Upcoming Games for October 3, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jose Quintana Tobias Myers | 42.9% 57.1% | +119 -129 +119 -128 | +1½-190 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | o7½+105 u7½-120 o7½+105 u7½-125 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs Texas Rangers | 51.1% 48.9% | +115 -125 +125 -121 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 9 5 | -0.78592-0.80285 | -0.67154 | |
| Detroit Tigers Chicago White Sox | 39.2% 60.8% | -139 +128 -137 +135 | -1½+115 +1½-133 -1½+118 +1½-125 | 3 2 | -0.56198-0.55166 | -0.93568 | |
| Minnesota Twins Kansas City Royals | 47.7% 52.3% | -111 +101 -113 +110 | -1½+138 +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 0 11 | -0.72144-0.74862 | -0.64900 | |
| New York Yankees Houston Astros | 43.4% 56.6% | +105 -115 +106 -113 | +1½-192 -1½+167 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 4 3 | -0.74028-0.73854 | -0.83538 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays | 49.4% 50.6% | -115 +105 -116 +110 | -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+145 +1½-159 | 9 2 | -0.64814-0.63482 | -0.70538 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers New York Mets | 50.7% 49.3% | +124 -135 +126 -134 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 4 1 | -0.82716-0.83037 | -0.67877 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins | 47.0% 53.0% | +134 -146 +134 -140 | +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-156 -1½+145 | 9 7 | -0.87079-0.86079 | -0.75430 | |
| Washington Nationals Cincinnati Reds | 43.0% 57.0% | +156 -170 +155 -165 | +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-130 -1½+118 | 5 6 | -0.48268-0.48848 | -0.56198 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Baltimore Orioles | 56.2% 43.8% | +124 -135 +130 -131 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+146 | 4 1 | -0.82716-0.83480 | -0.57711 | |
| Atlanta Braves Philadelphia Phillies | 49.1% 50.9% | -144 +132 -140 +130 | -1½+120 +1½-133 -1½+120 +1½-130 | 4 5 | -0.86254-0.85085 | -0.67519 | |
| Boston Red Sox Seattle Mariners | 52.8% 47.2% | +135 -147 +138 -145 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 3 4 | -0.53941-0.53645 | -0.75177 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Dodgers | 35.1% 64.9% | +204 -228 +218 -230 | +1½+105 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-120 | 6 5 | -1.13563-1.16825 | -1.04574 | |
| Colorado Rockies Arizona Diamondbacks | 51.7% 48.3% | +165 -180 +165 -175 | +1½-120 -1½+105 +1½-115 -1½+105 | 9 4 | -0.99458-0.98819 | -0.66020 | |
| New York Yankees Houston Astros | 45.7% 54.3% | +112 -122 +120 -128 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-167 -1½+150 | 5 3 | -0.77245-0.80428 | -0.78401 | |
| San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres | 49.6% 50.4% | +109 -119 +116 -123 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-180 -1½+173 | 9 6 | -0.75877-0.78454 | -0.70114 | |
| Chicago Cubs Texas Rangers | 53.8% 46.2% | +109 -119 +112 -120 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 2 11 | -0.63156-0.62315 | -0.77154 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 3 | 2-1 (0.667) | 0 | -0.69248 | |
| Sportsbooks | 3 | 2-1 (0.667) | 0 | -0.70130 | |
| DRatings | 3 | 2-1 (0.667) | 0 | -0.66292 | 0.02956 0.03838 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.