MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Mets (60-60)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Nolan McLean
Martin Perez
44.1%
55.9%
+103
-113
+110
-113
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.12
4.74
8.86
o9-104
u9-115
o9+100
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Bubba Chandler
Cade Cavalli
40.0%
60.0%
+116
-128
+120
-128
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
4.31
5.36
9.67
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Kyle Bradish
Nick Lodolo
36.4%
63.6%
-109
-101
-104
-105
-1½+149
+1½-165

4.17
5.59
9.76
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Ryan
Ryan Weathers
39.6%
60.4%
+115
-127
+119
-125
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-175
-1½+158
4.64
5.73
10.37
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Chris Murphy
Tanner Bibee
54.1%
45.9%
+124
-136
+135
-141
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+144
4.78
4.35
9.13
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8-115
u8½-110
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Matthew Liberatore
Javier Assad
48.8%
51.2%
+133
-147
+135
-145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.22
4.35
8.57
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Aaron Nola
Luinder Avila
53.1%
46.9%
-135
+122
-134
+125
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+118
+1½-134
4.67
4.35
9.02
o9½-120
u9½+100
o9½-110
u9½+105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Casey Mize
Kumar Rocker
46.8%
53.2%
-115
+104
-111
+105
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
4.88
5.21
10.09
o8+105
u7½-105
o7½-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Houston Astros (70-50)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Peter Lambert
45.4%
54.6%

-120
+110

-1½+140
+1½-160
3.89
4.37
8.26

o8½-110
u8½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Brandon Sproat
Eduardo Rodriguez
59.8%
40.2%
-118
+107
-117
+107
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-140
4.75
3.72
8.47
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Tyler Mahle
Tanner Gordon
55.8%
44.2%
-115
+104
-111
+110
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-135
5.04
4.43
9.47
o13-105
u13-110
o12½-120
u13-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Eury Perez
Gage Jump
39.7%
60.3%
+106
-117
+106
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.03
5.11
9.14
o10-105
u10-110
o9½-110
u10-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Trey Yesavage
Emerson Hancock
54.2%
45.8%
+112
-123
+122
-125
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.04
4.60
9.64
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
JP Sears
Emmet Sheehan
41.5%
58.5%
+185
-205
+187
-210
+1½-113
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
3.87
4.77
8.64
o9½-115
u9½+100
o9½-115
u9½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Ranger Suarez
Ryan Johnson
50.6%
49.4%
-155
+140
-150
+140
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
5.25
5.19
10.44
o8-110
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
46.7%
53.3%
+183
-202
+185
-200
+1½-115
-1½-104
+1½-105
-1½-105
9
12
-0.42416-0.42286-0.63010
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
41.5%
58.5%
+166
-182
+175
-183
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-113
-1½+110
6
12
-0.45901-0.44619-0.53531
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+126
-137
+132
-137
+1½-169
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+150
5
7
-0.56840-0.55713-0.56951
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
47.1%
52.9%
-113
+103
-112
+105
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+141
+1½-155
3
5
-0.73091-0.73382-0.63665
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-132
+121
-130
+126
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
9
8
-0.58515-0.57821-0.68508
Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
56.2%
43.8%
+143
-156
+147
-152
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
10
-0.51601-0.51355-0.82522
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
53.2%
46.8%
+159
-172
+170
-183
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-120
-1½+105
9
2
-0.96993-1.01011-0.63079
Atlanta Braves
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.6%
41.4%
-108
-102
-108
+101
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-155
5
4
-0.67930-0.67201-0.53409
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-149
+137
-145
+138
-1½+110
+1½-121
-1½+105
+1½-115
9
4
-0.53363-0.53645-0.93372
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
39.6%
60.4%
-207
+190
-205
+185
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+115
8
6
-0.41305-0.42006-0.92685
Colorado Rockies
Cincinnati Reds
42.1%
57.9%
+147
-160
+150
-158
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
0
6
-0.50556-0.50269-0.54659
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-136
+125
-136
+130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-130
0
1
-0.83144-0.84390-0.70128
St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals
47.9%
52.1%
+105
-115
+105
-113
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+170
6
0
-0.74028-0.73601-0.73539
New York Mets
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.5%
41.5%
+107
-117
+114
-118
+1½-178
-1½+158
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
8
-0.63974-0.62235-0.87834
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
44.8%
55.2%
+113
-123
+113
-122
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
0
-0.77696-0.77499-0.80238
Toronto Blue Jays
Seattle Mariners
53.8%
46.2%
+130
-142
+132
-140
+1½-166
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+150
5
4
-0.85426-0.85583-0.61904
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.64307 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.63988 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.74374
-0.10066
-0.10385

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.