Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024
Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chicago Cubs (54-69) Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) | Undecided Undecided Undecided Undecided | 42.1% 57.9% | 4.14 4.98 | 9.12 | ||||||
Boston Red Sox (69-54) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Tanner Houck Chris Bassitt | 46.7% 53.3% | +103 -113 +104 -114 | +1½-215 -1½+185 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 4.86 5.21 | 10.07 | o7½-125 u7½+105 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
Seattle Mariners (65-56) Houston Astros (70-50) | Bryce Miller Hunter Brown | 37.9% 62.1% | +130 -142 +135 -142 | +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 3.84 5.11 | 8.95 | o7½-120 u7½+100 o7½-120 u7½+100 | |||
San Francisco Giants (78-43) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Hayden Birdsong Eduardo Rodriguez | 60.5% 39.5% | +151 -165 +152 -164 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-136 -1½+125 | 4.60 3.50 | 8.10 | o9-120 u9+100 o9-115 u9-105 |
Completed Games
Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers | 60.9% 39.1% | -113 +103 -108 +107 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 | 5 2 | -0.65676-0.65772 | -0.49605 | |
Kansas City Royals Minnesota Twins | 45.9% 54.1% | +145 -158 +148 -155 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+135 | 3 8 | -0.51073-0.50886 | -0.61421 | |
Texas Rangers Boston Red Sox | 35.8% 64.2% | +110 -120 +115 -118 | +1½-177 -1½+157 +1½-173 -1½+160 | 4 5 | -0.62755-0.62019 | -0.44239 | |
Houston Astros Tampa Bay Rays | 48.1% 51.9% | -121 +111 -121 +114 | -1½+145 +1½-165 -1½+145 +1½-160 | 6 1 | -0.62358-0.61706 | -0.73251 | |
Chicago Cubs Cleveland Indians | 45.9% 54.1% | -117 +107 -117 +108 | -1½+145 +1½-160 -1½+142 +1½-160 | 8 9 | -0.74957-0.75211 | -0.61496 | |
St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds | 44.1% 55.9% | -144 +132 -140 +132 | -1½+115 +1½-128 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 1 6 | -0.86254-0.85583 | -0.58146 | |
New York Mets Seattle Mariners | 48.4% 51.6% | +106 -116 +109 -118 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+173 | 1 12 | -0.64392-0.63337 | -0.66126 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers | 27.6% 72.4% | +218 -245 +240 -239 | +1½+110 -1½-125 +1½+115 -1½-123 | 5 6 | -0.36661-0.34868 | -0.32321 | |
Philadelphia Phillies Arizona Diamondbacks | 54.9% 45.1% | -125 +115 -124 +123 | -1½+131 +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-140 | 5 12 | -0.78592-0.80401 | -0.79682 | |
Detroit Tigers San Francisco Giants | 35.6% 64.4% | +161 -176 +162 -175 | +1½-134 -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 5 4 | -0.97995-0.98104 | -1.03344 | |
Atlanta Braves Colorado Rockies | 48.6% 51.4% | -166 +152 -164 +152 | -1½-117 +1½+100 -1½-114 +1½-104 | 8 9 | -0.94492-0.94212 | -0.66516 | |
Cleveland Indians Minnesota Twins | 36.2% 63.8% | +102 -112 +108 -109 | +1½-193 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+185 | 5 3 | -0.72619-0.73466 | -1.01514 | |
Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers | 43.4% 56.6% | +114 -124 +115 -123 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+169 | 4 3 | -0.78145-0.78202 | -0.83526 | |
Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays | 32.7% 67.3% | +104 -114 +108 -112 | +1½-195 -1½+180 | 1 2 | -0.65243-0.64712 | -0.39552 | |
San Diego Padres Miami Marlins | 53.1% 46.9% | -188 +172 -180 +176 | -1½-119 +1½+105 -1½-120 +1½+105 | 6 7 | -1.02085-1.02040 | -0.75790 | |
Oakland Athletics Toronto Blue Jays | 45.4% 54.6% | +139 -150 +136 -145 | +1½-154 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 8 4 | -0.88953-0.87412 | -0.79043 |
Season Prediction Results
Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sportsbooks | 16 | 9-7 (0.562) | 0 | -0.64571 | |
Sportsbooks | 16 | 8-8 (0.500) | 0 | -0.64310 | |
DRatings | 16 | 12-4 (0.750) | 0 | -0.64183 | 0.00388 0.00126 |
Season Simulation
Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
# | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.