% | +125 -136 +130 -135 | +1½-190 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 3.26 5.00 | 8.26 | o6½+100 u6½-120 o6½+100 u6½-110 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Cole Ragans Corbin Burnes | 47.6% 52.4% | +130 -142 +133 -140 | +1½-176 -1½+156 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 4.49 4.74 | 9.23 | o6½-125 u6½+105 o6½-120 u6½+105 | Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Luis Severino Freddy Peralta | 47.2% 52.8% | +131 -143 +134 -141 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+155 | 4.50 4.80 | 9.30 | o7½+100 u7½-120 o7½+105 u7½-120 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Undecided Undecided Mike King | 47.9% 52.1% | +157 -172 +160 -171 | +1½-147 -1½+130 +1½-147 -1½+130 | 4.26 4.48 | 8.74 | o7½+105 u7+105 o7-120 u7+105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles | 59.6% 40.4% | +120 -130 +122 -128 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-167 -1½+160 | 0 2 | -0.59012-0.58909 | -0.90513 | |
| Chicago Cubs Boston Red Sox | 38.6% 61.4% | +136 -148 +135 -140 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 4 5 | -0.53652-0.54782 | -0.48753 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Seattle Mariners | 40.9% 59.1% | +123 -134 +125 -126 | +1½-181 -1½+161 +1½-180 -1½+176 | 3 2 | -0.82287-0.81290 | -0.89443 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres | 45.6% 54.4% | +127 -138 +138 -148 | +1½-164 -1½+145 +1½-153 -1½+140 | 8 6 | -0.83993-0.88390 | -0.78498 | |
| Minnesota Twins Los Angeles Angels | 45.3% 54.7% | -102 -108 -104 -105 | -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-175 | 11 5 | -0.70719-0.69549 | -0.79266 | |
| Houston Astros Colorado Rockies | 60.0% 40.0% | -242 +215 -230 +220 | -1½-172 +1½+160 -1½-165 +1½+160 | 8 2 | -0.37063-0.37044 | -0.50999 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates San Francisco Giants | 32.6% 67.4% | -107 -103 -104 -105 | 2 3 | -0.70249-0.69081 | -0.39408 | ||
| Cincinnati Reds Texas Rangers | 55.8% 44.2% | +121 -132 +122 -128 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 3 4 | -0.58515-0.58909 | -0.81690 | |
| New York Yankees Milwaukee Brewers | 47.8% 52.2% | -134 +123 -129 +122 | -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+126 +1½-140 | 15 5 | -0.57834-0.58758 | -0.73860 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Chicago White Sox | 47.5% 52.5% | -135 +124 -134 +129 | -1½+117 +1½-130 -1½+120 +1½-130 | 2 4 | -0.82716-0.83785 | -0.64462 | |
| Kansas City Royals Detroit Tigers | 49.5% 50.5% | +152 -166 +160 -170 | +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-140 -1½+135 | 1 4 | -0.49218-0.47678 | -0.68343 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals New York Mets | 44.5% 55.5% | +131 -143 +131 -135 | +1½-173 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 2 4 | -0.55137-0.56165 | -0.58918 | |
| Washington Nationals Miami Marlins | 40.9% 59.1% | +120 -130 +124 -131 | +1½-170 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+154 | 12 9 | -0.80802-0.81991 | -0.89455 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Toronto Blue Jays | 49.5% 50.5% | -103 -107 +102 -108 | +1½-208 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 1 3 | -0.68389-0.66959 | -0.68231 | |
| Cleveland Indians Atlanta Braves | 40.8% 59.2% | +136 -148 +146 -141 | +1½-145 -1½+127 +1½-145 -1½+141 | 3 4 | -0.53652-0.52756 | -0.52411 | |
| Oakland Athletics Baltimore Orioles | 57.4% 42.6% | +176 -193 +180 -190 | +1½-120 -1½+100 +1½-120 -1½+105 | 7 6 | -1.03603-1.04185 | -0.55574 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.30955 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.32768 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.58239 | -0.27284 -0.25471 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.