Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Postponed | Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -138 +136 -143 +140 | -1½+125 +1½-128 -1½+114 +1½-125 | 4.56 5.45 | 10.01 | o7½-116 u8-115 o8+105 u8-110 | All Bet Values Active All Bet Values Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals Atlanta Braves | 40.8% 59.2% | +220 -248 +233 -250 | +1½+103 -1½-120 +1½+105 -1½-120 | 2 3 | -0.36361-0.35095 | -0.52411 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Boston Red Sox | 35.2% 64.8% | +107 -116 +112 -110 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 12 2 | -0.74748-0.74691 | -1.04412 | |
| Texas Rangers Cleveland Indians | 41.7% 58.3% | +128 -139 +130 -138 | +1½-174 -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 5 3 | -0.84416-0.84742 | -0.87412 | |
| Chicago Cubs Miami Marlins | 49.7% 50.3% | -125 +115 -118 +115 | -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-150 | 6 3 | -0.60825-0.62019 | -0.69991 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Toronto Blue Jays | 41.7% 58.3% | +169 -185 +175 -185 | +1½-123 -1½+110 +1½-120 -1½+107 | 4 5 | -0.45279-0.44482 | -0.53964 | |
| Colorado Rockies New York Yankees | 37.5% 62.5% | +274 -315 +280 -318 | +1½+130 -1½-148 +1½+135 -1½-150 | 0 3 | -0.30178-0.29707 | -0.47016 | |
| Houston Astros Baltimore Orioles | 62.9% 37.1% | -111 +101 -113 +111 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-140 | 5 7 | -0.72144-0.75114 | -0.99037 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.6% 42.4% | -101 -109 +105 -108 | +1½-208 -1½+178 +1½-195 -1½+175 | 5 6 | -0.67472-0.66240 | -0.85715 | |
| New York Mets San Diego Padres | 45.0% 55.0% | +139 -152 +144 -154 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-150 -1½+140 | 8 3 | -0.89265-0.90800 | -0.79882 | |
| Houston Astros Baltimore Orioles | 59.4% 40.6% | +147 -160 +148 -155 | +1½-146 -1½+126 +1½-145 -1½+131 | 6 0 | -0.92425-0.91925 | -0.52091 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves | 44.6% 55.4% | +108 -118 +114 -111 | +1½-198 -1½+173 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 2 3 | -0.63563-0.63565 | -0.58974 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Toronto Blue Jays | 41.7% 58.3% | +134 -146 +135 -144 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 3 5 | -0.54235-0.54294 | -0.53964 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.6% 42.4% | +129 -140 +139 -145 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 0 7 | -0.55881-0.53471 | -0.85715 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Oakland Athletics | 48.6% 51.4% | -106 -103 -109 +105 | -1½+150 +1½-167 -1½+145 +1½-164 | 1 3 | -0.70019-0.72714 | -0.66575 | |
| Detroit Tigers Chicago Cubs | 44.1% 55.9% | +169 -185 +170 -182 | +1½-133 -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+118 | 2 10 | -0.45279-0.45353 | -0.58221 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals | 48.7% 51.3% | -122 +112 -122 +116 | -1½+135 +1½-154 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 0 3 | -0.77245-0.78255 | -0.66810 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 7-7 (0.500) | 0 | -0.66955 | |
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 9-5 (0.643) | 0 | -0.66437 | |
| DRatings | 14 | 10-4 (0.714) | 0 | -0.68284 | -0.01329 -0.01847 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.