Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Jared Jones Rhett Lowder | 36.4% 63.6% | +108 -118 +110 -117 | +1½-184 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+165 | 3.85 5.27 | 9.12 | o9-105 u8½-105 o9-105 u9-115 | |||
| Washington Nationals (52-68) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | MacKenzie Gore Kyle Hendricks | 45.0% 55.0% | +125 -136 +125 -133 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 4.33 4.86 | 9.19 | o8½+100 u8-102 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Reese Olson Cade Povich | 50.1% 49.9% | +112 -122 +112 -117 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 4.75 4.73 | 9.48 | o8½-105 u8½-114 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Ranger Suarez Sean Manaea | 46.6% 53.4% | +108 -111 +105 -113 | +1½-205 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+189 | 4.11 4.46 | 8.57 | o7½-102 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Max Fried Adam Oller | 61.9% 38.1% | -252 +223 -250 +224 | -1½-140 +1½+135 -1½-158 +1½+140 | 4.38 3.13 | 7.51 | o8-112 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Yariel Rodriguez Taj Bradley | 46.5% 53.5% | +121 -132 +120 -130 | +1½-178 -1½+160 +1½-185 -1½+166 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o7½-110 u7½-105 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
| Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -138 +127 -135 +127 | -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+120 +1½-138 | 4.56 5.45 | 10.01 | o7½-106 u8-115 o8+100 u8-120 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Landen Roupp Brady Singer | 54.8% 45.2% | +135 -147 +140 -148 | +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-154 -1½+135 | 4.91 4.40 | 9.31 | o8½+100 u8½-117 o8½+105 u8½-115 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | Emerson Hancock Max Scherzer | 52.2% 47.8% | +118 -121 +118 -126 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 5.32 5.10 | 10.42 | o8-110 u8½-115 o8-120 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Merrill Kelly Aaron Civale | 33.9% 66.1% | -103 -107 +100 -110 | +1½-208 -1½+180 +1½-204 -1½+180 | 3.18 4.85 | 8.03 | o8½-107 u8½-110 o8½+100 u8½-120 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Reid Detmers Ronel Blanco | 40.0% 60.0% | +196 -218 +215 -225 | +1½-107 -1½-110 +1½-105 -1½-110 | 4.04 5.09 | 9.13 | o7½-113 u8-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Matthew Boyd Miles Mikolas | 45.7% 54.3% | -124 +114 -125 +119 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 | 4.18 4.62 | 8.80 | o7½-118 u8-115 o7½-105 u8-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Chris Flexen Martin Perez | 46.4% 53.6% | +238 -270 +250 -280 | +1½+108 -1½-120 +1½+115 -1½-130 | 4.25 4.63 | 8.88 | o8-110 u8-110 o8+100 u8-105 | |||
| New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Carlos Rodon JP Sears | 48.2% 51.8% | -173 +158 -172 +160 | -1½+100 +1½-115 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.72 4.91 | 9.63 | o8+100 u7½+100 o8+100 u8-120 | |||
| Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Cal Quantrill Walker Buehler | 33.5% 66.5% | +238 -270 +240 -270 | +1½+108 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-128 | 4.27 5.98 | 10.25 | o9+100 u9-118 o8½-120 u8½+100 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals Houston Astros | 36.8% 63.2% | +164 -179 +164 -170 | +1½-139 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+135 | 2 3 | -0.46399-0.47101 | -0.45963 | |
| Oakland Athletics Texas Rangers | 58.1% 41.9% | +117 -127 +118 -123 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 9 2 | -0.79483-0.78955 | -0.54239 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Cleveland Indians | 40.0% 60.0% | +133 -144 +145 -143 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+140 | 8 10 | -0.54652-0.52685 | -0.51094 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals New York Yankees | 39.7% 60.3% | +166 -182 +165 -178 | +1½-126 -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+108 | 3 6 | -0.45901-0.46334 | -0.50527 | |
| San Diego Padres Tampa Bay Rays | 46.6% 53.4% | +107 -117 +109 -116 | +1½-192 -1½+170 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 13 5 | -0.74957-0.75256 | -0.76265 | |
| Chicago Cubs Washington Nationals | 45.9% 54.1% | -154 +141 -152 +146 | -1½+105 +1½-122 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 7 6 | -0.52140-0.51519 | -0.77796 | |
| Boston Red Sox Detroit Tigers | 59.4% 40.6% | -117 +107 -110 +105 | -1½+135 +1½-154 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 7 5 | -0.63974-0.65817 | -0.52118 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds | 50.3% 49.7% | +104 -114 +108 -114 | +1½-183 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+170 | 14 0 | -0.73560-0.74575 | -0.68740 | |
| Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies | 45.1% 54.9% | +123 -134 +126 -131 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 7 2 | -0.82287-0.82490 | -0.79553 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Cincinnati Reds | 50.3% 49.7% | -111 +101 -110 +105 | -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+136 +1½-155 | 5 4 | -0.66563-0.65817 | -0.68740 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Los Angeles Dodgers | 28.2% 71.8% | +120 -130 +129 -129 | +1½-165 -1½+147 +1½-155 -1½+155 | 3 6 | -0.59012-0.57391 | -0.33197 | |
| Kansas City Royals Houston Astros | 37.6% 62.4% | +141 -154 +145 -151 | +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-145 -1½+140 | 3 6 | -0.52140-0.51788 | -0.47188 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox | 48.2% 51.8% | +114 -124 +119 -125 | +1½-182 -1½+162 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 2 0 | -0.78145-0.79600 | -0.72977 | |
| Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies | 49.1% 50.9% | +143 -155 +145 -154 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+131 | 4 5 | -0.51701-0.51473 | -0.67519 | |
| Oakland Athletics Cincinnati Reds | 49.2% 50.8% | +117 -127 +120 -128 | +1½-167 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+146 | 9 10 | -0.60086-0.59314 | -0.67680 | |
| New York Mets Arizona Diamondbacks | 56.0% 44.0% | +107 -117 +112 -116 | +1½-185 -1½+167 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 3 2 | -0.74957-0.76012 | -0.58057 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.62780 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.62336 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.63554 | -0.00774 -0.01218 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.