MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 15, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Braxton Ashcraft
Colin Rea
40.9%
59.1%
+164
-182
+169
-180
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+110
4.11
5.07
9.18
o8½-110
u8½-108
o8½-115
u8½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Nick Martinez
50.3%
49.7%
-135
+122
-130
+126
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+121
+1½-135
4.41
4.38
8.79
o9-105
u9-114
o9+105
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Zack Wheeler
MacKenzie Gore
50.7%
49.3%
-185
+168
-180
+165
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
4.80
4.73
9.53
o8-108
u8-110
o8+100
u8-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Jacob deGrom
Chris Bassitt
34.5%
65.5%
-104
-106
-104
+100
-1½+156
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
4.50
6.11
10.61
o7½-108
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Luis Castillo
Sean Manaea
45.3%
54.7%
+105
-116
+108
-116
+1½-200
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+175
4.45
4.95
9.40
o9+100
u8½+105
o8½-115
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Hurston Waldrep
Joey Cantillo
52.9%
47.1%
+102
-112
+105
-115
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-195
-1½+175
4.42
4.11
8.53
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Sandy Alcantara
Lucas Giolito
38.9%
61.1%
+141
-156
+145
-158
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
3.86
5.03
8.89
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Brandon Young
Framber Valdez
31.6%
68.4%
+192
-214
+195
-220
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
3.75
5.63
9.38
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-105
u7½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Charlie Morton
Pierson Ohl
42.3%
57.7%
-126
+114
-128
+120
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+122
+1½-139
4.41
5.22
9.63
o9½-102
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Civale
Noah Cameron
58.5%
41.5%
+154
-170
+160
-172
+1½-131
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
5.62
4.72
10.34
o9-105
u9-111
o9-110
u9-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Luis Gil
Andre Pallante
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-130
+121
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.82
4.39
9.21
o9+105
u8½+105
o9+110
u9-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brandon Pfaadt
Tanner Gordon
42.0%
58.0%
-187
+169
-188
+170
-1½-129
+1½+110
-1½-132
+1½+118
4.83
5.66
10.49
o12-110
u12-106
o12-115
u12+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Yusei Kikuchi
Jack Perkins
43.1%
56.9%
-112
+102
-113
+105

-1½+140
+1½-150
4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-105
u10-115
o10-105
u10-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Clayton Kershaw
37.6%
62.4%
+149
-165
+155
-168
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
3.39
4.68
8.07
o9-125
u9½-120
o9-120
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Joe Boyle
Landen Roupp
46.8%
53.2%
+112
-123
+114
-124
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.98
4.31
8.29
o8-110
u8-106
o8-115
u8-105
Games for Aug 14, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
+137
-151
+139
-145
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-155
-1½+145
0
6
-0.53144-0.53471-0.60019
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
43.2%
56.8%
+129
-142
+135
-137
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+145
3
8
-0.55629-0.55166-0.56620
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
44.4%
55.6%
+109
-120
+115
-120
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
8
4
-0.76081-0.77596-0.81189
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
50.7%
49.3%
+100
+101
-115
+105

-1½+145
+1½-160
3
7
-0.69565-0.74028-0.70773
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.8%
52.2%
-133
+121
-128
+118
-1½+123
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
9
11
-0.81604-0.79924-0.65038
Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals
46.4%
53.6%
-103
-107
+100
-107
+1½-205
-1½+177

4
9
-0.68389-0.67666-0.62355
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
48.8%
51.2%
-116
+106
-112
+110
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
2
1
-0.64392-0.64257-0.71728
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
+125
-138
+133
-140
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+155
1
5
-0.56900-0.55144-0.70970
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
46.4%
53.6%
+102
-112
+111
-120
+1½-196
-1½+171
+1½-180
-1½+170
7
2
-0.72619-0.76589-0.76733
Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals
43.3%
56.7%
-146
+132
-150
+135
-1½+107
+1½-127
-1½+100
+1½-120
11
2
-0.54595-0.53604-0.83792
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
-116
+105
-112
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
6
4
-0.64623-0.65406-0.67686
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.2%
43.8%
-128
+116
-124
+115
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
0
5
-0.79418-0.78397-0.82533
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+172
-191
+178
-190
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
5
6
-0.44477-0.43764-0.59838
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.1%
58.9%
+298
-335
+300
-330
+1½+149
-1½-169
+1½+150
-1½-165
1
6
-0.28236-0.28198-0.52928
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
44.1%
55.9%
+122
-135
+123
-128
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
3
-0.82212-0.81180-0.81787
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
55.5%
44.5%
+107
-118
+116
-125
+1½-184
-1½+161
+1½-170
-1½+160
2
8
-0.63790-0.60613-0.81065
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks63-3 (0.500)0-0.70684 
Sportsbooks63-3 (0.500)0-0.70998 
DRatings62-4 (0.333)0-0.71154
-0.00470
-0.00156

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.