MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 5, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Logan Webb
Mike Burrows
60.0%
40.0%
-132
+120
-135
+125
-1½+130
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.76
3.71
8.47
o7-120
u7½-122
o7½+100
u7½-120
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Zebby Matthews
Chris Paddack
52.2%
47.8%
+127
-140
+133
-138
+1½-161
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.97
4.73
9.70
o8-110
u8-107
o8-110
u8-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Steven Okert
Cal Quantrill
57.3%
42.7%
-107
-103
-103
-107

-1½+160
+1½-170
4.66
3.89
8.55
o8½+100
u8+100
o8-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Luis Severino
MacKenzie Gore
53.0%
47.0%
+115
-127
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+158
5.09
4.77
9.86
o8½-115
u8½-101
o8½-110
u8½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Dean Kremer
Taijuan Walker
36.1%
63.9%
+121
-133
+121
-130
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+150
4.32
5.77
10.09
o9½-120
u9½+100
o9½-120
u9½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Ryan Bergert
Garrett Crochet
38.3%
61.7%
+208
-233
+215
-243
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.50
5.72
10.22
o7½-115
u7½+100
o8+100
u7½+105
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
New York Mets (60-60)
Logan Allen
Clay Holmes
43.4%
56.6%
+139
-154
+140
-155
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
4.22
4.91
9.13
o8½-105
u8½-112
o8½-105
u8½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Freddy Peralta
Joey Wentz
43.8%
56.2%
-137
+124
-140
+131
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
4.25
4.90
9.15
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+105
u7½-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Zack Littell
Shota Imanaga
51.6%
48.4%
+159
-176
+160
-170
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.39
4.21
8.60
o7½+101
u7½-115
o7½+105
u7½-120
New York Yankees (69-52)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Will Warren
Nathan Eovaldi
60.1%
39.9%
+110
-121
+112
-121
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
5.60
4.54
10.14
o8-110
u8-106
o8-115
u8+100
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Jose Berrios
Anthony Molina
55.4%
44.6%
-212
+195
-225
+205
-1½-152
+1½+140
-1½-155
+1½+140
5.55
4.98
10.53
o11½-116
u11½+100
o11½-110
u11½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ryan Pepiot
Jose Soriano
52.3%
47.7%
+111
-122
+117
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.74
4.50
9.24
o8-110
u8½-120
o8-110
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Yu Darvish
Ryne Nelson
63.9%
36.1%
-127
+115
-127
+118
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
4.61
3.15
7.76
o9+100
u8½+101
o9+105
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Davis Martin
Bryan Woo
54.0%
46.0%
+206
-230
+220
-231
+1½-108
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
5.19
4.77
9.96
o7½-110
u7½-109
o7½-110
u7½-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Miles Mikolas
Emmet Sheehan
35.1%
64.9%
+163
-181
+161
-175
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
3.61
5.17
8.78
o9-121
u9+105
o9-115
u9+100
Games for Aug 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+117
-126
+118
-128
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+158
5
9
-0.60245-0.59724-0.66844
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+158
-175
+160
-168
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
7
-0.47567-0.47844-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-113
+103
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
1
4
-0.73091-0.74028-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+206
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38450-0.38243-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
8
10
-0.76990-0.75927-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.3%
46.7%
+123
-136
+121
-125
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.57558-0.59580-0.76200
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+121
-132
+125
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
10
-0.58515-0.57442-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+127
-140
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.84337-0.84492-0.58530
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
-168
+152
-170
+160
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
1
-0.49043-0.47678-0.75830
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-169
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.95145-0.94595-0.99010
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
+126
-139
+131
-139
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-170
-1½+153
3
5
-0.56577-0.55638-0.73840
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
45.4%
54.6%
-250
+223
-237
+215
-1½-162
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+140
7
1
-0.36008-0.37254-0.78988
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
6
1
-0.58717-0.60404-0.61633
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+140
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
8
2
-0.89968-0.90892-0.78781
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
45.4%
54.6%
-118
+107
-110
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
4
-0.63790-0.65350-0.78880
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks135-8 (0.385)0-0.69600 
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.69952 
DRatings135-8 (0.385)0-0.76543
-0.06942
-0.06591

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.