Upcoming Games for May 4, 2026
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | UNDECIDED UNDECIDED Tomoyuki Sugano | 51.1% 48.9% | -136 +123 -139 +130 | -1½+112 +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 5.13 5.02 | 10.15 | o10½-123 u11-120 o10½-115 u10½-105 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Aaron Nola Janson Junk | 51.7% 48.3% | -107 -103 -110 +102 | -1½+143 +1½-160 | 4.56 4.39 | 8.95 | o8½-113 u8½-105 o8½-110 u8½-105 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Payton Tolle Tarik Skubal | 58.2% 41.8% | +200 -223 +204 -230 | +1½-120 -1½+108 +1½-120 -1½+100 | 5.33 4.47 | 9.80 | o7-106 u7-110 o7+100 u7-115 | |||
| Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | UNDECIDED UNDECIDED Nick Martinez | 46.5% 53.5% | +112 -123 +110 -120 | +1½-198 -1½+173 +1½-195 -1½+175 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Shane Baz Cam Schlittler | 32.4% 67.6% | +200 -222 +203 -229 | +1½-102 -1½-115 +1½+100 -1½-118 | 4.67 6.48 | 11.15 | o8½-107 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½-110 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Chase Petty Edward Cabrera | 51.6% 48.4% | +180 -200 +185 -196 | +1½-107 -1½-110 +1½-105 -1½-115 | 5.44 5.28 | 10.72 | o11½+100 u11½-118 o11½+100 u11½-120 | |||
| Cleveland Indians (58-61) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Tanner Bibee Michael Wacha | 49.3% 50.7% | +108 -119 +111 -118 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 4.67 4.75 | 9.42 | o9-114 u9-105 o9-110 u9-105 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Chad Patrick Kyle Leahy | 53.0% 47.0% | -113 +103 -110 +102 | -1½+149 +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-165 | 4.72 4.40 | 9.12 | o8½-116 u8½+100 o8½-115 u8½-105 | |||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Houston Astros (70-50) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Steven Okert | 50.6% 49.4% | -195 +175 -205 +185 | -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-130 +1½+115 | 4.34 4.28 | 8.62 | o9+100 u9-120 o9+100 u8½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Davis Martin Jose Soriano | 51.7% 48.3% | +138 -152 +142 -152 | +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+135 | 5.14 4.97 | 10.11 | o7½-110 u7½-105 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | JR Ritchie Logan Gilbert | 52.7% 47.3% | +127 -140 +140 -150 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+135 | 4.82 4.55 | 9.37 | o7½-105 u7½-114 o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Randy Vasquez Trevor McDonald | 46.6% 53.4% | -140 +127 -143 +135 | -1½+120 +1½-137 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 3.93 4.29 | 8.22 | o8-106 u8-110 o8-105 u8-115 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Athletics New York Yankees | 46.7% 53.3% | +220 -247 +235 -210 | +1½+100 -1½-115 +1½+110 -1½+105 | 3 5 | -0.36396-0.36510 | -0.62854 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Boston Red Sox | 47.9% 52.1% | +139 -153 +142 -147 | +1½-163 -1½+150 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 2 3 | -0.52584-0.52728 | -0.65114 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals | 47.9% 52.1% | +102 -112 +102 -110 | +1½-215 -1½+195 | 7 6 | -0.72619-0.72177 | -0.73539 | |
| Chicago Cubs Tampa Bay Rays | 38.1% 61.9% | -102 -108 +115 -110 | +1½-215 -1½+183 +1½-178 -1½+185 | 9 2 | -0.70719-0.75432 | -0.96422 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Miami Marlins | 49.2% 50.8% | +122 -134 +125 -130 | +1½-182 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 6 3 | -0.82034-0.82055 | -0.70999 | |
| San Diego Padres Pittsburgh Pirates | 61.4% 38.6% | +126 -139 +130 -134 | +1½-200 -1½+174 +1½-178 -1½+170 | 1 7 | -0.56577-0.56488 | -0.95202 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks New York Mets | 47.0% 53.0% | +136 -150 +135 -144 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-160 -1½+150 | 3 4 | -0.53428-0.54294 | -0.63488 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Chicago White Sox | 33.2% 66.8% | -139 +126 -138 +130 | -1½+120 +1½-140 -1½+122 +1½-135 | 4 2 | -0.56577-0.55953 | -1.10301 | |
| Kansas City Royals Cleveland Indians | 44.4% 55.6% | +104 -115 +110 -115 | +1½-225 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+200 | 1 2 | -0.65049-0.63673 | -0.58695 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies San Francisco Giants | 42.6% 57.4% | -112 +102 -114 +105 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-165 | 6 4 | -0.66116-0.65009 | -0.85217 | |
| Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Angels | 50.4% 49.6% | -167 +151 -170 +155 | -1½+100 +1½-113 -1½+100 +1½-115 | 2 6 | -0.94387-0.95763 | -0.70187 | |
| Houston Astros Colorado Rockies | 57.1% 42.9% | -140 +127 -138 +158 | -1½+110 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½+100 | 7 9 | -0.84337-0.91467 | -0.84723 | |
| Seattle Mariners Texas Rangers | 43.7% 56.3% | -101 -109 +104 -108 | +1½-208 -1½+180 +1½-210 -1½+190 | 1 2 | -0.67472-0.66479 | -0.57512 | |
| Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins | 40.8% 59.2% | +108 -119 +110 -119 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 3 7 | -0.63380-0.62933 | -0.52487 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Chicago White Sox | 33.3% 66.7% | -129 +117 -130 +122 | -1½+124 +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-135 | 2 1 | -0.59776-0.58609 | -1.10006 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Toronto Blue Jays | 52.4% 47.6% | -122 +111 -122 +122 | -1½+137 +1½-157 -1½+135 +1½-135 | 14 2 | -0.62187-0.59866 | -0.64682 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 10-5 (0.667) | 0 | -0.64539 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 11-4 (0.733) | 0 | -0.63856 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 9-6 (0.600) | 0 | -0.65308 | -0.00769 -0.01452 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.