Upcoming Games for May 4, 2026
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | UNDECIDED UNDECIDED Tomoyuki Sugano | 51.1% 48.9% | -148 +134 -139 +131 | -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 5.13 5.02 | 10.15 | o10½-115 u10½-101 o10½-115 u10½-105 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Aaron Nola Janson Junk | 51.7% 48.3% | -107 -103 -110 +102 | -1½+149 +1½-170 -1½+143 +1½-160 | 4.56 4.39 | 8.95 | o8½-115 u8½-105 o8½-110 u8½-105 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Payton Tolle Tarik Skubal | 58.2% 41.8% | +191 -213 +204 -230 | +1½-120 -1½+108 +1½-115 -1½+100 | 5.33 4.47 | 9.80 | o7+100 u7-113 o7+100 u7-120 | |||
| Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | UNDECIDED UNDECIDED Nick Martinez | 46.5% 53.5% | +112 -123 +105 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+175 +1½-205 -1½+180 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Shane Baz Cam Schlittler | 32.4% 67.6% | +199 -222 +195 -210 | +1½-104 -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 4.67 6.48 | 11.15 | o8½-110 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½-110 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Chase Petty Edward Cabrera | 51.6% 48.4% | +193 -208 +187 -196 | +1½+107 -1½-127 +1½-105 -1½-115 | 5.44 5.28 | 10.72 | o11½+100 u11½-120 o11½+100 u11½-110 | |||
| Cleveland Indians (58-61) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Tanner Bibee Michael Wacha | 49.3% 50.7% | +109 -120 +111 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 4.67 4.75 | 9.42 | o9-110 u9-107 o9-105 u8½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Chad Patrick Kyle Leahy | 53.0% 47.0% | -113 +103 -108 +102 | -1½+152 +1½-173 -1½+145 +1½-160 | 4.72 4.40 | 9.12 | o8-115 u8-103 o8-115 u8-105 | |||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Houston Astros (70-50) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Steven Okert | 50.6% 49.4% | -197 +182 -205 +185 | -1½-120 +1½+112 -1½-130 +1½+110 | 4.34 4.28 | 8.62 | o9+110 u9-120 o8½-115 u8½+100 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Davis Martin Jose Soriano | 51.7% 48.3% | +136 -150 +142 -152 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 5.14 4.97 | 10.11 | o7½-115 u7½-103 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | JR Ritchie Logan Gilbert | 52.7% 47.3% | +133 -147 +147 -156 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+135 | 4.82 4.55 | 9.37 | o7½-105 u7½-110 o7½+100 u7½-110 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Randy Vasquez UNDECIDED UNDECIDED | 46.6% 53.4% | -140 +129 -145 +135 | -1½+120 +1½-137 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 3.93 4.29 | 8.22 | o8-108 u8-110 o8-105 u8-105 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics New York Mets | 49.6% 50.4% | +140 -155 +141 -147 | +1½-153 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+145 | 11 6 | -0.89968-0.88965 | -0.70094 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Cincinnati Reds | 45.5% 54.5% | +112 -123 +115 -120 | +1½-185 -1½+162 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 3 7 | -0.61798-0.61667 | -0.60629 | |
| Minnesota Twins Toronto Blue Jays | 40.2% 59.8% | +110 -121 +110 -110 | +1½-205 -1½+177 | 7 4 | -0.76535-0.74194 | -0.91148 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago Cubs | 40.9% 59.1% | +123 -136 +131 -138 | +1½-195 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 4 3 | -0.82640-0.84989 | -0.89497 | |
| Miami Marlins Detroit Tigers | 50.9% 49.1% | +116 -128 +122 -128 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-178 -1½+165 | 1 6 | -0.60139-0.58909 | -0.71125 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Philadelphia Phillies | 37.5% 62.5% | +106 -117 +115 -111 | +1½-185 -1½+162 +1½-178 -1½+170 | 3 4 | -0.64204-0.63346 | -0.46956 | |
| Texas Rangers Los Angeles Dodgers | 29.1% 70.9% | +195 -216 +207 -225 | +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-105 -1½-105 | 7 8 | -0.40273-0.38560 | -0.34334 | |
| Houston Astros Seattle Mariners | 56.0% 44.0% | +122 -134 +126 -132 | +1½-180 -1½+161 +1½-175 -1½+158 | 6 9 | -0.58032-0.57531 | -0.82080 | |
| Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres | 38.3% 61.7% | +149 -165 +158 -165 | +1½-145 -1½+132 +1½-135 -1½+130 | 2 5 | -0.49774-0.48397 | -0.48251 | |
| Boston Red Sox St. Louis Cardinals | 51.9% 48.1% | -132 +120 -130 +122 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-140 | 2 3 | -0.81171-0.81306 | -0.73193 | |
| Chicago White Sox Kansas City Royals | 56.7% 43.3% | +154 -170 +160 -170 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+125 | 0 2 | -0.48568-0.47678 | -0.83589 | |
| Washington Nationals Milwaukee Brewers | 39.6% 60.4% | +178 -198 +180 -195 | +1½-110 -1½+100 +1½-110 -1½+105 | 7 3 | -1.04631-1.04762 | -0.92576 | |
| Cleveland Indians Atlanta Braves | 40.8% 59.2% | +122 -134 +125 -134 | +1½-175 -1½+153 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 5 11 | -0.58032-0.57442 | -0.52411 | |
| San Francisco Giants Baltimore Orioles | 61.5% 38.5% | +108 -119 +110 -120 | +1½-195 -1½+173 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 6 3 | -0.75624-0.76336 | -0.48565 | |
| Oakland Athletics New York Mets | 49.6% 50.4% | +125 -138 +130 -140 | +1½-170 -1½+149 +1½-160 -1½+150 | 4 0 | -0.83492-0.85085 | -0.70094 | |
| New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays | 47.1% 52.9% | -108 -102 -109 +122 | -1½+149 +1½-170 -1½+155 +1½-135 | 3 5 | -0.70719-0.76908 | -0.63665 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.64539 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.63856 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 9-6 (0.600) | 0 | -0.65308 | -0.00769 -0.01452 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.