MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 14, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Bradley Blalock
42.0%
58.0%
-166
+150
-162
+154
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+102
4.42
5.27
9.69
o13-105
u13-110
o13-115
u13-105
Games for Aug 13, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
45.8%
54.2%
+113
-123
+108
-115
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
8.55
o7-120
u7½-121
o7½+110
u7½-120
5th
TOP
4
3
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
50.7%
49.3%
-174
+157
-172
+167
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+110
9.46
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-110
6th
TOP
2
1
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
49.5%
50.5%
+154
-170
+156
-170
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+115
9.01
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-105
4th
TOP
0
1
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
40.8%
59.2%
-182
+165
-190
+175
-1½-127
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
9.85
o8+100
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+105
2nd
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
42.9%
57.1%
-155
+144
-160
+146
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-120
2
4
-0.90951-0.92181-0.55954
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
38.7%
61.3%
+102
-112
-102
-105


5
6
-0.66116-0.68605-0.48999
New York Mets
Kansas City Royals
52.7%
47.3%
-129
+117
-125
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
8
3
-0.59776-0.59784-0.64095
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
39.1%
60.9%
+120
-128
+126
-134
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+175
1
2
-0.59314-0.57251-0.49604
Atlanta Braves
St. Louis Cardinals
51.8%
48.2%
+101
-111
+107
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180

6
5
-0.72144-0.73443-0.65739
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
33.9%
66.1%
+107
-118
+111
-117
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-190
-1½+170
7
3
-0.75162-0.75971-1.08196
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
31.0%
69.0%
-132
+120
-125
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
5
-0.81171-0.79851-0.37108
Washington Nationals
Milwaukee Brewers
39.6%
60.4%
+189
-210
+190
-205
+1½-110
-1½-107
+1½-105
-1½+100
3
8
-0.41264-0.41412-0.50456
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
+101
-110
+102
-108
+1½-215
-1½+183
+1½-200
-1½+185
4
5
-0.66771-0.66959-0.66437
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
53.8%
46.2%
+240
-270
+245
-260
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-128
12
3
-1.24733-1.25037-0.61977
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
45.3%
54.7%
+216
-242
+220
-240
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
3
2
-1.17435-1.18136-0.79102
Chicago Cubs
New York Yankees
37.9%
62.1%
+143
-158
+155
-157
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
0
11
-0.51401-0.49589-0.47588
Miami Marlins
Baltimore Orioles
53.1%
46.9%
+130
-143
+128
-138
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
5
-0.55321-0.56328-0.75613
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
31.0%
69.0%
-108
-102
-110
+107
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+140
+1½-155
4
2
-0.67930-0.65350-1.17115
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.8%
66.2%
-117
+106
-117
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
4
-0.74701-0.75717-0.41244
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
41.5%
58.5%
+105
-115
+101
-108

-1½+150
+1½-165
11
4
-0.74028-0.71474-0.87926
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks71-6 (0.143)0-0.81656 
Sportsbooks71-6 (0.143)0-0.83768 
DRatings71-6 (0.143)0-0.74875
0.06781
0.08893

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.