MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Mike Burrows
Shota Imanaga
40.9%
59.1%
+203
-227
+196
-218
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
4.11
5.07
9.18
o9-112
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Patrick Corbin
Eric Lauer
36.6%
63.4%
+138
-152
+131
-140
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-165
-1½+146
4.41
5.82
10.23
o9+110
u8½+100
o9-105
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Taijuan Walker
Cade Cavalli
50.7%
49.3%
-145
+131
-140
+135
-1½+106
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
4.86
4.78
9.64
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½+100
u9½-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Cal Quantrill
Brayan Bello
39.6%
60.4%
+162
-179
+156
-168
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-123
-1½+120
4.35
5.44
9.79
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9-120
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bryan Woo
Nolan McLean
43.7%
56.3%
-128
+116
-125
+117
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-149
4.63
5.30
9.93
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Quinn Priester
Zack Littell
50.3%
49.7%
-135
+122
-130
+122
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-135
4.42
4.39
8.81
o9-120
u9½-120
o9-115
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Sean Burke
Michael Lorenzen
56.7%
43.3%
+146
-161
+150
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
5.68
4.98
10.66
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Cade Povich
Jason Alexander
31.4%
68.6%
+123
-136
+126
-130
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.72
5.63
9.35
o9+105
u8½-105
o9+105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Joey Wentz
Slade Cecconi
52.9%
47.1%
+100
-110
+105
-112
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
4.47
4.17
8.64
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Casey Mize
Zebby Matthews
40.8%
59.2%
-113
+104
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-175
4.38
5.35
9.73
o8-120
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Max Fried
Sonny Gray
54.0%
46.0%
-134
+122
-136
+130
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-138
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ryne Nelson
Chase Dollander
42.0%
58.0%
-177
+160
-180
+165
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+110
4.75
5.60
10.35
o12+105
u11½-110
o12-105
u11½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Adrian Houser
Justin Verlander
46.8%
53.2%
+116
-128
+118
-128
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-186
-1½+170
4.02
4.36
8.38
o8-115
u8½-115
o8-110
u8-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Dylan Cease
Blake Snell
41.5%
58.5%
+114
-126
+116
-123
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.86
4.75
8.61
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Anderson
Luis Morales
43.1%
56.9%
-101
-109
+100
-110
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
4.55
5.28
9.83
o10½-115
u10½+100
o10½-110
u10½-105
Games for Aug 15, 2025
Games for Aug 17, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Chicago Cubs
47.7%
52.3%
+177
-197
+180
-195
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
5
-0.43454-0.43197-0.64819
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
45.1%
54.9%
+164
-182
+165
-180
+1½-132
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
10
-0.46180-0.46185-0.60019
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
43.2%
56.8%
+177
-197
+188
-200
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
4
0
-1.04287-1.07160-0.83859
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+146
-160
+155
-164
+1½-135
-1½+119
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
3
-0.92181-0.94936-0.79784
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
48.8%
51.2%
-135
+122
-134
+124
-1½+124
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
0
2
-0.82212-0.82538-0.66959
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.9%
45.1%
+133
-147
+140
-150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
1
-0.54299-0.52736-0.79533
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-160
+145
-154
+152
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
5
12
-0.91937-0.92738-0.64304
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
44.1%
55.9%
+135
-149
+139
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
2
6
-0.53715-0.52907-0.58227
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.9%
41.1%
-140
+127
-143
+133
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
4
-0.84337-0.86339-0.88846
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
42.9%
57.1%
-109
-101
-107
+100
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-170
10
6
-0.67472-0.67666-0.84683
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
54.7%
45.3%
+101
-111
+100
-108
+1½-205
-1½+185

0
7
-0.66563-0.67446-0.79292
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
+158
-175
+162
-177
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
6
4
-0.97146-0.98363-0.79784
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
44.4%
55.6%
+148
-164
+150
-162
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
6
13
-0.50023-0.49890-0.58702
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-132
+120
-132
+125
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-135
4
5
-0.81171-0.82426-0.64304
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
50.8%
49.2%
+220
-245
+230
-254
+1½+110
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-130
0
4
-0.36468-0.35230-0.70970
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
52.0%
48.0%
+250
-282
+295
-275
+1½+115
-1½-134
+1½+125
-1½-130
0
3
-0.32716-0.29656-0.73399
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.70307 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.70114 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.69712
0.00596
0.00402

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.