Upcoming Games for July 4, 2026
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Sean Burke Parker Messick | 54.2% 45.8% | +122 -135 +125 -134 | +1½-179 -1½+160 +1½-170 -1½+163 | 4.75 4.31 | 9.06 | o7½+100 u7½-115 o7-120 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Houston Astros (70-50) | Drew Rasmussen Hunter Brown | 45.4% 54.6% | +101 -111 +102 -110 | -1½+175 +1½-190 | 3.89 4.37 | 8.26 | o7-115 u7-103 o7-120 u7+100 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Cincinnati Reds (65-57) | Brandon Young Hunter Greene | 36.4% 63.6% | +112 -123 +113 -122 | +1½-185 -1½+161 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.28 5.70 | 9.98 | o9-120 u9+101 o9-115 u9-105 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Sean Manaea Chris Sale | 44.1% 55.9% | +151 -167 +151 -160 | +1½-140 -1½+125 +1½-145 -1½+125 | 4.12 4.74 | 8.86 | o8+100 u8-115 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Kyle Leahy Shota Imanaga | 48.8% 51.2% | +141 -156 +145 -155 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+130 | 4.36 4.50 | 8.86 | o8-105 u8-110 o8-110 u8½-115 | |||
| San Francisco Giants (78-43) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Robbie Ray Sean Sullivan | 55.8% 44.2% | -127 +115 -124 +120 | -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+115 +1½-125 | 5.57 4.97 | 10.54 | o12-110 u12-107 o12-115 u12-105 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Kansas City Royals (52-67) | Jesus Luzardo Michael Wacha | 53.1% 46.9% | -150 +136 -150 +140 | -1½+105 +1½-121 -1½+105 +1½-120 | 4.84 4.52 | 9.36 | o9-110 u9-110 o9+100 u9-110 | |||
| Boston Red Sox (69-54) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Sonny Gray Sam Aldegheri | 50.6% 49.4% | -162 +147 -160 +150 | -1½+100 +1½-116 -1½+105 +1½-120 | 5.34 5.27 | 10.61 | o8½-105 u8½-113 o8½-110 u8½-110 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Brandon Woodruff Merrill Kelly | 58.4% 41.6% | -155 +140 -150 +140 | -1½+100 +1½-118 -1½+110 +1½-120 | 4.57 3.70 | 8.27 | o9½-103 u9½-115 o9-115 u9½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Oakland Athletics (68-53) | Sandy Alcantara Aaron Civale | 40.3% 59.7% | -130 +118 -125 +120 | -1½+115 +1½-134 -1½+118 +1½-134 | 3.75 4.76 | 8.51 | o11-118 u11+100 o11-105 u11+100 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) | Wandy Peralta Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 41.5% 58.5% | +216 -242 +220 -243 | +1½+100 -1½-120 +1½+100 -1½-115 | 3.85 4.74 | 8.59 | o8½-115 u8½-105 o8½-110 u8½+100 |
Games In Progress
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners Boston Red Sox | 47.1% 52.9% | +108 -118 +111 -120 | +1½-190 -1½+170 +1½-185 -1½+170 | 7 14 | -0.63563-0.62534 | -0.63739 | |
| Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds | 42.1% 57.9% | -110 +100 -109 -101 | -1½+140 +1½-160 +1½-212 -1½+190 | 1 7 | -0.71668-0.71192 | -0.54688 | |
| New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies | 51.3% 48.7% | +118 -128 +120 -127 | +1½-173 -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+152 | 14 4 | -0.79924-0.80236 | -0.66801 | |
| Cleveland Indians Detroit Tigers | 47.2% 52.8% | -154 +141 -154 +144 | -1½+110 +1½-127 -1½+110 +1½-124 | 8 4 | -0.52140-0.51639 | -0.74997 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles | 61.2% 38.8% | +145 -158 +148 -156 | +1½-140 -1½+122 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 5 11 | -0.51073-0.50785 | -0.94616 | |
| New York Yankees Boston Red Sox | 47.6% 52.4% | -106 -104 -107 +102 | +1½-200 -1½+180 | 8 2 | -0.68852-0.67178 | -0.74282 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Arizona Diamondbacks | 44.3% 55.7% | +103 -113 +102 -110 | +1½-205 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+180 | 6 5 | -0.73091-0.72177 | -0.81389 | |
| Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Angels | 50.5% 49.5% | +126 -137 +126 -134 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-162 -1½+145 | 6 8 | -0.56840-0.57251 | -0.70395 | |
| Colorado Rockies San Francisco Giants | 38.1% 61.9% | +162 -177 +163 -175 | +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+118 | 4 5 | -0.46833-0.46844 | -0.47931 | |
| Washington Nationals St. Louis Cardinals | 45.7% 54.3% | +128 -139 +133 -140 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-155 -1½+154 | 3 4 | -0.56198-0.55144 | -0.61074 | |
| Chicago Cubs Kansas City Royals | 48.4% 51.6% | +157 -171 +170 -177 | +1½-125 -1½+107 +1½-125 -1½+115 | 7 3 | -0.96380-1.00256 | -0.72639 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Houston Astros | 50.6% 49.4% | +120 -130 +123 -130 | +1½-172 -1½+152 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 6 2 | -0.80802-0.81556 | -0.68142 | |
| Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox | 39.8% 60.2% | -123 +113 -125 +119 | -1½+138 +1½-155 | 6 3 | -0.61582-0.59989 | -0.92173 | |
| Miami Marlins Milwaukee Brewers | 38.6% 61.4% | +183 -202 +184 -200 | +1½-110 -1½-106 +1½-114 -1½+100 | 2 6 | -0.42416-0.42407 | -0.48809 | |
| Minnesota Twins Detroit Tigers | 51.3% 48.7% | -138 +127 -138 +132 | -1½+117 +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-135 | 5 0 | -0.56518-0.55582 | -0.66656 | |
| Atlanta Braves New York Mets | 40.1% 59.9% | -102 -108 -102 -107 | +1½-208 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+186 | 9 2 | -0.70719-0.70492 | -0.91462 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 13 | 9-4 (0.692) | 0 | -0.62372 | |
| Sportsbooks | 13 | 10-3 (0.769) | 0 | -0.61430 | |
| DRatings | 13 | 7-6 (0.538) | 0 | -0.69437 | -0.07065 -0.08007 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.