MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 15, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Braxton Ashcraft
Colin Rea
40.9%
59.1%
+171
-190
+178
-195
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-107
4.11
5.07
9.18
o9-117
u9-103
o9-115
u9-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Nick Martinez
50.3%
49.7%




4.41
4.38
8.79


Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Zack Wheeler
MacKenzie Gore
50.7%
49.3%
-175
+158
-165
+150
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
4.80
4.73
9.53
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-120
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Jacob deGrom
Chris Bassitt
34.5%
65.5%
-111
+101
-112
+105
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
4.50
6.11
10.61
o7½+100
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Luis Castillo
Sean Manaea
45.3%
54.7%
+100
-110
+103
-112
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-185
-1½+175
4.43
4.92
9.35
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-120
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Hurston Waldrep
Joey Cantillo
52.9%
47.1%
+109
-120
+110
-116
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+170
4.45
4.14
8.59
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Sandy Alcantara
Lucas Giolito
38.9%
61.1%
+147
-163
+148
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
3.86
5.03
8.89
o9+100
u9-118
o9+100
u9-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Brandon Young
Framber Valdez
31.6%
68.4%
+197
-220
+225
-220
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-110
3.75
5.63
9.38
o8-115
u8+100
o8-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Charlie Morton
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
42.3%
57.7%




4.41
5.22
9.63


Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Civale
Noah Cameron
58.5%
41.5%
+162
-180
+166
-180
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.54
4.66
10.20
o9-115
u9+100
o9-115
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Luis Gil
Andre Pallante
54.0%
46.0%
-126
+114
-125
+117
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
4.82
4.39
9.21
o9-110
u9-110
o9+100
u9-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brandon Pfaadt
Tanner Gordon
42.0%
58.0%
-180
+162
-175
+165
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+107
4.51
5.34
9.85
o12-105
u12-115
o12+100
u11½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Yusei Kikuchi
Jack Perkins
43.1%
56.9%
-105
-105
-105
-105
+1½-210
-1½+180

4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-105
u10-105
o10-110
u10-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Clayton Kershaw
37.6%
62.4%




3.39
4.68
8.07


Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Joe Boyle
Landen Roupp
46.8%
53.2%
+111
-122
+116
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
3.96
4.30
8.26
o8-110
u8-110
o8+100
u8-105
Games for Aug 14, 2025
Games for Aug 16, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
40.8%
59.2%
-182
+165
-190
+175
-1½-127
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
9.85
o8+100
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+105
10th
BOT
3
3
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
42.0%
58.0%
-161
+146
-165
+154
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+102
9.69
o13-115
u13+100
o13-120
u13+100
6th
TOP
7
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
31.0%
69.0%
-108
-102
-110
+107
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+140
+1½-155
4
2
-0.67930-0.65350-1.17115
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.8%
66.2%
-117
+106
-117
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
4
-0.74701-0.75717-0.41244
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
41.5%
58.5%
+105
-115
+101
-108

-1½+150
+1½-165
11
4
-0.74028-0.71474-0.87926
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
46.7%
53.3%
-185
+167
-192
+180
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+115
4
5
-1.00545-1.04418-0.62950
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+122
-135
+125
-132
+1½-166
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+152
1
8
-0.57893-0.57725-0.61074
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
+108
-119
+111
-113
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+180
3
4
-0.63380-0.63834-0.66437
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
39.0%
61.0%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
5
6
-0.72144-0.71668-0.49356
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
42.0%
58.0%
+147
-163
+151
-158
+1½-136
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+127
0
6
-0.50274-0.50112-0.54409
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
57.1%
42.9%
-127
+115
-125
+120
-1½+123
+1½-143

3
7
-0.78975-0.79851-0.84541
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
-112
+102
-110
+105
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
8
1
-0.66116-0.65817-0.77910
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
57.0%
43.0%
-135
+122
-137
+128
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+125
+1½-130
1
3
-0.82212-0.84070-0.84483
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
46.7%
53.3%
-130
+118
-125
+118
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
9
2
-0.59419-0.60195-0.76113
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.8%
66.2%
+144
-159
+143
-155
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+145
8
2
-0.91544-0.90708-1.08480
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-104
-106
-107
+100
-1½+161
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
8
11
-0.68852-0.70991-0.49937
Cleveland Indians
Houston Astros
29.3%
70.7%
+142
-157
+145
-153
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+160
4
2
-0.90760-0.90892-1.22796
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+131
-145
+145
-143
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+158
8
2
-0.86168-0.89272-0.78296
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks51-4 (0.200)0-0.80429 
Sportsbooks51-4 (0.200)0-0.82208 
DRatings52-3 (0.400)0-0.65634
0.14795
0.16574

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.