MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 14, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Logan Evans
Tomoyuki Sugano
53.9%
46.1%
-126
+114
-125
+115
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
5.27
4.85
10.12
o10+100
u10-110
o9½-115
u9½+100
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Matthew Boyd
Max Scherzer
38.4%
61.6%
-110
+100
-104
-105
-1½+152
+1½-173

4.12
5.33
9.45
o8-110
u8½-125
o8½+105
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Edward Cabrera
Tanner Bibee
45.8%
54.2%
+120
-132
+125
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+170
4.06
4.49
8.55
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jesus Luzardo
Brad Lord
50.7%
49.3%
-197
+177
-200
+187
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
4.77
4.69
9.46
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bryce Elder
Kodai Senga
49.5%
50.5%
+165
-183
+165
-180
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
4.43
4.47
8.90
o9+100
u8½-102
o8½-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Tarik Skubal
Bailey Ober
40.8%
59.2%
-197
+178
-190
+191
-1½-125
+1½+105

4.44
5.41
9.85
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Bradley Blalock
42.0%
58.0%
-169
+153
-170
+155
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
4.41
5.26
9.67
o12-110
u12-105
o12-110
u12-105
Games for Aug 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+139
-153
+143
-154
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
3
6
-0.52584-0.51805-0.67968
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+109
-120
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
3
4
-0.62978-0.61323-0.81405
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.0%
65.0%
+166
-184
+183
-195
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
2
5
-0.45759-0.42825-0.43051
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.9%
43.1%
+123
-136
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
6
3
-0.82640-0.84211-0.56335
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
57.3%
42.7%
+112
-123
+112
-120
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+190
6
0
-0.77442-0.76841-0.55697
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.8%
51.2%
-172
+155
-170
+157
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
6
2
-0.48253-0.48119-0.71672
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+132
-146
+131
-142
+1½-173
-1½+152
+1½-160
-1½+150
12
4
-0.86581-0.85675-0.79242
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+107
-118
+106
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
7
-0.63790-0.64777-0.87074
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.2%
53.8%
+190
-212
+195
-205
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
8
3
-1.08874-1.09285-0.77152
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+117
-126
+118
-128
+1½-180
-1½+161
+1½-165
-1½+158
5
9
-0.60245-0.59724-0.66844
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+158
-175
+160
-168
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+115
5
7
-0.47567-0.47844-0.61426
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-113
+103
-115
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
1
4
-0.73091-0.74028-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
+206
-230
+208
-230
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
2
3
-0.38450-0.38243-0.67863
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-122
+111
-118
+110
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-155
8
10
-0.76990-0.75927-0.70682
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.3%
46.7%
+123
-136
+121
-125
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.57558-0.59580-0.76200
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+121
-132
+125
-134
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
10
-0.58515-0.57442-0.67968
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks155-10 (0.333)0-0.76713 
Sportsbooks155-10 (0.333)0-0.77751 
DRatings153-12 (0.200)0-0.75040
0.01673
0.02711

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.