MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 6, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Robbie Ray
Andrew Heaney
61.6%
38.4%
-145
+131
-142
+131
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-132
4.75
3.52
8.27
o8-120
u8+100
o8-110
u8+100
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Trevor Rogers
Ranger Suarez
36.4%
63.6%
+154
-170
+160
-172
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-137
-1½+122
4.11
5.54
9.65
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8½-120
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Pierson Ohl
Jack Flaherty
48.2%
51.8%
+146
-161
+150
-165
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
4.36
4.55
8.91
o8-110
u8-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
New York Mets (60-60)
Gavin Williams
David Peterson
43.4%
56.6%
+158
-175
+152
-162
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-145
-1½+130
5.40
6.09
11.49
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Andrew Abbott
Cade Horton
51.6%
48.4%
+117
-129
+119
-129
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.42
4.26
8.68
o7½-113
u7½-105
o7½-105
u7½-110
New York Yankees (69-52)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Carlos Rodon
Jack Leiter
60.1%
39.9%
-130
+118
-127
+117
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
5.82
4.76
10.58
o8-110
u8-103
o8-120
u8+100
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Kevin Gausman
Kyle Freeland
55.7%
44.3%
-210
+189
-215
+195
-1½-145
+1½+126
-1½-150
+1½+140
5.56
4.96
10.52
o11½+103
u11½-115
o11½+105
u11½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Baz
Tyler Anderson
52.3%
47.7%
-115
+104
-112
+106
-1½+139
+1½-159
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.71
4.47
9.18
o9+100
u9-119
o9+100
u9-120
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Matthew Liberatore
Shohei Ohtani
35.1%
64.9%
+186
-207
+190
-208
+1½-110
-1½-109
+1½-105
-1½-110
3.67
5.23
8.90
o9-120
u9+105
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Spencer Arrighetti
Janson Junk
57.3%
42.7%
-112
+102
-106
-102
-1½+151
+1½-172
-1½+157
+1½-170
4.66
3.89
8.55
o8½-102
u8+100
o8½+100
u8+100
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jeffrey Springs
Cade Cavalli
53.0%
47.0%
-127
+115
-125
+116
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
5.09
4.77
9.86
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Michael Wacha
Dustin May
38.2%
61.8%
+126
-139
+130
-135
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.48
5.72
10.20
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Jose Quintana
Spencer Strider
48.0%
52.0%
+116
-128
+117
-122
+1½-180
-1½+159
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.21
4.41
8.62
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Nestor Cortes
Anthony DeSclafani
60.3%
39.7%
-142
+129
-138
+128
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
4.67
3.60
8.27
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Jonathan Cannon
George Kirby
54.0%
46.0%
+223
-250
+220
-249
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
5.33
4.90
10.23
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Games for Aug 5, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+158
-175
+160
-168
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
7
-0.47567-0.47844-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-113
+103
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
1
4
-0.73091-0.74028-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+206
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38450-0.38243-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
8
10
-0.76990-0.75927-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.3%
46.7%
+123
-136
+121
-125
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.57558-0.59580-0.76200
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+121
-132
+125
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
10
-0.58515-0.57442-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+127
-140
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.84337-0.84492-0.58530
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
-168
+152
-170
+160
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
1
-0.49043-0.47678-0.75830
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-169
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.95145-0.94595-0.99010
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
+126
-139
+131
-139
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-170
-1½+153
3
5
-0.56577-0.55638-0.73840
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
45.4%
54.6%
-250
+223
-237
+215
-1½-162
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+140
7
1
-0.36008-0.37254-0.78988
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
6
1
-0.58717-0.60404-0.61633
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+140
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
8
2
-0.89968-0.90892-0.78781
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
45.4%
54.6%
-118
+107
-110
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
4
-0.63790-0.65350-0.78880
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
62.2%
37.8%
-109
-101
-108
+100

+1½-220
-1½+195
2
8
-0.71192-0.71219-0.97201
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64204 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.63488 
DRatings1511-4 (0.733)0-0.62797
0.01408
0.00692

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.