MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Noah Schultz
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
60.9%
39.1%




5.78
4.64
10.42


Texas Rangers (42-78)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
MacKenzie Gore
Joey Cantillo
41.7%
58.3%
-104
-106
-102
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185

4.58
5.44
10.02
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Troy Melton
Will Warren
35.4%
64.6%
+124
-137
+125
-135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.22
5.76
9.98
o10+102
u10-115
o10+100
u10-115
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Andrew Alvarez
Payton Tolle
40.6%
59.4%
+131
-145
+135
-145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
5.01
5.99
11.00
o10-105
u10-115
o10-110
u10-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Walker Buehler
Colin Rea
56.8%
43.2%
+115
-127
+118
-123

+1½-170
-1½+155
5.29
4.58
9.87

o11½-115
u11½+105
New York Mets (60-60)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Freddy Peralta
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
36.3%
63.7%

-115
-104

-1½+145
+1½-165
4.23
5.67
9.90

o9+100
u9-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Paul Skenes
Zack Wheeler
36.4%
63.6%
+118
-130
+123
-130
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.11
5.54
9.65
o8-105
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Overall Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Michael McGreevy
Reynaldo Lopez
41.9%
58.1%
+118
-127
+116
-125
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+160
3.86
4.71
8.57
o9+100
u9-115
o9+100
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Shane McClanahan
Seth Lugo
57.2%
42.8%
-135
+122
-135
+125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
5.65
4.90
10.55
o10-115
u10+100
o10-115
u10+100
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Andrew Abbott
Shane Drohan
43.4%
56.6%
+147
-162
+145
-155
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.05
4.74
8.79
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Taj Bradley
Tatsuya Imai
38.5%
61.5%
+110
-121
+112
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.15
5.36
9.51
o8½-105
u8+105
o8½-105
u8+105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Max Meyer
Kyle Freeland
46.7%
53.3%
-155
+140
-157
+150
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
4.73
5.08
9.81
o11+100
u11-115
o11-100
u11-120
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Trevor McDonald
Zac Gallen
55.5%
44.5%
+106
-117
+106
-115

+1½-185
-1½+165
4.00
3.43
7.43
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
JT Ginn
53.8%
46.2%

-165
+158

-1½-110
+1½-105
4.81
4.40
9.21

o9-130
u9½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jun 30, 2026
Games for Jul 2, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
46.7%
53.3%
-128
+116
-124
+130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-120
10.07
o11-110
u11+102
o11-115
u11½-120
9th
BOT
14
3
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
60.5%
39.5%
+102
-112
+102
-108
+1½-205
-1½+180

8.10
o9+102
u9-115
o9-102
u9+100
7th
BOT
2
7
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
49.1%
50.9%
+165
-183
+165
-178
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
10.10
o7-105
u7-115
o7-110
u7+100
7th
TOP
0
5
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
53.8%
46.2%
-175
+158
-155
+165
-1½-120
+1½+104
-1½+100
+1½+105
9.21
o11-115
u11½-114
o10½-115
u11+100
8th
TOP
9
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+183
-199
+185
-190
+1½-121
-1½+101
+1½-123
-1½+110
0
5
-0.42587-0.42889-0.64821
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
42.6%
57.4%
+280
-323
+290
-325
+1½+130
-1½-135
+1½+131
-1½-150
2
4
-0.29612-0.28916-0.55474
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.4%
65.6%
+326
-375
+331
-380
+1½+165
-1½-165
+1½+160
-1½-175
5
6
-0.26031-0.25702-0.42106
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
48.9%
51.1%
-164
+150
-170
+155
-1½-105
+1½-112
-1½-107
+1½-105
7
4
-0.49707-0.48418-0.71562
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
50.4%
49.6%
-119
+123
-124
+124
-1½+145
+1½-142
-1½+132
+1½-145
5
6
-0.79379-0.80647-0.70124
Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+115
-113
+120
-130
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
2
-0.62953-0.59012-0.61074
San Francisco Giants
Kansas City Royals
57.3%
42.7%
-103
-107
-103
-106
-1½+163
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-185
2
0
-0.70249-0.70019-0.55753
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.6%
59.4%
+231
-262
+235
-265
+1½+111
-1½-130
+1½+112
-1½-125
9
8
-1.22251-1.23320-0.90145
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
32.1%
67.9%
+123
-122
+122
-128
+1½-171
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+160
9
10
-0.59664-0.58909-0.38768
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
46.5%
53.5%
+117
-127
+115
-119
+1½-181
-1½+161
+1½-180
-1½+178
3
4
-0.60086-0.61841-0.62511
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins
54.0%
46.0%
-188
+172
-190
+175
-1½-120
+1½+102
-1½-120
+1½+105
5
4
-0.44674-0.44150-0.61648
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
50.1%
49.9%
+110
-120
+108
-115
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
3
-0.76336-0.74790-0.69143
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
36.4%
63.6%
-102
+102
+102
+101
-1½+150
+1½-160

2
0
-0.68330-0.69563-1.01176
Minnesota Twins
Boston Red Sox
47.8%
52.2%
-135
+130
-137
+128
-1½+130
+1½-137
-1½+121
+1½-135
1
8
-0.84211-0.84070-0.65028
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+250
-280
+245
-270
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-130
6
3
-1.27508-1.25776-1.09330
New York Yankees
Oakland Athletics
48.9%
51.1%
-172
+157
-168
+161
-1½-106
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-110
10
0
-0.47955-0.47697-0.71562
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks116-4 (0.591)1-0.66889 
Sportsbooks115-6 (0.455)0-0.67447 
DRatings116-5 (0.545)0-0.70603
-0.03715
-0.03157

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.