MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 14, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Matthew Boyd
Max Scherzer
38.4%
61.6%
-107
-103
-110
+101
-1½+155
+1½-170

4.12
5.33
9.45
o8+100
u7½+105
o8-105
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Edward Cabrera
Tanner Bibee
45.8%
54.2%
+105
-116
+109
-118
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.06
4.49
8.55
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jesus Luzardo
Brad Lord
50.7%
49.3%
-185
+167
-190
+170
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+105
4.73
4.66
9.39
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bryce Elder
Kodai Senga
49.5%
50.5%
+167
-185
+170
-186
+1½-125
-1½+109
+1½-128
-1½+110
4.52
4.56
9.08
o9+105
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Tarik Skubal
Bailey Ober
40.8%
59.2%
-190
+171
-196
+180
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-124
+1½+110
4.44
5.41
9.85
o7½+100
u7½-118
o7½+100
u7½-120
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Bradley Blalock
42.0%
58.0%
-165
+149
-165
+157
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+102
4.41
5.26
9.67
o12½-115
u12½-105
o12½-110
u12½-105
Games for Aug 13, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
53.9%
46.1%
-117
+106
-123
+115
-1½+130
+1½-149
-1½+125
+1½-142
10.17
o9½-109
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-105
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.3%
59.7%
+189
-204
+174
-185
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
2
0
-1.07819-1.02196-0.90830
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.7%
46.3%
+106
-111
+100
-107

+1½-200
-1½+185
3
7
-0.65377-0.67666-0.76986
Minnesota Twins
Colorado Rockies
48.1%
51.9%
-142
+143
-153
+153
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½+100
4
6
-0.88620-0.92821-0.65647
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
46.1%
53.9%
+101
-111
-101
-104

-1½+160
+1½-175
0
2
-0.66563-0.68595-0.61821
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
32.7%
67.3%
+114
-124
+111
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
1
11
-0.61201-0.62534-0.39552
New York Yankees
Atlanta Braves
49.0%
51.0%
+116
-128
+121
-130
+1½-166
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
7
-0.60139-0.58810-0.67319
Kansas City Royals
Miami Marlins
42.9%
57.1%
-110
+100
-108
+102
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
7
8
-0.71668-0.71728-0.56049
Oakland Athletics
Cleveland Indians
62.2%
37.8%
+113
-125
+115
-121
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
6
8
-0.61251-0.61493-0.97201
Cincinnati Reds
New York Mets
47.3%
52.7%
+138
-152
+137
-148
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
8
4
-0.89016-0.88143-0.74970
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays
47.2%
52.8%
+119
-130
+125
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+175
0
4
-0.59214-0.58016-0.63843
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
45.5%
54.5%
+180
-200
+192
-208
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
6
5
-1.05317-1.08922-0.78781
San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-142
+129
-140
+133
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
7
2
-0.55629-0.55144-0.60417
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.0%
39.0%
+138
-152
+140
-147
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-155
-1½+155
10
1
-0.89016-0.88719-0.49413
Boston Red Sox
Chicago Cubs
57.3%
42.7%
+121
-133
+125
-133
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
1
4
-0.58372-0.57583-0.85048
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
42.9%
57.1%
-126
+114
-130
+122
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
2
1
-0.60877-0.58609-0.84739
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
40.2%
59.8%
+116
-126
+118
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
1
-0.79039-0.79350-0.91242
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks155-10 (0.333)0-0.76713 
Sportsbooks155-10 (0.333)0-0.77751 
DRatings153-12 (0.200)0-0.75040
0.01673
0.02711

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.