MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 9, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Yusei Kikuchi
Charlie Morton
52.9%
47.1%
+121
-133
+120
-130
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.57
4.26
8.83
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Nick Martinez
Braxton Ashcraft
57.6%
42.4%
-105
-105
-105
-103

-1½+155
+1½-170
4.90
4.10
9.00
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jack Perkins
Brandon Young
59.8%
40.2%
+100
-110
+101
-111
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-192
-1½+175
5.57
4.55
10.12
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-110
New York Mets (60-60)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Reed Garrett
Tobias Myers
42.9%
57.1%
+105
-116
+115
-118
+1½-189
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
4.01
4.75
8.76
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9-115
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Noah Cameron
Bailey Ober
43.5%
56.5%
-113
+103
-114
+105
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
4.86
5.53
10.39
o9-105
u9-113
o9-105
u8½+100
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Joey Cantillo
Sean Burke
39.5%
60.5%
-125
+113
-125
+116
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
4.03
5.13
9.16
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Colin Rea
Andre Pallante
44.8%
55.2%
-117
+106
-112
+105


4.16
4.70
8.86
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Sandy Alcantara
Erick Fedde
42.4%
57.6%
-105
-105
-106
-101
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
3.82
4.62
8.44
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Jesus Luzardo
Jacob deGrom
55.8%
44.2%
+110
-121
+120
-125
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.20
4.59
9.79
o7-121
u7½-120
o7-120
u7+105
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Bradley Blalock
Eduardo Rodriguez
51.7%
48.3%
+193
-215
+200
-215
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-110
4.92
4.75
9.67
o9-116
u9+100
o9-110
u9½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Lucas Giolito
Mike King
51.4%
48.6%
+121
-133
+122
-128
+1½-178
-1½+156
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.71
4.57
9.28
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-120
u7½+100
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chris Bassitt
Blake Snell
41.3%
58.7%
+135
-147
+145
-154
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-145
-1½+135
4.30
5.21
9.51
o8½-112
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Joe Boyle
Logan Evans
54.6%
45.4%
+124
-137
+126
-135
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.55
4.06
8.61
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-110
Games for Aug 8, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Washington Nationals (52-68)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
38.9%
61.1%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-150
-1½+130
9.12
o8-110
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
7th
BOT
4
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+132
-146
+131
-142
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
12
4
-0.86581-0.85675-0.79242
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+107
-118
+106
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
7
-0.63790-0.64777-0.87074
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.2%
53.8%
+190
-212
+195
-205
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
8
3
-1.08874-1.09285-0.77152
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+117
-126
+118
-128
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+158
5
9
-0.60245-0.59724-0.66844
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+158
-175
+160
-168
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
7
-0.47567-0.47844-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-113
+103
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
1
4
-0.73091-0.74028-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+206
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38450-0.38243-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
8
10
-0.76990-0.75927-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.3%
46.7%
+123
-136
+121
-125
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.57558-0.59580-0.76200
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+121
-132
+125
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
10
-0.58515-0.57442-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+127
-140
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.84337-0.84492-0.58530
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
-168
+152
-170
+160
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
1
-0.49043-0.47678-0.75830
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-169
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.95145-0.94595-0.99010
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
+126
-139
+131
-139
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-170
-1½+153
3
5
-0.56577-0.55638-0.73840
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
45.4%
54.6%
-250
+223
-237
+215
-1½-162
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+140
7
1
-0.36008-0.37254-0.78988
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1713-4 (0.765)0-0.63044 
Sportsbooks1713-4 (0.765)0-0.63383 
DRatings179-8 (0.529)0-0.69358
-0.06314
-0.05974

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.