Upcoming Games for May 4, 2026
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets (60-60) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Huascar Brazoban Tomoyuki Sugano | 51.1% 48.9% | -145 +131 -138 +129 | -1½+105 +1½-118 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 4.99 4.88 | 9.87 | o10½-115 u10½-103 o10½-120 u10½+100 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Payton Tolle Tyler Holton | 58.2% 41.8% | -119 +108 +162 +107 | 5.21 4.36 | 9.57 | o8-120 u8½-115 o7-105 u8-105 | All Bet Values Active | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Aaron Nola Janson Junk | 51.7% 48.3% | -102 -108 +101 -108 | -1½+155 +1½-175 | 4.56 4.39 | 8.95 | o8½-110 u8½-108 o8½-110 u8½-105 | |||
| Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Eric Lauer Nick Martinez | 46.5% 53.5% | +115 -126 +114 -120 | +1½-182 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o8-108 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) New York Yankees (69-52) | Shane Baz Cam Schlittler | 32.4% 67.6% | +184 -205 +195 -215 | +1½-105 -1½-110 +1½-110 -1½+100 | 4.76 6.57 | 11.33 | o8½-105 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½-110 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Chase Petty Edward Cabrera | 51.6% 48.4% | +186 -207 +200 -215 | +1½+105 -1½-115 +1½+100 -1½-115 | 5.14 4.97 | 10.11 | o11½-105 u11½-110 o11½-105 u11½-110 | |||
| Cleveland Indians (58-61) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Tanner Bibee Michael Wacha | 49.3% 50.7% | +102 -112 +109 -118 | +1½-195 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 4.65 4.72 | 9.37 | o9-115 u9-103 o9-105 u9-105 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Chad Patrick Kyle Leahy | 53.0% 47.0% | -129 +117 -115 +115 | -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+143 +1½-150 | 4.72 4.40 | 9.12 | o9-105 u9-110 o9-105 u8½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Houston Astros (70-50) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Steven Okert | 50.6% 49.4% | -190 +171 -190 +175 | -1½-125 +1½+105 -1½-125 +1½+110 | 4.34 4.28 | 8.62 | o9-116 u9+100 o9-110 u9-105 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Davis Martin Jose Soriano | 51.7% 48.3% | +133 -147 +136 -143 | +1½-158 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 5.16 4.98 | 10.14 | o7½-116 u7½+100 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
| Atlanta Braves (65-56) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | JR Ritchie Logan Gilbert | 52.7% 47.3% | +123 -136 +126 -129 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+150 | 4.82 4.55 | 9.37 | o7½-115 u7½-103 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Randy Vasquez Trevor McDonald | 46.6% 53.4% | -130 +118 -130 +125 | -1½+123 +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-140 | 3.93 4.29 | 8.22 | o8-110 u8-107 o8-110 u8-110 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies | 43.0% 57.0% | +162 -180 +165 -180 | +1½-115 -1½+105 +1½-125 -1½+110 | 2 3 | -0.46608-0.46185 | -0.56236 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds | 36.4% 63.6% | -111 +106 -113 +106 | -1½+132 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-145 | 8 3 | -0.65377-0.64972 | -1.01176 | |
| Texas Rangers Baltimore Orioles | 57.0% 43.0% | -120 +109 -118 +112 | -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-155 | 8 5 | -0.62978-0.62672 | -0.56201 | |
| Cleveland Indians Los Angeles Dodgers | 34.1% 65.9% | +160 -177 +167 -175 | +1½-132 -1½+120 +1½-125 -1½+127 | 4 2 | -0.97883-0.99290 | -1.07499 | |
| Detroit Tigers Arizona Diamondbacks | 49.0% 51.0% | +109 -120 +110 -118 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+162 | 6 9 | -0.62978-0.63113 | -0.67311 | |
| New York Yankees Seattle Mariners | 53.2% 46.8% | -115 +104 -110 +113 | -1½+150 +1½-167 | 1 2 | -0.73771-0.74940 | -0.76036 | |
| San Francisco Giants San Diego Padres | 47.0% 53.0% | +102 -112 +105 -112 | +1½-205 -1½+177 +1½-200 -1½+175 | 3 2 | -0.72619-0.73382 | -0.75449 | |
| Boston Red Sox Houston Astros | 43.7% 56.3% | -126 +114 -120 +120 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+140 +1½-145 | 1 8 | -0.78531-0.78845 | -0.57405 | |
| New York Mets St. Louis Cardinals | 49.1% 50.9% | -146 +132 -145 +138 | -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+110 +1½-125 | 4 2 | -0.54595-0.53645 | -0.71080 | |
| Los Angeles Angels Chicago Cubs | 50.2% 49.8% | +162 -180 +165 -180 | +1½-122 -1½+102 +1½-120 -1½+110 | 2 7 | -0.46608-0.46185 | -0.69724 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Milwaukee Brewers | 47.5% 52.5% | +136 -150 +142 -145 | +1½-155 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+143 | 3 2 | -0.88211-0.88882 | -0.74442 | |
| Oakland Athletics Atlanta Braves | 46.9% 53.1% | +106 -117 +121 -122 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-165 -1½+160 | 0 4 | -0.64204-0.60070 | -0.63335 | |
| Colorado Rockies Toronto Blue Jays | 38.8% 61.2% | +244 -275 +243 -265 | +1½+117 -1½-135 +1½+125 -1½-125 | 14 5 | -1.25920-1.24998 | -0.94690 | |
| Chicago White Sox Miami Marlins | 56.2% 43.8% | +128 -141 +132 -135 | +1½-175 -1½+157 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 9 4 | -0.84756-0.84707 | -0.57691 | |
| Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies | 43.0% 57.0% | +149 -165 +152 -165 | +1½-135 -1½+118 +1½-135 -1½+125 | 13 2 | -0.93624-0.94353 | -0.84364 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Cincinnati Reds | 36.4% 63.6% | +118 -130 +122 -127 | +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 0 2 | -0.59419-0.59064 | -0.45190 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.65243 | |
| Sportsbooks | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.63482 | |
| DRatings | 1 | 1-0 (1.000) | 0 | -0.60245 | 0.04998 0.03237 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.