MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 14, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Edward Cabrera
Tanner Bibee
45.8%
54.2%
+105
-116
+110
-116
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.06
4.49
8.55
o7½+105
u7½-123
o7½+105
u7½-120
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jesus Luzardo
Brad Lord
50.7%
49.3%
-170
+160
-170
+167
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+110
4.73
4.66
9.39
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bryce Elder
Kodai Senga
49.5%
50.5%
+157
-174
+158
-170
+1½-135
-1½+116
+1½-130
-1½+118
4.52
4.56
9.08
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Tarik Skubal
Bailey Ober
40.8%
59.2%
-184
+166
-190
+175
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-125
+1½+110
4.44
5.41
9.85
o7½-115
u8-120
o7½+100
u7½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Bradley Blalock
42.0%
58.0%
-166
+150
-165
+157
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+102
4.41
5.26
9.67
o12½-115
u12½-105
o12½-115
u12½+100
Games for Aug 13, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
53.9%
46.1%
-117
+106
-123
+115
-1½+130
+1½-149
-1½+125
+1½-142
10.17
o9½-109
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-105
7th
TOP
2
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
33.1%
66.9%
-105
-105
+105
-107
+1½-230
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+200
4
5
-0.69315-0.66458-0.40134
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
-165
+149
-165
+165
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
4
5
-0.93624-0.97456-0.49604
New York Mets
Kansas City Royals
52.7%
47.3%
-122
+111
-122
+116
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+125
+1½-135
3
1
-0.62187-0.61109-0.64095
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
31.0%
69.0%
-125
+113
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-140
6
2
-0.61251-0.60195-1.17115
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
+154
-170
+160
-170
+1½-138
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+125
0
1
-0.48568-0.47678-0.66437
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
36.4%
63.6%
+231
-260
+242
-270
+1½+125
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-135
5
6
-0.34946-0.33697-0.45207
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+240
-270
+250
-280
+1½+150
-1½-158
+1½+145
-1½-155
3
4
-0.33865-0.32768-0.54659
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
52.6%
47.4%
+140
-155
+154
-160
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
6
0
-0.89968-0.94120-0.64200
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
52.0%
48.0%
-148
+134
-150
+148
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
2
1
-0.54007-0.51405-0.65395
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
52.2%
47.8%
-103
-107
-101
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+195
15
7
-0.70249-0.70275-0.64984
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.9%
48.1%
-120
+110
-105
+108


7
6
-0.62755-0.66198-0.65527
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
39.1%
60.9%
+119
-131
+121
-130
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+150
4
12
-0.59066-0.58810-0.49604
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
37.9%
62.1%
+131
-145
+142
-148
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
5
2
-0.86168-0.89372-0.97112
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
53.8%
46.2%
+113
-125
+119
-120
+1½-185
-1½+164
+1½-175
-1½+170
7
8
-0.61251-0.60822-0.77139
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
48.3%
51.7%
-155
+140
-167
+156
-1½+108
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+105
7
6
-0.52206-0.48522-0.72828
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
42.9%
57.1%
-155
+144
-160
+146
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-120
2
4
-0.90951-0.92181-0.55954
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks102-8 (0.200)0-0.78895 
Sportsbooks102-8 (0.200)0-0.80017 
DRatings103-7 (0.300)0-0.74087
0.04808
0.05930

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.