MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 15, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Braxton Ashcraft
Colin Rea
40.9%
59.1%
+178
-198
+175
-190
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-102
4.11
5.07
9.18
o9-110
u9-108
o9-115
u9-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Nick Martinez
50.3%
49.7%




4.41
4.38
8.79


Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Zack Wheeler
MacKenzie Gore
50.7%
49.3%
-175
+158
-167
+155
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
4.80
4.73
9.53
o8-110
u8-110
o8+100
u8-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Jacob deGrom
Chris Bassitt
34.5%
65.5%
-110
+101
-112
+105
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+148
+1½-160
4.50
6.11
10.61
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½+100
u7½-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Luis Castillo
Sean Manaea
45.3%
54.7%
+111
-121
+103
-112
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+175
4.43
4.92
9.35
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-120
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Hurston Waldrep
Joey Cantillo
52.9%
47.1%
+109
-120
+110
-116
+1½-185
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+170
4.45
4.14
8.59
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Sandy Alcantara
Lucas Giolito
38.9%
61.1%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
3.86
5.03
8.89
o9+100
u9-118
o9+100
u9-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Brandon Young
Framber Valdez
31.6%
68.4%
+217
-243
+215
-240
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-120
3.75
5.63
9.38
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Charlie Morton
Pierson Ohl
42.3%
57.7%




4.41
5.22
9.63


Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Civale
Noah Cameron
58.5%
41.5%
+158
-175
+168
-179
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
5.54
4.66
10.20
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Luis Gil
Andre Pallante
54.0%
46.0%
-128
+116
-125
+117
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
4.82
4.39
9.21
o9-110
u9-110
o9+100
u9-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brandon Pfaadt
Tanner Gordon
42.0%
58.0%
-180
+162
-180
+165
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+107
4.75
5.60
10.35
o12-105
u12-115
o12+100
u11½-103
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Yusei Kikuchi
Jack Perkins
43.1%
56.9%
-109
-101
-103
-105


4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-105
u10-110
o10-110
u10-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Clayton Kershaw
37.6%
62.4%




3.39
4.68
8.07


Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Joe Boyle
Landen Roupp
46.8%
53.2%
+111
-122
+116
-122
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
3.96
4.30
8.26
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-105
Games for Aug 14, 2025
Games for Aug 16, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Houston Astros
29.3%
70.7%
+142
-157
+145
-153
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+160
4
2
-0.90760-0.90892-1.22796
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+131
-145
+145
-143
+1½-172
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+158
8
2
-0.86168-0.89272-0.78296
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
42.4%
57.6%
+158
-175
+168
-175
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
3
4
-0.47567-0.46143-0.55113
Chicago Cubs
Minnesota Twins
45.0%
55.0%
-102
-108
-102
-107

-1½+155
+1½-170
2
4
-0.67930-0.68152-0.59784
Colorado Rockies
Boston Red Sox
37.7%
62.3%
+277
-315
+285
-315
+1½+137
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-155
2
10
-0.29970-0.29430-0.47321
Miami Marlins
Cincinnati Reds
44.5%
55.5%
+127
-140
+135
-138
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-155
-1½+150
2
7
-0.56258-0.55036-0.58848
Seattle Mariners
New York Yankees
39.0%
61.0%
+140
-155
+143
-151
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
6
9
-0.52206-0.52120-0.49356
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
58.4%
41.6%
+123
-136
+129
-135
+1½-175
-1½+154
+1½-165
-1½+160
7
3
-0.82640-0.83965-0.53864
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
42.6%
57.4%
-127
+115
-130
+123
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-145
13
0
-0.60506-0.58410-0.85217
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
47.1%
52.9%
-132
+120
-133
+125
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
1
2
-0.81171-0.82608-0.63614
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
53.4%
46.6%
-141
+128
-142
+135
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
2
3
-0.84756-0.86664-0.76406
Atlanta Braves
Oakland Athletics
46.7%
53.3%
-101
-109
-102
-105

-1½+150
+1½-160
1
10
-0.67472-0.68605-0.62950
Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
45.7%
54.3%
+197
-220
+196
-220
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
2
4
-0.39860-0.39972-0.61074
Philadelphia Phillies
San Francisco Giants
42.6%
57.4%
+136
-150
+136
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+140
3
4
-0.53428-0.53428-0.55598
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
35.1%
64.9%
+130
-143
+135
-135
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
0
1
-0.55321-0.55431-0.43291
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
+100
-110
+100
-108

-1½+160
+1½-165
13
1
-0.71668-0.71219-0.93372
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.71258 
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.72027 
DRatings72-5 (0.286)0-0.72062
-0.00804
-0.00035

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.