MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 14, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Logan Evans
Tomoyuki Sugano
53.9%
46.1%
-127
+115
-125
+115
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-140
5.30
4.89
10.19
o10-103
u10-115
o10-105
u10-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Matthew Boyd
Max Scherzer
38.4%
61.6%
-108
-102
-104
-103
-1½+152
+1½-173

4.12
5.33
9.45
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+105
u8½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Edward Cabrera
Tanner Bibee
45.8%
54.2%
+117
-129
+118
-128
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.06
4.49
8.55
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jesus Luzardo
Brad Lord
50.7%
49.3%
-182
+164
-188
+175
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+105
4.78
4.71
9.49
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bryce Elder
Kodai Senga
49.5%
50.5%
+165
-183
+170
-186
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+110
4.45
4.51
8.96
o9+100
u8½+108
o9+100
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Tarik Skubal
Bailey Ober
40.8%
59.2%
-197
+185
-196
+185
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-124
+1½+110
4.44
5.41
9.85
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Bradley Blalock
42.0%
58.0%
-163
+147
-170
+160
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-120
+1½+100
4.29
5.13
9.42
o12-112
u12-105
o12-115
u12-105
Games for Aug 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+127
-140
+129
-138
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+155
2
1
-0.84337-0.84492-0.58530
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.8%
53.2%
-168
+152
-170
+160
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
1
-0.49043-0.47678-0.75830
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
56.0%
44.0%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-179
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
11
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.57996
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.2%
62.8%
+153
-169
+153
-165
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
6
5
-0.95145-0.94595-0.99010
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
47.8%
+126
-139
+131
-139
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-170
-1½+153
3
5
-0.56577-0.55638-0.73840
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
45.4%
54.6%
-250
+223
-237
+215
-1½-162
+1½+142
-1½-150
+1½+140
7
1
-0.36008-0.37254-0.78988
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-125
+117
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
6
1
-0.58717-0.60404-0.61633
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+140
-155
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+130
8
2
-0.89968-0.90892-0.78781
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
45.4%
54.6%
-118
+107
-110
+107
-1½+141
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
4
-0.63790-0.65350-0.78880
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
62.2%
37.8%
-109
-101
-108
+100

+1½-220
-1½+195
2
8
-0.71192-0.71219-0.97201
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
47.3%
52.7%
+119
-130
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+156
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
3
-0.59214-0.59012-0.64010
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
49.0%
51.0%
+113
-125
+115
-124
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
2
-0.78086-0.78397-0.71351
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.8%
37.2%
+130
-143
+133
-138
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
2
-0.85590-0.85484-0.46485
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-116
+105
-116
+111
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
8
1
-0.64623-0.63260-0.60417
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+107
-118
+110
-118
+1½-189
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
5
3
-0.75162-0.75927-1.11880
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays
47.6%
52.4%
+101
-111
+100
-108
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-205
-1½+182
6
8
-0.66563-0.67446-0.64573
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks155-10 (0.333)0-0.76713 
Sportsbooks155-10 (0.333)0-0.77751 
DRatings153-12 (0.200)0-0.75040
0.01673
0.02711

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.