MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 7, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jacob Lopez
Mitchell Parker
53.0%
47.0%
-132
+123
-125
+118
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-145
5.07
4.76
9.83
o9-113
u9-105
o9-105
u9-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Shane Smith
Logan Gilbert
54.0%
46.0%
+238
-268
+238
-270
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
5.12
4.69
9.81
o7½+102
u7½-120
o7½+105
u7½-115
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Brady Singer
Paul Skenes
57.6%
42.4%
+152
-168
+151
-165
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+137
4.83
4.03
8.86
o7-120
u7+100
o7-120
u7+105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Eury Perez
Carlos Carrasco
39.8%
60.2%
+103
-113
+104
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180

3.86
4.92
8.78
o8½+100
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 6, 2025
Games for Aug 8, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-113
+103
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
1
4
-0.73091-0.74028-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+206
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38450-0.38243-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
8
10
-0.76990-0.75927-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.3%
46.7%
+123
-136
+121
-125
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.57558-0.59580-0.76200
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+121
-132
+125
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
10
-0.58515-0.57442-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+127
-140
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.84337-0.84492-0.58530
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
-168
+152
-170
+160
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
1
-0.49043-0.47678-0.75830
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-169
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.95145-0.94595-0.99010
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
+126
-139
+131
-139
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-170
-1½+153
3
5
-0.56577-0.55638-0.73840
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
45.4%
54.6%
-250
+223
-237
+215
-1½-162
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+140
7
1
-0.36008-0.37254-0.78988
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
6
1
-0.58717-0.60404-0.61633
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+140
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
8
2
-0.89968-0.90892-0.78781
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
45.4%
54.6%
-118
+107
-110
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
4
-0.63790-0.65350-0.78880
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
62.2%
37.8%
-109
-101
-108
+100

+1½-220
-1½+195
2
8
-0.71192-0.71219-0.97201
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
47.3%
52.7%
+119
-130
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+156
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59214-0.59012-0.64010
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.72866 
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.72910 
DRatings155-10 (0.333)0-0.74353
-0.01488
-0.01444

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.