MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 16, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Patrick Corbin
Eric Lauer
36.6%
63.4%
+149
-165
+155
-168
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
4.41
5.82
10.23
o8½-105
u8½-108
o8½-105
u8½-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Taijuan Walker
Cade Cavalli
50.7%
49.3%
-136
+123
-138
+128
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-129
4.88
4.81
9.69
o10+100
u10-118
o10+100
u10-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Cal Quantrill
Brayan Bello
39.6%
60.4%
+172
-191
+167
-180
+1½-124
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.35
5.44
9.79
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-105
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Bryan Woo
Nolan McLean
43.7%
56.3%
-109
-101
-107
-101
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.63
5.30
9.93
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Quinn Priester
Zack Littell
50.3%
49.7%
-116
+105
-115
+110
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+136
+1½-150
4.52
4.48
9.00
o9-105
u9-110
o9+100
u9-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Sean Burke
Michael Lorenzen
56.7%
43.3%
+122
-135
+128
-137
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
5.75
5.04
10.79
o9½+100
u9½-116
o9½+100
u9½-115
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Rico Garcia
Jason Alexander
31.4%
68.6%
+122
-135
+128
-135
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.72
5.63
9.35
o9+100
u8½+103
o8½-120
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Joey Wentz
Slade Cecconi
52.9%
47.1%
-108
-102
-103
-103


4.47
4.17
8.64
o8½-118
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Casey Mize
Zebby Matthews
40.8%
59.2%
-102
-108
-104
-102

-1½+160
+1½-175
4.38
5.35
9.73
o8½-115
u8½+103
o8½-120
u8½+105
New York Yankees (69-52)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Max Fried
Sonny Gray
54.0%
46.0%
-140
+127
-135
+125
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+121
+1½-140
4.82
4.39
9.21
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ryne Nelson
Chase Dollander
42.0%
58.0%
-155
+140
-155
+150
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½-115
+1½+100
4.41
5.26
9.67
o11½-110
u11½-108
o11½-115
u11½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Adrian Houser
Justin Verlander
46.8%
53.2%
+104
-115
+106
-114
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-205
-1½+185
4.02
4.36
8.38
o8-105
u8-115
o8+100
u8-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Dylan Cease
Blake Snell
41.5%
58.5%
+103
-113
+110
-112
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+185
3.86
4.75
8.61
o8+105
u7½-105
o7½-105
u8-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Anderson
Luis Morales
43.1%
56.9%
+109
-120
+110
-120
+1½-182
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+160
4.55
5.28
9.83
o10½-120
u10½+100
o10½-115
u10½+100
Games for Aug 15, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
40.9%
59.1%
+199
-222
+195
-218
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
9.18
o9-105
u8½+102
o8½-115
u8½+105
3rd
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.5%
48.5%
+160
-177
+160
-175
+1½-125
-1½+106
+1½-115
-1½+111
6
4
-0.97883-0.97625-0.66306
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
+112
-123
+115
-123
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
4
-0.77442-0.78202-0.81346
Los Angeles Dodgers
Kansas City Royals
62.2%
37.8%
-135
+122
-132
+122
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
1
-0.57893-0.58316-0.47406
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
53.8%
46.2%
-105
-102
-113
+105
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
6
4
-0.68605-0.65204-0.61925
San Francisco Giants
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-150
+136
-148
+137
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-125
2
5
-0.88211-0.88143-0.64318
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
37.0%
63.0%
+114
-126
+120
-128
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+170
0
2
-0.60877-0.59314-0.46124
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
41.9%
58.1%
+211
-236
+219
-245
+1½+105
-1½-123
+1½+110
-1½-120
4
3
-1.15827-1.18335-0.86941
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
50.8%
49.2%
+120
-132
+120
-130
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+150
2
3
-0.58717-0.59012-0.70926
Oakland Athletics
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+190
-212
+195
-208
+1½-104
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
5
12
-0.41044-0.40677-0.59339
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
48.2%
51.8%
-105
-105
-105
-102

-1½+146
+1½-160
5
3
-0.69315-0.68605-0.72977
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
61.9%
38.1%
+103
-113
+105
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
1
5
-0.65676-0.65009-0.96506
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+138
-152
+145
-160
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
1
-0.89016-0.91937-0.80849
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.1%
42.9%
-140
+127
-134
+128
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+116
+1½-130
1
12
-0.84337-0.83536-0.84714
St. Louis Cardinals
Cleveland Indians
47.9%
52.1%
-106
-104
-107
-101
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
0
-0.68852-0.67911-0.73539
Washington Nationals
Los Angeles Angels
44.3%
55.7%
+102
-112
+106
-110
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-185
-1½+180
2
8
-0.66116-0.65583-0.58576
Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
37.8%
62.2%
+102
-112
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-205
-1½+180
12
3
-0.72619-0.70528-0.97215
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.68225 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.67950 
DRatings149-5 (0.643)0-0.68299
-0.00074
-0.00349

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.