MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 15, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Braxton Ashcraft
Colin Rea
40.9%
59.1%
+180
-200
+180
-198
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-102
4.11
5.07
9.18
o9-104
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Nick Martinez
50.3%
49.7%
-142
+119
-135
+120
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-135
4.41
4.38
8.79
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Zack Wheeler
MacKenzie Gore
50.7%
49.3%
-182
+164
-175
+163
-1½-109
+1½-110
-1½-107
+1½-110
4.80
4.73
9.53
o8-107
u8-110
o8+100
u8-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Jacob deGrom
Chris Bassitt
34.5%
65.5%
-105
-105
-105
+100
-1½+157
+1½-179
-1½+158
+1½-170
4.50
6.11
10.61
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Luis Castillo
Sean Manaea
45.3%
54.7%
+106
-117
+105
-114
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.45
4.95
9.40
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Hurston Waldrep
Joey Cantillo
52.9%
47.1%
+102
-112
+107
-115
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-195
-1½+175
4.43
4.13
8.56
o9+105
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Sandy Alcantara
Lucas Giolito
38.9%
61.1%
+140
-155
+145
-160
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+125
3.86
5.03
8.89
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Brandon Young
Framber Valdez
31.6%
68.4%
+191
-213
+195
-220
+1½-110
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-105
3.75
5.63
9.38
o8+105
u7½-105
o7½-105
u7½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Charlie Morton
Pierson Ohl
42.3%
57.7%
-127
+115
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-139
4.41
5.22
9.63
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Civale
Noah Cameron
58.5%
41.5%
+150
-166
+162
-177
+1½-136
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
5.62
4.72
10.34
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Luis Gil
Andre Pallante
54.0%
46.0%
-131
+119
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.82
4.39
9.21
o9+105
u9-120
o9+105
u9-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brandon Pfaadt
Tanner Gordon
42.0%
58.0%
-183
+165
-180
+165
-1½-128
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+107
4.81
5.64
10.45
o12+100
u12-110
o12+100
u12-105
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Yusei Kikuchi
Jack Perkins
43.1%
56.9%
-112
+102
-113
+105

-1½+135
+1½-150
4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-105
u10-115
o10-105
u10-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Clayton Kershaw
37.6%
62.4%
+158
-174
+155
-170
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-130
-1½+112
3.39
4.68
8.07
o9-120
u9+100
o9-115
u9+100
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Joe Boyle
Landen Roupp
46.8%
53.2%
+113
-125
+114
-124
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.98
4.31
8.29
o8-110
u8-106
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Aug 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
53.9%
46.1%
+107
-118
+105
-114
+1½-192
-1½+170

5
6
-0.63790-0.65009-0.77416
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
+138
-152
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
8
6
-0.89016-0.93156-0.71707
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
48.6%
51.4%
-105
-105
-105
-104
+1½-208
-1½+179
-1½+145
+1½-165
2
11
-0.69315-0.69549-0.66643
Kansas City Royals
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.1%
49.9%
-101
-109
-101
-108
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
9
3
-0.71192-0.70966-0.69033
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.0%
58.0%
+158
-175
+165
-174
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-120
-1½+112
18
1
-0.97146-0.98687-0.86800
Chicago White Sox
Colorado Rockies
54.0%
46.0%
-115
+104
-114
+108
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
3
2
-0.65049-0.64318-0.61650
Baltimore Orioles
Atlanta Braves
34.4%
65.6%
+162
-180
+160
-174
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
2
-0.98741-0.97498-1.06822
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
43.3%
56.7%
-118
+107
-119
+111
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+140
+1½-145
2
1
-0.63790-0.62712-0.83792
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
52.6%
47.4%
-133
+121
-132
+123
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
6
5
-0.58372-0.58118-0.64173
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
41.7%
58.3%
+126
-139
+131
-142
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+140
3
4
-0.56577-0.55259-0.53964
Texas Rangers
San Diego Padres
34.3%
65.7%
+100
-110
+100
-105


2
3
-0.67015-0.68116-0.42063
Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners
39.8%
60.2%
+154
-171
+159
-170
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
0
6
-0.48485-0.47823-0.50673
Tampa Bay Rays
Minnesota Twins
54.8%
45.2%
+109
-120
+101
-108
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+175
3
4
-0.62978-0.67201-0.79350
New York Yankees
New York Mets
51.7%
48.3%
+100
-110
+102
-105
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
6
-0.67015-0.67627-0.72747
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
+138
-152
+135
-144
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
11
-0.52863-0.54294-0.66978
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
46.8%
53.2%
+136
-150
+140
-150
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-155
-1½+140
9
6
-0.88211-0.89199-0.75848
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.71258 
Sportsbooks73-4 (0.429)0-0.72027 
DRatings72-5 (0.286)0-0.72062
-0.00804
-0.00035

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.