Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Reese Olson Cade Povich | 50.1% 49.9% | +121 -126 +125 -132 | +1½-175 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+156 | 4.75 4.73 | 9.48 | o8½-105 u8½-112 o8-115 u8½-115 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Ranger Suarez Sean Manaea | 46.6% 53.4% | +101 -111 +106 -107 | +1½-210 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+193 | 4.07 4.43 | 8.50 | o7½-105 u7½-113 o7½+100 u7½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Max Fried Adam Oller | 61.9% 38.1% | -260 +231 -259 +232 | -1½-140 +1½+139 -1½-160 +1½+145 | 4.40 3.16 | 7.56 | o8-115 u8+100 o8½+100 u8+105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Yariel Rodriguez Taj Bradley | 46.5% 53.5% | +125 -135 +125 -132 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+166 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o7½-105 u7½-105 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -138 +136 -150 +140 | -1½+125 +1½-128 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 4.56 5.45 | 10.01 | o7½-116 u8-115 o8+105 u8-105 | All Bet Values Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Landen Roupp Brady Singer | 54.8% 45.2% | +127 -138 +132 -138 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+146 | 4.45 3.94 | 8.39 | o8-113 u8½-120 o8-105 u8-105 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | Emerson Hancock Dane Dunning | 52.2% 47.8% | +118 -102 -107 +100 | -1½+150 +1½-162 | 5.32 5.10 | 10.42 | o8-110 u9-105 o9-110 u9-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Merrill Kelly Aaron Civale | 33.9% 66.1% | +103 -113 +102 -110 | +1½-195 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 3.18 4.85 | 8.03 | o8½-110 u8½+100 o8½-115 u8½+100 | |||
Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Reid Detmers Ronel Blanco | 40.0% 60.0% | +190 -208 +210 -225 | +1½-110 -1½-106 +1½-105 -1½-110 | 4.04 5.09 | 9.13 | o7½-115 u8-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Matthew Boyd Miles Mikolas | 45.7% 54.3% | -127 +117 -120 +114 | -1½+130 +1½-149 -1½+135 +1½-145 | 4.17 4.63 | 8.80 | o7½-115 u8-115 o7½-105 u7½-105 | |||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Chris Flexen Martin Perez | 46.4% 53.6% | +242 -270 +250 -280 | +1½+115 -1½-120 +1½+115 -1½-130 | 4.27 4.65 | 8.92 | o8-110 u8-106 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Carlos Rodon JP Sears | 48.2% 51.8% | -172 +157 -172 +160 | -1½+100 +1½-113 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.72 4.91 | 9.63 | o7½-120 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Cal Quantrill Walker Buehler | 33.5% 66.5% | +246 -280 +240 -270 | +1½+117 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-128 | 4.28 5.99 | 10.27 | o9+100 u9-106 o9-110 u9-110 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oakland Athletics Cincinnati Reds | 49.2% 50.8% | +106 -116 +107 -110 | +1½-183 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+168 | 9 6 | -0.74492-0.73443 | -0.70976 | |
Tampa Bay Rays Seattle Mariners | 53.0% 47.0% | +129 -139 +140 -137 | +1½-170 -1½+157 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 2 6 | -0.56010-0.54280 | -0.75445 | |
Houston Astros Philadelphia Phillies | 52.4% 47.6% | -115 +105 -118 +115 | -1½+137 +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 | 10 0 | -0.64814-0.62019 | -0.64554 | |
Kansas City Royals Cleveland Indians | 44.4% 55.6% | +136 -148 +147 -155 | +1½-157 -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 5 7 | -0.53652-0.51046 | -0.58695 | |
Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates | 55.5% 44.5% | +142 -154 +152 -160 | +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+128 | 14 10 | -0.90310-0.93639 | -0.58826 | |
Baltimore Orioles Los Angeles Dodgers | 25.8% 74.2% | +167 -183 +168 -180 | +1½-120 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 3 2 | -1.00302-1.00169 | -1.35670 | |
Tampa Bay Rays Seattle Mariners | 54.6% 45.4% | +151 -165 +157 -162 | +1½-157 -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 3 2 | -0.94110-0.95130 | -0.60580 | |
New York Mets Arizona Diamondbacks | 56.6% 43.4% | -107 -103 -101 -103 | +1½-210 -1½+190 | 8 3 | -0.68389-0.69802 | -0.56842 | |
Los Angeles Angels Detroit Tigers | 52.9% 47.1% | +138 -150 +140 -147 | +1½-149 -1½+135 +1½-145 -1½+135 | 2 6 | -0.53079-0.53071 | -0.75305 | |
Miami Marlins Colorado Rockies | 46.7% 53.3% | +132 -144 +133 -142 | +1½-147 -1½+130 +1½-140 -1½+131 | 9 8 | -0.86254-0.86171 | -0.76209 | |
San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers | 45.9% 54.1% | +103 -113 +106 -112 | +1½-200 -1½+175 -1½+160 +1½-175 | 5 4 | -0.73091-0.73635 | -0.77947 | |
San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals | 51.0% 49.0% | -138 +127 -137 +132 | -1½+120 +1½-138 -1½+120 +1½-135 | 7 5 | -0.56518-0.55713 | -0.67397 | |
Atlanta Braves Minnesota Twins | 52.0% 48.0% | -110 +100 -105 +101 | +1½-210 -1½+190 | 8 6 | -0.67015-0.67871 | -0.65400 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox | 48.2% 51.8% | +120 -130 +121 -128 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-160 -1½+153 | 3 6 | -0.59012-0.59111 | -0.65782 | |
New York Yankees Washington Nationals | 58.0% 42.0% | -255 +226 -240 +221 | -1½-165 +1½+145 -1½-170 +1½+155 | 2 4 | -1.20648-1.18352 | -0.86852 | |
Oakland Athletics Cincinnati Reds | 49.2% 50.8% | +122 -133 +126 -135 | +1½-159 -1½+139 +1½-155 -1½+141 | 5 4 | -0.81855-0.83218 | -0.70976 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.63593 | |
Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.63055 | |
DRatings | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.62245 | 0.01348 0.00809 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.