MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Andre Pallante
David Peterson
48.8%
51.2%
+118
-130
+118
-126
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.37
4.50
8.87
o10½-115
u10½+100
o10½-115
u10½+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mitch Keller
Foster Griffin
38.7%
61.3%
+130
-143
+130
-140
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.30
5.49
9.79
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Mike Paredes
Gerrit Cole
34.7%
65.3%
+164
-182
+165
-180
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
3.99
5.58
9.57
o9½-120
u9½+105
o10-105
u10-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
54.2%
45.8%
+118
-130
+120
-130
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.82
4.39
9.21
o8½+106
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Trevor Rogers
Brady Singer
36.4%
63.6%
-117
+106
-118
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
4.17
5.59
9.76
o10-110
u10-105
o10+100
u10-105
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Christian Scott
Grant Holmes
44.1%
55.9%
+102
-112
+106
-112
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.12
4.74
8.86
o9-115
u9½-125
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Ryan Feltner
55.8%
44.2%
-145
+131
-150
+145
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-120
4.97
4.35
9.32
o11-110
u11-105
o11-110
u11-110
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nick Martinez
Spencer Arrighetti
45.4%
54.6%
-105
-105
-103
-102


3.89
4.37
8.26
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Jake Bennett
Reid Detmers
50.6%
49.4%
-101
-109
+100
-108
+1½-225
-1½+190
+1½-218
-1½+190
5.25
5.19
10.44
o7½-117
u7½+100
o7½-115
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Tyler Phillips
Jack Perkins
39.7%
60.3%
+106
-117
+114
-120
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-172
-1½+155
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10½-115
u10½-105
o10½-115
u10½+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Kyle Harrison
Jose Cabrera
59.8%
40.2%
-152
+138
-152
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-120
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-105
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Mike King
Shohei Ohtani
38.8%
61.2%
+214
-240
+215
-240
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
3.89
5.07
8.96
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Dylan Cease
Luis Castillo
52.6%
47.4%
-121
+110
-120
+110
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-164
4.93
4.65
9.58
o7-115
u7-105
o7-120
u7+100
Games for Jul 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Tampa Bay Rays
Houston Astros
46.8%
53.2%
+142
-155
+148
-155
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-151
-1½+135
2
3
-0.51869-0.50886-0.63038
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-127
+117
-131
+122
-1½+125
+1½-143

3
0
-0.60086-0.58462-0.67319
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
58.2%
41.8%
-101
-109
+102
-102

-1½+160
+1½-160
11
6
-0.71192-0.70310-0.54118
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
45.3%
54.7%
+220
-248
+225
-240
+1½+108
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
5
-0.36361-0.36179-0.60279
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
39.7%
60.3%
-115
+105
-110
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-159
4
8
-0.74028-0.72940-0.50529
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
54.8%
45.2%
-109
-101
-105
-103
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-170
8
3
-0.67472-0.68844-0.60121
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
49.5%
50.5%
+104
-114
+108
-116
+1½-213
-1½+185
+1½-195
-1½+180
9
2
-0.73560-0.75001-0.70296
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.0%
52.0%
-126
+116
-124
+119
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
9
8
-0.60453-0.60150-0.73422
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.7%
51.3%
-114
+104
-111
+106
-1½+150
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
6
-0.73560-0.73414-0.66764
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
43.4%
56.6%
+107
-117
+115
-116
+1½-195
-1½+172
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
4
-0.74957-0.76761-0.83374
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
-104
-104
+100
-108
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+192
4
5
-0.69315-0.67446-0.66978
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
45.3%
54.7%
+183
-201
+181
-200
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-103
2
4
-0.42472-0.42776-0.60279
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
48.0%
52.0%
-156
+143
-152
+147
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½+102
+1½-115
7
1
-0.51601-0.51355-0.73464
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
34.4%
65.6%
-101
-109
+103
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
-1½+160
+1½-175
3
10
-0.67472-0.66291-0.42127
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
46.7%
53.3%
+175
-191
+181
-187
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+115
0
1
-0.44085-0.43578-0.62852
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Angels
43.1%
56.9%
+122
-133
+125
-128
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
1
-0.81855-0.81676-0.84197
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks94-5 (0.444)0-0.69155 
Sportsbooks94-5 (0.444)0-0.69308 
DRatings95-4 (0.556)0-0.72796
-0.03641
-0.03488

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.