MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 4, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedCincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Chase Petty
Edward Cabrera
51.6%
48.4%
+190
-212
+195
-215
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
5.14
4.97
10.11
o11½-105
u11½-113
o11½-105
u11½-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Davis Martin
Jose Soriano
51.7%
48.3%
+131
-145
+135
-143
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+145
5.16
4.98
10.14
o7½-116
u8-115
o7½-115
u7½-105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
JR Ritchie
Logan Gilbert
52.7%
47.3%
+122
-135
+124
-132
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.82
4.55
9.37
o8-105
u7½+105
o7½-115
u7½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Randy Vasquez
Trevor McDonald
46.6%
53.4%
-130
+118
-130
+122
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-140
3.93
4.29
8.22
o8-114
u8-105
o8-105
u8-110
Games for May 3, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
58.2%
41.8%
-120
+109
+162
+114


9.57
o8-120
u8½-115
o7-105
u8+100
8th
TOP
5
2
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
51.7%
48.3%
+101
-111
+103
-102

-1½+155
+1½-165
8.95
o8½-110
u8½-108
o8½-110
u8½-105
7th
TOP
1
0
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.5%
53.5%
+113
-125
+117
-124
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+170
8.95
o8-108
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
7th
BOT
1
5
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
32.4%
67.6%
+193
-215
+202
-220
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-105
11.33
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
5th
BOT
0
3
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
49.3%
50.7%
+101
-111
+105
-112
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
9.37
o9-115
u9-103
o9-110
u9-105
4th
BOT
2
2
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
53.0%
47.0%
-122
+111
-115
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+143
+1½-150
9.12
o9-115
u9-105
o9-110
u8½-105
4th
TOP
0
1
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
50.6%
49.4%
-195
+175
-190
+177
-1½-125
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+115
8.62
o9-116
u9+100
o9-110
u9-105
1st
BOT
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
28.6%
71.4%
+210
-233
+210
-235
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-110
2
3
-0.37914-0.37834-0.33641
Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres
38.7%
61.3%
+103
-113
+104
-105

-1½+170
+1½-175
0
3
-0.65676-0.67144-0.48993
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
38.5%
61.5%
+131
-145
+132
-142
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
6
-0.54896-0.55076-0.48547
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
47.1%
52.9%
-130
+120
-125
+120
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
3
1
-0.59012-0.59784-0.75377
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
46.9%
53.1%
+166
-184
+180
-185
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
1
6
-0.45759-0.43838-0.63324
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
38.6%
61.4%
+113
-125
+125
-131
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
9
11
-0.61251-0.57869-0.48851
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
49.2%
50.8%
-131
+119
-128
+130
-1½+130
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-125
5
6
-0.80735-0.82908-0.67820
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
47.0%
53.0%
+166
-184
+165
-182
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
3
4
-0.45759-0.46040-0.63422
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
35.5%
64.5%
+148
-164
+155
-165
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+125
2
4
-0.50023-0.48848-0.43913
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
46.3%
53.7%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
5
4
-0.84337-0.85085-0.76901
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
54.6%
45.4%
+150
-166
+152
-160
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
1
-0.94007-0.93639-0.60499
Oakland Athletics
Toronto Blue Jays
45.4%
54.6%
+173
-192
+170
-185
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-130
-1½+118
7
8
-0.44281-0.45144-0.60450
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+206
-230
+212
-225
+1½+105
-1½-118
+1½+105
-1½-120
2
10
-0.38450-0.38046-0.64821
Tampa Bay Rays
St. Louis Cardinals
53.7%
46.3%
-110
+100
-106
+102
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+158
+1½-170
5
6
-0.71668-0.71266-0.77037
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.1%
70.9%
+191
-213
+205
-230
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½+105
-1½-120
4
5
-0.40878-0.38554-0.34458
Cleveland Indians
Seattle Mariners
46.6%
53.4%
+154
-170
+155
-160
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
1
5
-0.48568-0.49303-0.62650
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.54896 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.56140 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.67047
-0.12151
-0.10907

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.