Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Jared Jones Rhett Lowder | 36.4% 63.6% | +110 -120 +116 -117 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+165 | 3.85 5.27 | 9.12 | o9-115 u9-105 o9-115 u9+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Washington Nationals (52-68) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | MacKenzie Gore Kyle Hendricks | 45.0% 55.0% | +126 -137 +127 -135 | +1½-168 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 4.33 4.86 | 9.19 | o8½+100 u8½-115 o8½+100 u8½-115 | |||
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Reese Olson Cade Povich | 50.1% 49.9% | +122 -126 +125 -132 | +1½-173 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+156 | 4.75 4.73 | 9.48 | o8½-105 u8½-114 o8½-105 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Ranger Suarez Sean Manaea | 46.6% 53.4% | +105 -111 +105 -113 | +1½-205 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+189 | 4.07 4.43 | 8.50 | o7½-105 u7½-115 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Max Fried Adam Oller | 61.9% 38.1% | -260 +234 -250 +227 | -1½-140 +1½+139 -1½-158 +1½+140 | 4.38 3.13 | 7.51 | o8-115 u8+103 o8-115 u8+105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Yariel Rodriguez Taj Bradley | 46.5% 53.5% | +121 -132 +125 -130 | +1½-179 -1½+160 +1½-185 -1½+166 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o7½-110 u7½-105 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
| Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -138 +137 -147 +140 | -1½+125 +1½-128 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 4.56 5.45 | 10.01 | o7½-116 u8-115 o8+100 u8-120 | All Bet Values Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Landen Roupp Brady Singer | 54.8% 45.2% | +134 -146 +138 -147 | +1½-156 -1½+140 +1½-154 -1½+135 | 4.91 4.40 | 9.31 | o8½+100 u8½-116 o8½+105 u8½-115 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | Emerson Hancock Max Scherzer | 52.2% 47.8% | +118 -118 +113 -118 | +1½-175 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 5.32 5.10 | 10.42 | o8-110 u8½-115 o8-120 u8½-115 | All Bet Values Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Merrill Kelly Aaron Civale | 33.9% 66.1% | +102 -112 +102 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 3.18 4.85 | 8.03 | o8½-110 u8½+100 o8½-110 u8½+100 | |||
| Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Reid Detmers Ronel Blanco | 40.0% 60.0% | +202 -225 +215 -225 | +1½-107 -1½-110 +1½-105 -1½-110 | 4.04 5.09 | 9.13 | o7½-115 u8-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Matthew Boyd Miles Mikolas | 45.7% 54.3% | -127 +117 -120 +114 | -1½+130 +1½-149 -1½+135 +1½-145 | 4.19 4.65 | 8.84 | o7½-115 u8-115 o7½-105 u7½-105 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Chris Flexen Martin Perez | 46.4% 53.6% | +242 -270 +250 -280 | +1½+115 -1½-120 +1½+115 -1½-130 | 4.25 4.63 | 8.88 | o8-110 u8-108 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
| New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Carlos Rodon JP Sears | 48.2% 51.8% | -172 +157 -172 +160 | -1½+100 +1½-113 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.71 4.90 | 9.61 | o7½-120 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Cal Quantrill Walker Buehler | 33.5% 66.5% | +235 -267 +240 -270 | +1½+111 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-128 | 4.28 5.99 | 10.27 | o9+100 u9-111 o9+100 u8½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins Colorado Rockies | 46.7% 53.3% | +121 -132 +126 -132 | +1½-157 -1½+137 +1½-154 -1½+140 | 12 8 | -0.81423-0.82675 | -0.76209 | |
| San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals | 50.8% 49.2% | -105 -105 +100 -106 | 1 4 | -0.69315-0.67889 | -0.70826 | ||
| Texas Rangers Chicago White Sox | 34.7% 65.3% | -273 +240 -260 +235 | -1½-160 +1½+140 -1½-165 +1½+150 | 2 1 | -0.33780-0.34595 | -1.05808 | |
| San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers | 45.6% 54.4% | +109 -119 +115 -122 | +1½-184 -1½+164 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 0 6 | -0.63156-0.61323 | -0.60921 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Detroit Tigers | 52.9% 47.1% | +158 -173 +160 -170 | +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+115 | 3 0 | -0.96885-0.96964 | -0.63663 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Los Angeles Dodgers | 31.5% 68.5% | -103 -107 +100 -105 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 4 6 | -0.68389-0.68116 | -0.37796 | |
| New York Mets Arizona Diamondbacks | 56.0% 44.0% | +113 -123 +115 -120 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+165 | 5 8 | -0.61582-0.61667 | -0.82057 | |
| Miami Marlins Colorado Rockies | 47.0% 53.0% | +124 -135 +127 -129 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-156 -1½+140 | 2 8 | -0.57499-0.57775 | -0.63544 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Detroit Tigers | 53.5% 46.5% | +144 -157 +145 -148 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+128 | 2 3 | -0.51336-0.52115 | -0.76666 | |
| Texas Rangers Chicago White Sox | 33.8% 66.2% | -185 +169 -185 +180 | -1½-115 +1½+100 -1½-115 +1½+100 | 4 3 | -0.45279-0.43838 | -1.08465 | |
| San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers | 51.8% 48.2% | +147 -160 +155 -158 | +1½-143 -1½+130 +1½-140 -1½+130 | 3 5 | -0.50556-0.49492 | -0.73058 | |
| San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals | 53.5% 46.5% | -116 +106 -118 +111 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-155 | 3 4 | -0.74492-0.76179 | -0.76662 | |
| Atlanta Braves Minnesota Twins | 52.0% 48.0% | -137 +126 -137 +129 | -1½+124 +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-140 | 5 1 | -0.56840-0.56272 | -0.65400 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox | 48.2% 51.8% | +121 -132 +125 -130 | +1½-163 -1½+143 +1½-165 -1½+146 | 0 3 | -0.58515-0.58016 | -0.65782 | |
| New York Yankees Washington Nationals | 55.1% 44.9% | -215 +194 -205 +197 | -1½-135 +1½+115 -1½-138 +1½+125 | 2 5 | -1.10081-1.09736 | -0.80075 | |
| Oakland Athletics Cincinnati Reds | 49.2% 50.8% | +106 -116 +107 -110 | +1½-183 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+168 | 9 6 | -0.74492-0.73443 | -0.70976 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.62780 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.62336 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.63554 | -0.00774 -0.01218 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.