MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Brayan Bello
Framber Valdez
56.9%
43.1%
+162
-180
+170
-185
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
5.43
4.71
10.14
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Overall Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Kevin Gausman
Drew Rasmussen
46.5%
53.5%
+111
-122
+112
-121
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.29
4.66
8.95
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½-100
u7½-120
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Chris Bassitt
Sandy Alcantara
38.6%
61.4%




4.05
5.24
9.29


Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Luis Severino
Cristopher Sanchez
49.2%
50.8%




5.95
6.03
11.98


Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Taj Bradley
Cade Cavalli
47.8%
52.2%
-101
-109
+106
-113
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.33
5.56
10.89
o9-105
u8½+110
o8½-120
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Jacob deGrom
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
42.0%
58.0%




4.83
5.67
10.50


Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Andrew Abbott
Jameson Taillon
51.6%
48.4%
+142
-157
+144
-152


4.63
4.46
9.09


Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Gavin Williams
Noah Cameron
49.3%
50.7%
-122
+102
-120
+111
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-150
4.42
4.50
8.92
o7½-115
u7½-105
o8-105
u8-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%
-105
-105
+100
-107
+1½-215
-1½+190

4.36
4.04
8.40
o7½-120
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shohei Ohtani
Peter Lambert
50.6%
49.4%
-195
+175
-200
+182
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+105
4.34
4.28
8.62
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
New York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-150
+136
-150
+141
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.25
5.58
10.83
o10-105
u10-110
o10-110
u10-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Erick Fedde
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
51.6%
48.4%




5.15
4.98
10.13


Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Bubba Chandler
Eduardo Rodriguez
45.6%
54.4%
+107
-118
+105
-113
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.15
4.61
8.76
o9-105
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Bryce Elder
George Kirby
52.7%
47.3%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+143
4.80
4.51
9.31
o8-105
u8-115
o7½-120
u8-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Walker Buehler
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
46.6%
53.4%




3.97
4.33
8.30


Games for May 4, 2026
Games for May 6, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
51.6%
48.4%
+190
-212
+195
-215
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
10.11
o11½-105
u11½-113
o11½-105
u11½-110
9th
BOT
4
3
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.7%
48.3%
+131
-145
+135
-143
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
10.11
o7½-108
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
7th
TOP
5
0
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
52.7%
47.3%
+121
-133
+127
-132
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
9.40
o8-107
u8-110
o7½-115
u8-105
6th
BOT
4
0
San Diego Padres (67-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
46.6%
53.4%
-127
+115
-125
+122
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+140
+1½-140
8.22
o8-115
u8+100
o8-105
u8-110
6th
BOT
1
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Philadelphia Phillies
38.0%
62.0%
+138
-152
+145
-154
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-158
-1½+140
3
5
-0.52863-0.51473-0.47863
Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres
34.4%
65.6%
-119
+108
-115
+115
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-155
8
2
-0.63380-0.62571-1.06819
Boston Red Sox
Cincinnati Reds
49.2%
50.8%
-154
+139
-150
+141
-1½+108
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
3
0
-0.52479-0.52565-0.70832
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.0%
60.0%
+158
-175
+162
-172
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
3
0
-0.97146-0.97710-0.91674
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
54.6%
45.4%
+125
-138
+127
-135
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-168
-1½+150
1
2
-0.56900-0.56920-0.78983
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+177
-197
+180
-200
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+117
10
4
-1.04287-1.05317-0.74020
Chicago White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
46.9%
53.1%
+165
-183
+168
-183
+1½-130
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+116
2
14
-0.45969-0.45555-0.63324
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets
40.8%
59.2%
+109
-120
+107
-114
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-210
-1½+187
7
11
-0.62978-0.64546-0.52508
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
48.7%
51.3%
-117
+106
-115
+110
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
0
-0.64204-0.63673-0.71879
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.3%
39.7%
+100
-120
+100
-115

+1½-180
-1½+160
4
4
-0.69409-0.69372-0.71476
Boston Red Sox
Atlanta Braves
47.0%
53.0%
+125
-145
+145
-165

+1½-125
-1½+110
1
10
-0.56016-0.50411-0.63471
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
52.4%
47.6%
-131
+119
-130
+133
-1½+120
+1½-139
-1½+135
+1½-135
5
4
-0.59066-0.56493-0.64682
Los Angeles Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
52.4%
47.6%
-136
+123
-133
+125
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
3
1
-0.57558-0.57583-0.64682
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.3%
58.7%
+180
-200
+182
-190
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+105
6
1
-1.05317-1.04646-0.88332
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
46.7%
53.3%
+175
-195
+177
-184
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
6
2
-1.03595-1.02770-0.76096
Toronto Blue Jays
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.7%
59.3%
+173
-192
+174
-185
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+100
5
6
-0.44281-0.44612-0.52182
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks86-2 (0.750)0-0.59900 
Sportsbooks85-3 (0.625)0-0.61546 
DRatings87-1 (0.875)0-0.62551
-0.02651
-0.01005

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.