MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Dustin May
Jack Flaherty
48.4%
51.6%
+140
-155
+150
-155
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
3.78
3.95
7.73
o7½-101
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Mason Fluharty
Grant Taylor
47.1%
52.9%
-162
+147
-160
+150
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+115
+1½-115
4.73
5.03
9.76
o8-120
u8½-115
o8½-110
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Chad Patrick
Luinder Avila
56.6%
43.4%
-112
+102
-108
-102
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
4.90
4.20
9.10
o9+115
u8½-105
o9+100
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Tyler Glasnow
Jake Irvin
60.6%
39.4%
-265
+236
-270
+256
-1½-160
+1½+148
-1½-165
+1½+150
5.39
4.27
9.66
o9½+100
u9½-101
o9½+100
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tatsuya Imai
Luis Morales
50.1%
49.9%
-112
+102
-110
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
4.48
4.47
8.95
o10-104
u10-115
o10+100
u10-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Shane Baz
Carmen Mlodzinski
46.9%
53.1%
+101
-107
-110
+105

-1½+155
+1½-165
4.77
5.10
9.87
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Randy Vasquez
Connelly Early
48.4%
51.6%
+126
-139
+135
-140
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+160
4.21
4.38
8.59
o8-107
u8-105
o8½+110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Max Meyer
Ryan Weathers
37.7%
62.3%
+162
-178
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
3.79
5.08
8.87
o8-110
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Rhett Lowder
Kumar Rocker
55.8%
44.2%
+125
-138
+129
-135
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+145
5.47
4.87
10.34
o8-118
u8-102
o8-110
u8-110
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Steven Matz
Mick Abel
53.9%
46.1%
-101
-108
+100
-109


5.06
4.64
9.70
o7½-115
u7½-103
o7½-110
u7½-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Brandon Sproat
Seth Lugo
56.6%
43.4%
+103
-113
+110
-120
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+165
4.90
4.20
9.10
o8-120
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Bryce Elder
Michael Soroka
58.6%
41.4%
+104
-110
+100
-105

-1½+152
+1½-160
4.70
3.80
8.50
o9½-110
u10-120
o9½-110
u9½-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Shota Imanaga
Slade Cecconi
45.9%
54.1%
-136
+124
-128
+125
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+140
+1½-143
4.38
4.81
9.19
o8-102
u8-105
o8-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Jesus Luzardo
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
51.6%
48.4%
-228
+204
-225
+195
-1½-153
+1½+133
-1½-150
+1½+130
5.12
4.96
10.08
o10½-102
u10½-118
o10½+105
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Clay Holmes
Landen Roupp
42.2%
57.8%
-114
+104
-115
+111
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-160
3.77
4.59
8.36
o7½-118
u8-115
o7½-115
u7½-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Emerson Hancock
Jack Kochanowicz
44.6%
55.4%
-160
+145
-160
+150
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-118
4.74
5.31
10.05
o9½+100
u9½-116
o9½-105
u9½-115
Games for Apr 3, 2026
Games for Apr 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
-123
+113
-122
+114
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
6
-0.77696-0.77751-0.61074
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.0%
60.0%
+195
-217
+205
-225
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
4
10
-0.40226-0.38769-0.51053
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
33.9%
66.1%
-102
-108
-102
-101
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+192
5
0
-0.70719-0.69071-1.08285
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
52.2%
47.8%
+118
+100
-108
+100

-1½+145
+1½-162
8
4
-0.73716-0.67446-0.64930
San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals
54.8%
45.2%
+128
-139
+132
-138
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+146
9
0
-0.84416-0.85238-0.60064
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
46.5%
53.5%
+127
-135
+125
-132
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+166
2
3
-0.56920-0.57725-0.62511
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
61.9%
38.1%
-260
+232
-251
+227
-1½-140
+1½+141
-1½-158
+1½+145
6
2
-0.34858-0.35603-0.48020
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
46.6%
53.4%
-102
-108
+100
-105
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+195
3
6
-0.67930-0.68116-0.62665
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
50.1%
49.9%
+122
-126
+124
-132
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+156
6
4
-0.80544-0.82175-0.69143
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
45.0%
55.0%
+118
-128
+122
-126
+1½-175
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+174
5
1
-0.79924-0.80544-0.79782
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
+110
-120
+116
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
1
7
-0.62755-0.61986-0.45190
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.0%
67.0%
+231
-262
+233
-240
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
4
6
-0.34883-0.35448-0.40048
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
46.4%
53.6%
+243
-277
+245
-265
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-110
2
3
-0.33419-0.33593-0.62370
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
52.6%
47.4%
-178
+163
-185
+176
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
4
2
-0.46614-0.44351-0.64308
Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals
49.0%
51.0%
+107
-117
+102
-110
+1½-197
-1½+180
+1½-211
-1½+185
5
1
-0.74957-0.72177-0.71321
San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals
57.3%
42.7%
+182
-200
+176
-190
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
2
1
-1.05780-1.03257-0.55753
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-4 (0.607)3-0.64322 
Sportsbooks1410-4 (0.714)0-0.64342 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.65550
-0.01228
-0.01208

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.