MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Feb 4, 2026
Games for Feb 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
45.1%
54.9%
+112
-123
+118
-126
+1½-178
-1½+158
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
4
-0.77442-0.79542-0.79627
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
53.7%
46.3%
+131
-145
+135
-144
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
6
3
-0.86168-0.86998-0.62228
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+143
-158
+150
-157
+1½-142
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+135
4
6
-0.51401-0.50367-0.71396
Seattle Mariners
Cincinnati Reds
44.8%
55.2%
-108
-102
-107
-103
-1½+146
+1½-166
-1½+150
+1½-170
4
8
-0.70719-0.70249-0.59471
Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins
43.6%
56.4%
-156
+141
-155
+147
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
10
4
-0.51935-0.51046-0.82970
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.1%
44.9%
+110
-118
+110
-118
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+185
3
0
-0.75927-0.75927-0.59626
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.3%
65.7%
+314
-360
+330
-360
+1½+150
-1½-170
+1½+155
-1½-160
3
5
-0.26899-0.26017-0.41978
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
38.3%
61.7%
+124
-132
+132
-138
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
4
10
-0.57921-0.55582-0.48277
Houston Astros
St. Louis Cardinals
55.0%
45.0%
-112
+102
-103
-102
-1½+155
+1½-172

3
8
-0.72619-0.69557-0.79769
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
34.8%
65.2%
-166
+150
-162
+155
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
9
1
-0.49528-0.49117-1.05481
New York Mets
Minnesota Twins
49.3%
50.7%
+101
-111
+105
-110
+1½-200
-1½+182
+1½-190
-1½+180
5
1
-0.72144-0.72940-0.70723
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
45.3%
54.7%
-118
+107
-115
+107
-1½+140
+1½-156
-1½+145
+1½-160
8
4
-0.63790-0.64352-0.79268
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.3%
53.7%
+104
-115
+108
-113
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+180
1
16
-0.65049-0.64512-0.62241
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+127
-135
+130
-137
+1½-151
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
4
-0.56920-0.56084-0.45282
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+100
-110
-101
-108
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
10
4
-0.71668-0.70966-0.67276
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.7%
46.3%
+177
-197
+177
-190
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+110
3
10
-0.43454-0.43891-0.77104
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.