MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 15, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jacob Misiorowski
Nick Martinez
50.3%
49.7%
-132
+120
-129
+125
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+121
+1½-135
4.41
4.38
8.79
o9+100
u9-120
o9+110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Zack Wheeler
MacKenzie Gore
50.7%
49.3%
-186
+168
-185
+168
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
4.80
4.73
9.53
o8-104
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Jacob deGrom
Chris Bassitt
34.5%
65.5%
-106
-104
-104
+100
-1½+156
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
4.50
6.11
10.61
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Luis Castillo
Sean Manaea
45.3%
54.7%
+117
-129
+117
-127
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
4.45
4.95
9.40
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-115
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Hurston Waldrep
Joey Cantillo
52.9%
47.1%
-102
-108
+100
-109
+1½-208
-1½+179
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.42
4.11
8.53
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Sandy Alcantara
Lucas Giolito
38.9%
61.1%
+140
-155
+145
-157
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
3.86
5.03
8.89
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Brandon Young
Framber Valdez
31.6%
68.4%
+189
-210
+195
-210
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
3.75
5.63
9.38
o7½-105
u7½-105
o7½-105
u7½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Charlie Morton
Pierson Ohl
42.3%
57.7%
-126
+114
-128
+120
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+122
+1½-139
4.41
5.22
9.63
o9½-115
u9½-104
o9½-105
u9½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Civale
Noah Cameron
58.5%
41.5%
+153
-169
+160
-172
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
5.62
4.72
10.34
o9-112
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Luis Gil
Andre Pallante
54.0%
46.0%
-132
+120
-130
+121
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.82
4.39
9.21
o9+105
u8½+100
o9+110
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Brandon Pfaadt
Tanner Gordon
42.0%
58.0%
-187
+169
-188
+170
-1½-129
+1½+110
-1½-132
+1½+118
4.83
5.66
10.49
o12-110
u12-105
o12-115
u12+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Yusei Kikuchi
Jack Perkins
43.1%
56.9%
-112
+102
-113
+105

-1½+140
+1½-150
4.55
5.28
9.83
o10-110
u10-110
o10-105
u10-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Clayton Kershaw
37.6%
62.4%
+149
-165
+155
-168
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
3.39
4.68
8.07
o9-130
u9½-120
o9-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Joe Boyle
Landen Roupp
46.8%
53.2%
+111
-122
+114
-124
+1½-191
-1½+166
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.98
4.31
8.29
o8-110
u8-104
o8-115
u8-105
Games for Aug 14, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
40.9%
59.1%
+164
-182
+169
-180
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+110
9.18
o8½-110
u8½-108
o8½-115
u8½+100
8th
BOT
2
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
57.1%
42.9%
-135
+125
-136
+131
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
6
5
-0.57304-0.56031-0.55967
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+177
-197
+180
-195
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
5
-0.43454-0.43197-0.64819
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
+164
-182
+165
-180
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
10
-0.46180-0.46185-0.60019
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
43.2%
56.8%
+177
-197
+188
-200
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
4
0
-1.04287-1.07160-0.83859
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+146
-160
+155
-164
+1½-135
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
3
-0.92181-0.94936-0.79784
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
48.8%
51.2%
-135
+122
-134
+124
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
0
2
-0.82212-0.82538-0.66959
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
+133
-147
+140
-150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
1
-0.54299-0.52736-0.79533
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-160
+145
-154
+152
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
5
12
-0.91937-0.92738-0.64304
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
44.1%
55.9%
+135
-149
+139
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
2
6
-0.53715-0.52907-0.58227
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.9%
41.1%
-140
+127
-143
+133
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
4
-0.84337-0.86339-0.88846
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
42.9%
57.1%
-109
-101
-107
+100
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-170
10
6
-0.67472-0.67666-0.84683
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.7%
45.3%
+101
-111
+100
-108
+1½-205
-1½+185

0
7
-0.66563-0.67446-0.79292
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+158
-175
+162
-177
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
6
4
-0.97146-0.98363-0.79784
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
44.4%
55.6%
+148
-164
+150
-162
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
6
13
-0.50023-0.49890-0.58702
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-132
+120
-132
+125
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-135
4
5
-0.81171-0.82426-0.64304
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
+220
-245
+230
-254
+1½+110
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-130
0
4
-0.36468-0.35230-0.70970
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.70109 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.70435 
DRatings51-4 (0.200)0-0.75680
-0.05571
-0.05245

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.