Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Nick Pivetta | 47.8% 52.2% | -131 +121 -125 +115 | -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+135 +1½-145 | 5.31 5.54 | 10.85 | o7½-105 u7½-112 o7½+105 u7½-115 | |||
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Paul Skenes Hunter Greene | 36.4% 63.6% | -116 +107 -115 +110 | -1½+140 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-150 | 3.83 5.26 | 9.09 | o8+102 u8-115 o8+105 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Undecided Undecided Albert Suarez | 50.1% 49.9% | +117 -140 | +1½-195 -1½+160 | 4.75 4.73 | 9.48 | o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Grant Holmes Darren McCaughan | 54.0% 46.0% | -185 +169 -182 +172 | -1½-115 +1½-102 -1½-110 +1½+100 | 4.60 4.18 | 8.78 | o9+100 u8½+100 o8½-120 u8½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Undecided Undecided Shane Baz | 46.5% 53.5% | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | ||||||
| Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jordan Montgomery Frankie Montas | 32.1% 67.9% | +106 -116 +112 -120 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-120 -1½+175 | 3.37 5.22 | 8.59 | o9-102 u8½-105 o9+100 u9-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Griffin Canning Spencer Arrighetti | 40.6% 59.4% | +238 -270 +240 -260 | +1½+105 -1½-125 +1½+107 -1½-125 | 4.03 5.01 | 9.04 | o8½-110 u8½-110 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Blake Snell Seth Lugo | 57.3% 42.7% | -105 -105 -112 +102 | -1½+155 +1½-165 | 4.38 3.60 | 7.98 | o7½+105 u7+100 o7-115 u7½-120 | |||
| Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Gavin Williams Andre Pallante | 45.7% 54.3% | -107 -113 +100 -110 | +1½-220 -1½+175 +1½-210 -1½+188 | 4.22 4.68 | 8.90 | o7½-110 u7½-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Washington Nationals (52-68) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Jake Irvin Shota Imanaga | 47.7% 52.3% | +170 -186 +175 -190 | +1½-135 -1½+117 | 4.92 5.17 | 10.09 | o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | Bryan Woo Andrew Heaney | 50.4% 49.6% | -116 +106 -120 +110 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 5.21 5.17 | 10.38 | o8+105 u8-115 o7½-110 u8-115 | |||
| New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Luis Gil Joey Estes | 48.9% 51.1% | -169 +155 -170 +155 | -1½-105 +1½-115 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.79 4.91 | 9.70 | o8½-110 u8½-105 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Antonio Senzatela Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 34.4% 65.6% | +295 -340 +293 -335 | +1½+135 -1½-150 +1½+131 -1½-150 | 4.23 5.85 | 10.08 | o8½-105 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Sean Burke Yu Darvish | 42.6% 57.4% | +262 -300 +270 -309 | +1½+115 -1½-130 +1½+125 -1½-140 | 3.77 4.54 | 8.31 | o7½-115 u7½+100 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
| Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Zebby Matthews Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -105 -105 -107 -103 | -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+150 +1½-170 | 5.00 5.88 | 10.88 | o8-107 u8-113 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Zack Wheeler Tylor Megill | 47.2% 52.8% | -142 +130 -146 +137 | -1½+118 +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-133 | 4.36 4.66 | 9.02 | o7+100 u7-115 o6½-120 u7-120 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles New York Mets | 36.2% 63.8% | +127 -138 +130 -140 | +1½-171 -1½+151 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 3 4 | -0.56518-0.55696 | -0.44961 | |
| Seattle Mariners Los Angeles Dodgers | 34.6% 65.4% | +144 -157 +146 -152 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+140 | 3 6 | -0.51336-0.51519 | -0.42402 | |
| Chicago White Sox San Francisco Giants | 46.2% 53.8% | +210 -235 +230 -240 | +1½+100 -1½-118 +1½+110 -1½-115 | 1 4 | -0.37834-0.35718 | -0.61982 | |
| Minnesota Twins San Diego Padres | 40.0% 60.0% | -116 +106 -120 +112 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-155 | 5 7 | -0.74492-0.76841 | -0.51143 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Oakland Athletics | 48.6% 51.4% | -119 +109 -116 +107 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-160 | 1 0 | -0.63156-0.64162 | -0.72132 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Kansas City Royals | 51.8% 48.2% | +172 -188 +180 -192 | +1½-124 -1½+105 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 9 5 | -1.02085-1.04418 | -0.65865 | |
| Boston Red Sox Houston Astros | 37.6% 62.4% | -105 -105 +102 -105 | +1½-200 -1½+184 | 6 5 | -0.69315-0.71031 | -0.97939 | |
| Detroit Tigers Chicago Cubs | 44.1% 55.9% | +128 -139 +130 -139 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+150 | 1 3 | -0.56198-0.55823 | -0.58221 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Texas Rangers | 43.7% 56.3% | +129 -140 +127 -134 | +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 4 0 | -0.84838-0.83287 | -0.82734 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals | 53.8% 46.2% | +106 -116 +106 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 3 2 | -0.74492-0.74282 | -0.61964 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves | 54.1% 45.9% | -155 +142 -152 +143 | -1½+110 +1½-123 -1½+107 +1½-125 | 1 3 | -0.90461-0.90249 | -0.77918 | |
| Baltimore Orioles New York Mets | 36.4% 63.6% | +116 -126 +116 -121 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-178 -1½+165 | 9 5 | -0.79039-0.78054 | -1.00967 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Toronto Blue Jays | 43.4% 56.6% | +108 -118 +108 -118 | +1½-183 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 3 10 | -0.63563-0.63563 | -0.56939 | |
| Cleveland Indians New York Yankees | 38.7% 61.3% | +133 -145 +138 -145 | +1½-157 -1½+137 +1½-150 -1½+136 | 9 5 | -0.86669-0.87904 | -0.94923 | |
| Colorado Rockies Washington Nationals | 45.9% 54.1% | +144 -157 +145 -155 | +1½-152 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 3 1 | -0.91250-0.91198 | -0.77833 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Miami Marlins | 42.2% 57.8% | -123 +113 -118 +115 | -1½+140 +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 3 1 | -0.61582-0.62019 | -0.86363 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 7-7 (0.500) | 0 | -0.66955 | |
| Sportsbooks | 14 | 9-5 (0.643) | 0 | -0.66437 | |
| DRatings | 14 | 10-4 (0.714) | 0 | -0.68284 | -0.01329 -0.01847 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.