MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 2, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jared Jones
Alan Rangel
36.4%
63.6%
+114
-126
+120
-125
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
3.85
5.28
9.13
o10½-110
u10½-110
o10½-110
u10½-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Chase Burns
Jacob Misiorowski
43.4%
56.6%
+170
-189
+180
-190
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
4.05
4.74
8.79
o7-110
u7-105
o7-110
u7-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ryan Gusto
Michael Lorenzen
46.7%
53.3%
-125
+113
-120
+115
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-138
4.86
5.21
10.07
o12-107
u12-110
o12-110
u12-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Davis Martin
Slade Cecconi
54.2%
45.8%
-115
+104
-115
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+138
+1½-150
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8½-108
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Dustin May
Hurston Waldrep
42.0%
58.0%
-103
-107
+103
-110

+1½-197
-1½+175
3.88
4.73
8.61
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Ian Seymour
Stephen Kolek
57.2%
42.8%
-116
+106
-115
+108
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
5.47
4.71
10.18
o10½-112
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Framber Valdez
Nathan Eovaldi
48.2%
51.8%
+112
-123
+110
-116
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+185
4.58
4.77
9.35
o7-120
u7+105
o7-110
u7+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Walbert Urena
Bryce Miller
49.1%
50.9%
+189
-210
+196
-210
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
5.08
5.17
10.25
o7½+105
u7+105
o7-110
u7½-115
Overall Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Randy Vasquez
Roki Sasaki
41.5%
58.5%
+167
-185
+175
-190
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
3.86
4.75
8.61
o9-105
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Games for Jul 1, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Cleveland Indians
41.7%
58.3%
+118
-128
+121
-128
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
5
13
-0.59724-0.59111-0.53996
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
57.6%
42.4%
-109
-101
-104
-103
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+154
+1½-170
10
2
-0.67472-0.69079-0.55229
Arizona Diamondbacks
Boston Red Sox
40.0%
60.0%
+121
-130
+120
-120
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-174
-1½+165
4
1
-0.81054-0.78845-0.91732
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
54.6%
45.4%
-103
-107
+101
-108

+1½-221
-1½+200
4
3
-0.70249-0.71474-0.60517
Chicago Cubs
Miami Marlins
47.0%
53.0%
-197
+179
-195
+180
-1½-110
+1½-101
-1½-120
+1½+102
14
2
-0.43201-0.43197-0.75541
Milwaukee Brewers
Oakland Athletics
47.9%
52.1%
-117
+107
-115
+108
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
9
5
-0.63974-0.64124-0.73551
Houston Astros
Baltimore Orioles
62.4%
37.6%
+102
-112
+100
-106


2
3
-0.66116-0.67889-0.97915
Los Angeles Angels
Toronto Blue Jays
41.7%
58.3%
+165
-180
+166
-179
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+116
1
3
-0.46185-0.46119-0.53964
Colorado Rockies
New York Yankees
37.8%
62.2%
+267
-307
+271
-300
+1½+136
-1½-156
+1½+135
-1½-150
9
2
-1.32663-1.33041-0.97154
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.7%
58.3%
+179
-197
+177
-185
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+100
3
7
-0.43201-0.44222-0.53904
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
53.0%
47.0%
+133
-145
+135
-145
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
5
6
-0.54531-0.54173-0.75519
Milwaukee Brewers
Oakland Athletics
49.8%
50.2%
-112
+102
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-170

11
3
-0.66116-0.68116-0.69619
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
40.0%
60.0%
+119
-129
+126
-132
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
0
7
-0.59365-0.57531-0.51141
Philadelphia Phillies
Kansas City Royals
53.1%
46.9%
+115
-125
+122
-128
+1½-173
-1½+153
+1½-165
-1½+162
4
7
-0.60825-0.58909-0.75700
St. Louis Cardinals
Minnesota Twins
47.0%
53.0%
+136
-148
+137
-142
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
6
1
-0.87895-0.87158-0.75519
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
36.2%
63.8%
-155
+142
-150
+141
-1½+100
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-120
5
2
-0.51869-0.52565-1.01744
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.69558 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.69853 
DRatings148-6 (0.571)0-0.69903
-0.00345
-0.00050

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.