MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 13, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Mitch Keller
Brandon Woodruff
29.1%
70.9%
+182
-203
+180
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
3.21
5.35
8.56
o7½+100
u7½-107
o7½-110
u7½-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Shane Smith
36.2%
63.8%




3.83
5.27
9.10


Washington Nationals (52-68)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Jake Irvin
Seth Lugo
49.3%
50.7%
+160
-175
+160
-172
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+120
4.83
4.90
9.73
o9+105
u9-120
o9+105
u9-110
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Austin Gomber
Michael McGreevy
44.8%
55.2%
+180
-200
+185
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
4.68
5.22
9.90
o9+105
u8½-105
o9+105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Zac Gallen
Merrill Kelly
49.8%
50.2%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.39
4.41
8.80
o8½-105
u8+105
o8-115
u8+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Nick Pivetta
Kai-Wei Teng
46.6%
53.4%
-163
+147
-148
+134
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
3.92
4.29
8.21
o8-110
u8-110
o8+100
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Cristopher Sanchez
Hunter Greene
46.8%
53.2%
-137
+124
-135
+125
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
4.42
4.76
9.18
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Logan Gilbert
Trevor Rogers
53.9%
46.1%
-148
+134
-136
+130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
5.36
4.96
10.32
o8½-110
u8½-110
o9+100
u8½-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Eury Perez
Gavin Williams
45.8%
54.2%
+115
-127
+114
-120
+1½-187
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.13
4.57
8.70
o7½-120
u8-115
o7½-120
u7½+105
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Ryan
Cam Schlittler
39.6%
60.4%
+118
-130
+120
-129
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-160
-1½+150
4.64
5.73
10.37
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Cade Horton
Kevin Gausman
38.4%
61.6%
+113
-125
+114
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.12
5.33
9.45
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-115
u8½-105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Carlos Carrasco
David Peterson
49.5%
50.5%
+169
-188
+175
-187
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
4.60
4.66
9.26
o9-110
u9-105
o9-105
u8½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Walker Buehler
Hunter Brown
43.7%
56.3%
+152
-168
+148
-160
+1½-146
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
4.40
5.05
9.45
o8-105
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shohei Ohtani
Kyle Hendricks
57.5%
42.5%
-200
+180
-196
+185
-1½-132
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+110
5.20
4.42
9.62
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-110
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Drew Rasmussen
J.T. Ginn
48.6%
51.4%
-130
+118
-120
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.35
4.50
8.85
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 12, 2025
Games for Aug 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.2%
49.8%
-127
+115
-128
+119
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
1
6
-0.78975-0.80176-0.69637
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+137
-151
+141
-147
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+140
9
3
-0.88615-0.88965-0.71849
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
53.1%
46.9%
-137
+124
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.83066-0.84742-0.75816
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-120
+112
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
0
-0.62187-0.62315-0.67966
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.0%
65.0%
+164
-182
+171
-190
+1½-125
-1½+109
+1½-120
-1½+110
10
7
-0.99466-1.02085-1.05034
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
53.9%
46.1%
+120
-132
+124
-126
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
1
-0.58717-0.58819-0.77399
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.6%
38.4%
-110
+100
-110
+104
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
1
-0.67015-0.66054-0.48375
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.7%
51.3%
-159
+144
-160
+150
-1½-113
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
4
8
-0.91544-0.93156-0.66797
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+223
-250
+221
-250
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
0
6
-0.36008-0.36196-0.60285
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+193
-215
+190
-210
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
6
-0.40549-0.41146-0.87074
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+106
-117
+108
-111
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
9
0
-0.74701-0.73919-0.71849
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
3
-0.50878-0.50078-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
+102
-112
+103
-112
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
5
4
-0.72619-0.72873-0.74589
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.2%
53.8%
+201
-225
+200
-220
+1½-104
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-115
3
4
-0.39196-0.39531-0.62047
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+158
-175
+165
-178
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+125
1
4
-0.47567-0.46334-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-136
+123
-140
+130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
1
6
-0.82640-0.85085-0.70682
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.69799 
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.69697 
DRatings1510-5 (0.667)0-0.65759
0.04040
0.03939

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.