MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Nov 4, 2025
Games for Nov 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
46.4%
53.6%
+109
-120
+105
-114
+1½-187
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
3
-0.62978-0.65009-0.62330
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
-126
+114
-127
+122
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
4
5
-0.78531-0.80737-0.72795
Los Angeles Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles
69.8%
30.2%
-143
+130
-145
+133
-1½+108
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
2
-0.55321-0.54531-0.35918
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
46.2%
53.8%
+160
-177
+160
-174
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+118
3
4
-0.47120-0.47353-0.61997
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.9%
39.1%
-129
+117
-131
+121
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+125
+1½-145
10
2
-0.59776-0.58663-0.49564
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+146
-161
+146
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
1
-0.92326-0.92181-0.94243
Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves
42.6%
57.4%
-109
-101
-111
+104
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
18
2
-0.67472-0.65846-0.85322
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.5%
49.5%
+122
-133
+112
-120
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-185
-1½+175
17
4
-0.81855-0.76841-0.68246
Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.0%
38.0%
-118
+107
-117
+111
-1½+135
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
5
-0.75162-0.75971-0.96690
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-173
+156
-173
+165
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
10
8
-0.48022-0.46718-0.58792
Seattle Mariners
Atlanta Braves
41.0%
59.0%
+102
-112
+105
-110
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+175
10
2
-0.72619-0.72940-0.89045
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
61.3%
38.7%
+104
-115
+105
-113
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-220
-1½+195
11
0
-0.73771-0.73601-0.49012
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
50.2%
49.8%
-126
+114
-120
+112
-1½+135
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-155
2
11
-0.78531-0.76841-0.69701
San Francisco Giants
St. Louis Cardinals
53.8%
46.2%
-111
+101
-114
+108
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+140
+1½-150
2
3
-0.72144-0.74575-0.77111
Los Angeles Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles
66.3%
33.7%
-126
+117
-128
+125
-1½+129
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
4
-0.79290-0.81676-1.08797
Cleveland Indians
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+123
-136
+126
-135
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
3
2
-0.82640-0.83218-0.94243
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.