Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Pablo Lopez Nick Pivetta | 47.8% 52.2% | -135 +131 -140 +132 | -1½+130 +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-138 | 5.31 5.54 | 10.85 | o7½+105 u7½-125 o7½+105 u7½-120 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Paul Skenes Hunter Greene | 36.4% 63.6% | -116 +106 -115 +110 | -1½+137 +1½-157 -1½+140 +1½-154 | 3.83 5.26 | 9.09 | o7½-115 u7½+100 o8+100 u8-115 | |||
Detroit Tigers (58-64) Baltimore Orioles (38-81) | Undecided Undecided Albert Suarez | 50.1% 49.9% | +117 -127 +122 -127 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 4.75 4.73 | 9.48 | o8½-105 u8½-115 o8½+100 u8½-120 | |||
Atlanta Braves (65-56) Miami Marlins (51-70) | Grant Holmes Darren McCaughan | 54.0% 46.0% | -186 +170 -185 +172 | -1½-120 +1½+102 -1½-120 +1½+102 | 4.60 4.18 | 8.78 | o8½-120 u8½+100 o8½-120 u8½+100 | |||
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) | Ryan Burr Shane Baz | 46.5% 53.5% | +130 -142 +130 -139 | +1½-166 -1½+146 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 4.29 4.66 | 8.95 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Jordan Montgomery Frankie Montas | 32.1% 67.9% | +110 -120 +110 -119 | +1½-190 -1½+170 +1½-187 -1½+170 | 3.37 5.22 | 8.59 | o8-114 u8½-105 o9+100 u8½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Los Angeles Angels (61-61) Houston Astros (70-50) | Griffin Canning Spencer Arrighetti | 40.6% 59.4% | +231 -262 +235 -265 | +1½+110 -1½-130 +1½+112 -1½-125 | 4.03 5.01 | 9.04 | o8-105 u8½-110 o8-110 u8-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
San Francisco Giants (78-43) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Blake Snell Seth Lugo | 57.3% 42.7% | -108 -102 -108 +100 | -1½+160 +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 | 4.38 3.60 | 7.98 | o7+102 u7-105 o6½-125 u7-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Cleveland Indians (58-61) St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) | Gavin Williams Andre Pallante | 45.7% 54.3% | +106 -113 +105 -110 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+188 | 4.21 4.65 | 8.86 | o7½-103 u7½-110 o7½-105 u7½-110 | |||
Washington Nationals (52-68) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Jake Irvin Shota Imanaga | 47.7% 52.3% | +178 -195 +175 -190 | +1½-123 -1½+103 +1½-130 -1½+112 | 4.92 5.17 | 10.09 | o8-106 u8-114 o7½-115 u7½+100 | |||
Seattle Mariners (65-56) Texas Rangers (42-78) | Bryan Woo Andrew Heaney | 50.4% 49.6% | -119 +117 -125 +118 | -1½+145 +1½-147 -1½+130 +1½-147 | 5.21 5.17 | 10.38 | o7½-115 u8-115 o7½-115 u7½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
New York Yankees (69-52) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Luis Gil Joey Estes | 48.9% 51.1% | -170 +156 -170 +155 | -1½-105 +1½-108 -1½-107 +1½-110 | 4.79 4.91 | 9.70 | o9-102 u9-115 o8½-115 u8½+100 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
Colorado Rockies (55-66) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Antonio Senzatela Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 34.4% 65.6% | +322 -370 +319 -370 | +1½+150 -1½-165 +1½+150 -1½-170 | 4.23 5.85 | 10.08 | o8½-110 u8½-108 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
Chicago White Sox (71-50) San Diego Padres (67-56) | Sean Burke Yu Darvish | 42.6% 57.4% | +286 -330 +307 -340 | +1½+133 -1½-135 +1½+131 -1½-150 | 3.77 4.54 | 8.31 | o7½-115 u8-110 o8-110 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
Minnesota Twins (54-67) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Zebby Matthews Kutter Crawford | 41.5% 58.5% | -115 +105 -107 +100 | +1½-220 -1½+190 -1½+155 +1½-173 | 4.53 5.42 | 9.95 | o8-108 u8-112 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) New York Mets (60-60) | Zack Wheeler Tylor Megill | 47.2% 52.8% | -142 +130 -137 +138 | -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+125 +1½-135 | 4.36 4.66 | 9.02 | o7+105 u7-125 o7+105 u6½+100 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals | 62.7% 37.3% | +106 -116 +101 -109 | 2 1 | -0.74492-0.71701 | -0.46673 | ||
Cleveland Indians Milwaukee Brewers | 39.6% 60.4% | +110 -120 +114 -117 | +1½-183 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 0 2 | -0.62755-0.62416 | -0.50456 | |
Chicago White Sox Houston Astros | 46.4% 53.6% | +288 -333 +310 -345 | +1½+144 -1½-164 +1½+146 -1½-165 | 0 2 | -0.28903-0.27353 | -0.62392 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks Tampa Bay Rays | 35.0% 65.0% | -106 -104 -107 +104 | -1½+155 +1½-172 -1½+153 +1½-160 | 7 8 | -0.69780-0.72003 | -0.43048 | |
Kansas City Royals Cincinnati Reds | 43.0% 57.0% | -101 -109 -103 -105 | +1½-197 -1½+180 +1½-197 -1½+175 | 8 1 | -0.71192-0.69788 | -0.84383 | |
Seattle Mariners Pittsburgh Pirates | 54.0% 46.0% | -170 +156 -170 +159 | -1½-105 +1½-112 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 10 3 | -0.48268-0.47823 | -0.61602 | |
Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles | 59.8% 40.2% | +112 -122 +111 -115 | +1½-175 -1½+157 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 2 4 | -0.61967-0.63448 | -0.91255 | |
Washington Nationals Philadelphia Phillies | 43.0% 57.0% | +139 -152 +140 -148 | +1½-143 -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+125 | 6 4 | -0.89265-0.88882 | -0.84364 | |
Miami Marlins New York Mets | 44.8% 55.2% | +167 -183 +172 -180 | +1½-120 -1½+106 +1½-125 -1½+110 | 3 2 | -1.00302-1.01107 | -0.80214 | |
Atlanta Braves Los Angeles Angels | 44.2% 55.8% | -226 +203 -220 +203 | -1½-140 +1½+120 -1½-133 +1½+120 | 11 3 | -0.38938-0.39207 | -0.81654 | |
San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies | 53.3% 46.7% | -185 +169 -180 +176 | -1½-130 +1½+112 -1½-125 +1½+115 | 8 3 | -0.45279-0.44699 | -0.62833 | |
Cleveland Indians Milwaukee Brewers | 43.8% 56.2% | +107 -117 +117 -117 | +1½-198 -1½+180 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 1 2 | -0.63974-0.61772 | -0.57638 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers St. Louis Cardinals | 59.5% 40.5% | -111 +101 -111 +106 | -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-145 | 2 5 | -0.72144-0.73414 | -0.90471 | |
Chicago White Sox Houston Astros | 46.2% 53.8% | +285 -320 +300 -335 | +1½+130 -1½-150 +1½+145 -1½-150 | 1 6 | -0.29335-0.28113 | -0.62044 | |
San Francisco Giants Oakland Athletics | 48.6% 51.4% | -126 +116 -117 +113 | -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+136 +1½-155 | 0 2 | -0.79039-0.76475 | -0.66643 | |
Minnesota Twins Texas Rangers | 52.9% 47.1% | +130 -142 +129 -132 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+160 | 5 2 | -0.85426-0.83418 | -0.63643 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 14 | 7-7 (0.500) | 0 | -0.66955 | |
Sportsbooks | 14 | 9-5 (0.643) | 0 | -0.66437 | |
DRatings | 14 | 10-4 (0.714) | 0 | -0.68284 | -0.01329 -0.01847 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
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# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.