MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 10, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		RunsTotal
Runs		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)		Shota Imanaga
Sonny Gray		44.8%
55.2%
-122
+111
-118
+114
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.16
4.70		8.86
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Games for Aug 9, 2025
Games for Aug 11, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Closing
ML		Closing
Spread		Orig. Total
Runs		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)		57.6%
42.4%
-103
-107
-101
-108

-1½+160
+1½-180
9.09
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8-105
9th
TOP		9
8
New York Mets (60-60)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)		42.9%
57.1%
-101
-108
+100
-103

+1½-200
-1½+195
8.76
o8-110
u8-107
o8-120
u8+105
8th
BOT		6
5
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)		39.5%
60.5%
-125
+113
-123
+118
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
9.21
o9+100
u9-120
o9+110
u9-115
9th
TOP		4
6
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Texas Rangers (42-78)		53.5%
46.5%
-155
+140
-157
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-125
9.61
o7½+103
u7½-120
o7½+105
u7½-115
7th
BOT		3
2
Washington Nationals (52-68)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)		38.9%
61.1%
+139
-154
+140
-153
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
9.12
o8-103
u8-115
o8-105
u8+100
2nd
BOT		4
0
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)		51.7%
48.3%
+234
-263
+250
-260
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+126
-1½-130
9.67
o9-112
u9-105
o9-105
u9-105
2nd
BOT		2
3
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)		54.6%
45.4%
+154
-171
+160
-170
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+124
8.82
o7½-112
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½+100
1st
BOT		0
4
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
San Diego Padres (67-56)		45.3%
54.7%
+129
-142
+131
-142
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
9.41
o7½-114
u7½-105
o7½-110
u8-120
2nd
BOT		0
0
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)		40.7%
59.3%
+157
-174
+158
-165
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+118
9.37
o9-105
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
2nd
TOP		1
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML		Best
Spread		Final
Runs		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks		56.9%
43.1%
+123
-136
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
6
3		-0.82640-0.84211-0.56335
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners		57.3%
42.7%
+112
-123
+112
-120
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+190
6
0		-0.77442-0.76841-0.55697
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies		48.8%
51.2%
-172
+155
-170
+157
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
6
2		-0.48253-0.48119-0.71672
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs		45.3%
54.7%
+132
-146
+131
-142
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
12
4		-0.86581-0.85675-0.79242
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers		58.1%
41.9%
+107
-118
+106
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
7		-0.63790-0.64777-0.87074
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays		46.2%
53.8%
+190
-212
+195
-205
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
8
3		-1.08874-1.09285-0.77152
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves		48.7%
51.3%
+117
-126
+118
-128
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+158
5
9		-0.60245-0.59724-0.66844
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets		45.9%
54.1%
+158
-175
+160
-168
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
7		-0.47567-0.47844-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays		47.4%
52.6%
-113
+103
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
1
4		-0.73091-0.74028-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies		49.3%
50.7%
+206
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
3		-0.38450-0.38243-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals		50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
8
10		-0.76990-0.75927-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates		53.3%
46.7%
+123
-136
+121
-125
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3		-0.57558-0.59580-0.76200
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians		49.3%
50.7%
+121
-132
+125
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
10		-0.58515-0.57442-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins		55.7%
44.3%
+127
-140
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1		-0.84337-0.84492-0.58530
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers		46.8%
53.2%
-168
+152
-170
+160
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
1		-0.49043-0.47678-0.75830
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners		56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3		-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1811-5 (0.667)2-0.66173 
Sportsbooks1812-6 (0.667)0-0.66222 
DRatings1810-8 (0.556)0-0.65812
0.00361
0.00410

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.