Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Nick Pivetta | 47.8% 52.2% | -123 +113 -125 +118 | -1½+133 +1½-150 -1½+131 +1½-145 | 5.31 5.54 | 10.85 | o7½+105 u7½-118 o7½+105 u7½-115 | |||
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Paul Skenes Hunter Greene | 36.4% 63.6% | -118 +108 -117 +110 | -1½+137 +1½-157 -1½+135 +1½-150 | 3.83 5.26 | 9.09 | o7½-115 u7½+100 o8+105 u8-120 | |||
Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Undecided Undecided Albert Suarez | 50.1% 49.9% | +117 -140 +125 -134 | +1½-195 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.75 4.73 | 9.48 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½+100 u8½-120 | |||
Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Grant Holmes Darren McCaughan | 54.0% 46.0% | -185 +169 -185 +172 | -1½-120 +1½+101 -1½-120 +1½+102 | 4.60 4.18 | 8.78 | o8½-120 u8½+100 o8½-120 u8½+100 | |||
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Undecided Undecided Shane Baz | 46.5% 53.5% | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | ||||||
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jordan Montgomery Frankie Montas | 32.1% 67.9% | +106 -116 +112 -119 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-187 -1½+175 | 3.37 5.22 | 8.59 | o8½-115 u8½-105 o9+100 u9-120 | |||
Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Griffin Canning Spencer Arrighetti | 40.6% 59.4% | +235 -267 +235 -265 | +1½+113 -1½-130 +1½+112 -1½-125 | 4.03 5.01 | 9.04 | o8½-110 u8½-110 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Blake Snell Seth Lugo | 57.3% 42.7% | -107 -103 -107 +102 | -1½+160 +1½-176 -1½+155 +1½-175 | 4.38 3.60 | 7.98 | o7-115 u7-105 o7-115 u7½-120 | |||
Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Gavin Williams Andre Pallante | 45.7% 54.3% | -103 -107 +100 -110 | +1½-212 -1½+182 +1½-210 -1½+188 | 4.22 4.68 | 8.90 | o7½-110 u8-115 o7-120 u7½-110 | |||
Washington Nationals (52-68) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Jake Irvin Shota Imanaga | 47.7% 52.3% | +172 -188 +175 -190 | +1½-126 -1½+106 +1½-130 -1½+112 | 4.92 5.17 | 10.09 | o8-110 u8-110 o7½-110 u7½-110 | |||
Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | Bryan Woo Andrew Heaney | 50.4% 49.6% | -117 +107 -120 +110 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-156 | 5.21 5.17 | 10.38 | o8+100 u8-115 o7½-110 u8-120 | |||
New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Luis Gil Joey Estes | 48.9% 51.1% | -173 +158 -170 +155 | -1½-105 +1½-108 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.79 4.91 | 9.70 | o8½-105 u8½-112 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Antonio Senzatela Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 34.4% 65.6% | +308 -355 +319 -340 | +1½+145 -1½-165 +1½+150 -1½-150 | 4.23 5.85 | 10.08 | o8½-110 u8½-108 o8½-105 u8½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Sean Burke Yu Darvish | 42.6% 57.4% | +274 -315 +307 -320 | +1½+130 -1½-135 +1½+136 -1½-140 | 3.77 4.54 | 8.31 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Zebby Matthews Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -108 -102 -105 -103 | +1½-212 -1½+182 -1½+155 +1½-173 | 5.00 5.88 | 10.88 | o8-108 u8-112 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Zack Wheeler Tylor Megill | 47.2% 52.8% | -142 +130 -146 +137 | -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+115 +1½-133 | 4.36 4.66 | 9.02 | o7+105 u7-115 o6½-120 u7-120 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Mariners Los Angeles Dodgers | 34.4% 65.6% | +130 -142 +137 -144 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 0 3 | -0.55443-0.53940 | -0.42109 | |
Chicago White Sox San Francisco Giants | 46.2% 53.8% | +206 -230 +208 -230 | +1½-104 -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½-105 | 3 5 | -0.38450-0.38243 | -0.61982 | |
Minnesota Twins San Diego Padres | 42.8% 57.2% | +156 -170 +158 -170 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 3 5 | -0.48268-0.47970 | -0.55774 | |
Tampa Bay Rays Oakland Athletics | 48.6% 51.4% | -114 +106 -115 +112 | -1½+148 +1½-168 -1½+146 +1½-155 | 0 3 | -0.74068-0.75796 | -0.66575 | |
Los Angeles Angels Kansas City Royals | 51.8% 48.2% | +210 -233 +220 -230 | +1½+111 -1½-125 +1½+115 -1½-123 | 3 5 | -0.37914-0.37044 | -0.72888 | |
Boston Red Sox Houston Astros | 46.9% 53.1% | +127 -138 +132 -134 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 4 5 | -0.56518-0.56115 | -0.63311 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Texas Rangers | 45.1% 54.9% | +140 -153 +140 -150 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-148 -1½+135 | 3 4 | -0.52415-0.52736 | -0.59882 | |
Baltimore Orioles New York Mets | 31.4% 68.6% | +119 -129 +123 -129 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 3 4 | -0.59365-0.58559 | -0.37650 | |
Cincinnati Reds Toronto Blue Jays | 40.2% 59.8% | +131 -143 +142 -142 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 6 3 | -0.85840-0.88378 | -0.91130 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Miami Marlins | 42.2% 57.8% | -204 +185 -195 +185 | -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-115 +1½+115 | 9 6 | -0.42060-0.42580 | -0.86363 | |
New York Yankees Detroit Tigers | 63.1% 36.9% | +111 -121 +114 -116 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 2 3 | -0.62358-0.62601 | -0.99774 | |
Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Angels | 44.8% 55.2% | -168 +154 -178 +166 | -1½-109 +1½-110 -1½-115 +1½+105 | 3 1 | -0.48737-0.46194 | -0.80234 | |
San Francisco Giants Oakland Athletics | 48.6% 51.4% | -152 +139 -148 +139 | -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 4 2 | -0.52690-0.53128 | -0.72060 | |
San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies | 55.5% 44.5% | -188 +172 -190 +175 | -1½-135 +1½+115 -1½-125 +1½+115 | 2 3 | -1.02085-1.03022 | -0.81076 | |
Minnesota Twins Texas Rangers | 52.9% 47.1% | -102 -108 +105 -105 | -1½+160 +1½-175 | 5 6 | -0.67930-0.66904 | -0.75328 | |
Toronto Blue Jays Chicago Cubs | 55.4% 44.6% | +169 -185 +166 -180 | +1½-137 -1½+120 +1½-143 -1½+130 | 1 0 | -1.01019-0.99696 | -0.59115 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 14 | 7-7 (0.500) | 0 | -0.66955 | |
Sportsbooks | 14 | 9-5 (0.643) | 0 | -0.66437 | |
DRatings | 14 | 10-4 (0.714) | 0 | -0.68284 | -0.01329 -0.01847 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.