Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Houston Astros (70-50) | Tyler Holton Hunter Brown | 34.3% 65.7% | +156 -170 +154 -160 | +1½-145 -1½+126 +1½-145 -1½+131 | 3.21 4.84 | 8.05 | o7½+103 u7½-110 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Seth Lugo Zach Eflin | 51.2% 48.8% | +143 -156 +140 -149 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+146 | 5.08 4.95 | 10.03 | o7½-105 u7½-110 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Sean Manaea Frankie Montas | 42.9% 57.1% | -107 -103 -103 -103 | 3.92 4.66 | 8.58 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-120 u7½+100 | ||||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Max Fried Joe Musgrove | 53.2% 46.8% | +108 -118 +107 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+183 | 3.80 3.46 | 7.26 | o6½-120 u7-115 o7+105 u7-115 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 53.2% 46.8% | +250 -285 +245 -270 | +1½+120 -1½-130 +1½+121 -1½-135 | 5 6 | -0.32640-0.33448 | -0.75918 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Kansas City Royals | 59.7% 40.3% | -118 +108 -118 +113 | -1½+135 +1½-154 -1½+141 +1½-160 | 2 3 | -0.75417-0.76684 | -0.90964 | |
| Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves | 31.9% 68.1% | +223 -252 +227 -250 | +1½+107 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-125 | 0 5 | -0.35939-0.35636 | -0.38425 | |
| Oakland Athletics New York Yankees | 42.3% 57.7% | +191 -212 +190 -200 | +1½-113 -1½+100 +1½-120 -1½+102 | 3 4 | -0.40928-0.41690 | -0.55005 | |
| Detroit Tigers Tampa Bay Rays | 35.6% 64.4% | +147 -160 +148 -157 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 4 2 | -0.92425-0.92226 | -1.03254 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Washington Nationals | 57.7% 42.3% | -222 +199 -220 +205 | -1½-148 +1½+130 -1½-145 +1½+135 | 4 1 | -0.39549-0.38995 | -0.54965 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers Pittsburgh Pirates | 60.9% 39.1% | -109 -101 -110 +103 | -1½+145 +1½-163 | 1 2 | -0.71192-0.72433 | -0.93951 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Cincinnati Reds | 46.8% 53.2% | -130 +120 -127 +118 | -1½+128 +1½-145 -1½+127 +1½-145 | 1 8 | -0.80802-0.79735 | -0.63102 | |
| Boston Red Sox Cleveland Indians | 54.3% 45.7% | +108 -118 +112 -120 | +1½-195 -1½+180 | 1 4 | -0.63563-0.62315 | -0.78408 | |
| New York Mets San Francisco Giants | 42.2% 57.8% | +100 -110 -101 -105 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-215 -1½+190 | 2 5 | -0.67015-0.68363 | -0.54894 | |
| Baltimore Orioles Los Angeles Angels | 37.7% 62.3% | -106 -104 -105 -103 | +1½-210 -1½+184 | 4 2 | -0.68852-0.68844 | -0.97554 | |
| San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies | 53.0% 47.0% | -173 +158 -170 +158 | -1½-119 +1½+105 -1½-115 +1½+104 | 3 1 | -0.47726-0.47970 | -0.63512 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks St. Louis Cardinals | 40.1% 59.9% | -101 -109 +101 -108 | +1½-198 -1½+180 | 3 5 | -0.67472-0.67201 | -0.51184 | |
| Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins | 54.2% 45.8% | +184 -203 +181 -200 | +1½-110 -1½-108 +1½-115 -1½-103 | 0 7 | -0.42236-0.42776 | -0.78067 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Kansas City Royals | 53.1% 46.9% | -120 +110 -115 +115 | -1½+140 +1½-153 -1½+136 +1½-155 | 5 3 | -0.62755-0.62571 | -0.63303 | |
| Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves | 49.2% 50.8% | +186 -205 +190 -198 | +1½-105 -1½-110 +1½-103 -1½-110 | 0 3 | -0.41885-0.41805 | -0.67792 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 4 | 1-3 (0.250) | 0 | -0.74414 | |
| Sportsbooks | 4 | 1-3 (0.250) | 0 | -0.74997 | |
| DRatings | 4 | 1-3 (0.250) | 0 | -0.81268 | -0.06854 -0.06271 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.