Upcoming Games for October 1, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | AJ Smith-Shawver Mike King | 47.9% 52.1% | +172 -188 +175 -182 | +1½-126 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 4.26 4.48 | 8.74 | o7½-105 u7½-114 o7½+105 u7+105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics New York Yankees | 44.8% 55.2% | +243 -277 +235 -260 | +1½+115 -1½-135 +1½+125 -1½-128 | 3 1 | -1.25850-1.22946 | -0.80397 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Washington Nationals | 68.5% 31.5% | -167 +153 -169 +155 | -1½-102 +1½-110 -1½-104 +1½-110 | 2 1 | -0.48977-0.48503 | -0.37813 | |
| San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies | 54.2% 45.8% | -142 +130 -137 +134 | -1½+105 +1½-123 -1½+108 +1½-125 | 9 10 | -0.85426-0.85555 | -0.78069 | |
| Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers | 52.0% 48.0% | -117 +107 -114 +106 | -1½+136 +1½-156 -1½+135 +1½-151 | 4 3 | -0.63974-0.64777 | -0.65389 | |
| Houston Astros Chicago Cubs | 65.0% 35.0% | -143 +131 -141 +133 | -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+120 +1½-135 | 1 3 | -0.85840-0.86003 | -1.04971 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Kansas City Royals | 56.5% 43.5% | -115 +105 -107 +101 | 1 2 | -0.74028-0.71245 | -0.83285 | ||
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 53.3% 46.7% | +178 -195 +175 -190 | +1½-115 -1½-103 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 3 6 | -0.43448-0.44150 | -0.76153 | |
| Boston Red Sox Cleveland Indians | 56.4% 43.6% | +115 -125 +117 -125 | +1½-185 -1½+172 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 4 6 | -0.60825-0.60404 | -0.82901 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Cincinnati Reds | 46.8% 53.2% | -164 +150 -163 +158 | -1½-105 +1½-115 -1½-103 +1½-105 | 5 0 | -0.49707-0.48574 | -0.75939 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Pittsburgh Pirates | 58.1% 41.9% | -138 +127 -137 +128 | -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+128 +1½-145 | 7 5 | -0.56518-0.56460 | -0.54352 | |
| San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies | 55.5% 44.5% | -144 +132 -140 +135 | -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½+100 +1½-110 | 5 2 | -0.54834-0.54782 | -0.58792 | |
| Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers | 52.2% 47.8% | +132 -144 +132 -140 | +1½-163 -1½+145 +1½-158 -1½+140 | 1 5 | -0.54834-0.55326 | -0.73900 | |
| Houston Astros Chicago Cubs | 57.1% 42.9% | -106 -104 -107 +100 | +1½-230 -1½+200 | 3 4 | -0.69780-0.70991 | -0.84683 | |
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 53.3% 46.7% | +180 -198 +185 -199 | +1½-123 -1½+110 +1½-120 -1½+107 | 3 6 | -0.43017-0.42344 | -0.76153 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Kansas City Royals | 56.9% 43.1% | -127 +117 -129 +120 | -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+129 +1½-140 | 2 3 | -0.79483-0.80616 | -0.84158 | |
| Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves | 48.3% 51.7% | +234 -265 +229 -250 | +1½+135 -1½-145 +1½+125 -1½-140 | 3 4 | -0.34528-0.35455 | -0.65950 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 3 | 0-3 (0.000) | 0 | -0.84327 | |
| Sportsbooks | 3 | 0-3 (0.000) | 0 | -0.85099 | |
| DRatings | 3 | 0-3 (0.000) | 0 | -0.86634 | -0.02307 -0.01535 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.